Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Tortoise and Hare

Stocks · Started May 2014

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
9.8%
Max Drawdown
—
Trades
127
Win Trades
59.8%
Profit Factor
1.60
Win Months
5.3%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20142.16.30.43.4-0.52.20.2-2.711.7
20152.74.1-5.2-0.90.00.00.00.00.0-0.20.00.00.2
20160.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/2/2014
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age152 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades127
# Profitable76
% Profitable59.8%
Avg trade duration4.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown—
drawdown period—
Annual Return (Compounded)9.8%
Avg win$153
Avg loss$146

Ratios

W:L ratio1.58
Sharpe Ratio-0.30
Sortino Ratio-0.46
Calmar Ratio0.94

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life292.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)1.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)9.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity7.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)277
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)383
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$146
Avg Win$153
# Winners76
Sum Trade PL (losers)$7,444
Sum Trade PL (winners)$11,648
Num Months Winners10
# Losers51
% Winners59.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct112

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table151

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)6411.65
Avg Position Time (hrs)106.86
Avg Trade Length4.50
Last Trade Ago4213

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index0.51

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades4.32
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.03
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats19.95
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats22.92
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.46
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.23
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.23

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.13
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.48
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.39
df13
t1.60
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.35
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.28
Sortino ratio3.41
Upside Potential Ratio4.99
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms4
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.20
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error12
t(b)0.53
p(b)0.42
t(a)1.22
p(a)0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)0.67
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.13
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.36
df13
t1.57
p0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.52
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.25
Sortino ratio3.25
Upside Potential Ratio4.84
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms4
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.00
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.20
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error12
t(b)0.54
p(b)0.42
t(a)1.19
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.63
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.13
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.47
df411
t1.61
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.26
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.26
Sortino ratio2.35
Upside Potential Ratio7.99
Upside part of mean0.44
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms150
N negative terms262
N of observations412
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error410
t(b)-2.88
p(b)1.00
t(a)1.74
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.12
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.43
df411
t1.57
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.22
Sortino ratio2.26
Upside Potential Ratio7.87
Upside part of mean0.43
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms150
N negative terms262
N of observations412
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion0.12
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.13
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error410
t(b)-2.88
p(b)1.00
t(a)1.68
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.29
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.18
Jensen alpha (a)0.13
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.01
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.13
df171
t0.09
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.90
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.65
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.90
Sortino ratio0.18
Upside Potential Ratio6.50
Upside part of mean0.34
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms127
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.03
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error170
t(b)0.36
p(b)0.49
t(a)0.08
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)0.59
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
Mean0.01
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.09
df171
t0.06
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.68
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.86
Sortino ratio0.13
Upside Potential Ratio6.44
Upside part of mean0.33
Downside part of mean-0.33
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms45
N negative terms127
N of observations172
Mean of predictor0.02
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error170
t(b)0.36
p(b)0.49
t(a)0.06
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)0.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations14
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.01
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.62
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations412
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low60
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high61
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations172
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.01
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low36
Percentage of outliers low0.21
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high39
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.15
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.55
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.03
Median0.03
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations16
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high0.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-22.95
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.45
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)46
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.15
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.23
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.23
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.61
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.15
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.14
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.21
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.27
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal15.52
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.02
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.02
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.26
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.41
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.09

Trading record

Placed 3 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
DPLO long68Mar 26, 2015Apr 22, 2015$282
ADBE long178Mar 17, 2015Apr 22, 2015($882)
OLN long101Apr 1, 2015Apr 22, 2015($102)
AHT long582Apr 7, 2015Apr 22, 2015($226)
RECN long93Apr 8, 2015Apr 9, 2015($22)
KMX long130Mar 20, 2015Mar 26, 2015($111)
SHO long421Mar 19, 2015Mar 25, 2015($21)
VEEV long107Mar 20, 2015Mar 23, 2015($153)
SDS long670Mar 11, 2015Mar 12, 2015($119)
CHRW long117Feb 20, 2015Mar 9, 2015$221
SAN long1419Mar 4, 2015Mar 6, 2015($204)
GD long95Feb 27, 2015Mar 3, 2015($117)
SNCR long92Feb 20, 2015Feb 27, 2015$44
ARC long491Feb 17, 2015Feb 24, 2015$191
NWBI long697Feb 3, 2015Feb 19, 2015($110)
AMBA long66Feb 12, 2015Feb 13, 2015($202)
GD long75Feb 9, 2015Feb 11, 2015($103)
MPWR long120Feb 9, 2015Feb 11, 2015$297
MU long185Feb 6, 2015Feb 9, 2015($104)
AKRX long120Feb 3, 2015Feb 4, 2015$298
CRUS long235Jan 28, 2015Feb 4, 2015$160
CI long83Jan 30, 2015Feb 4, 2015$188
RMD long211Jan 22, 2015Jan 23, 2015$441
RNR short29Jan 20, 2015Jan 22, 2015$6
NEE short27Jan 20, 2015Jan 22, 2015($46)
FCX short52Jan 20, 2015Jan 22, 2015($65)
EPD short39Jan 20, 2015Jan 22, 2015($62)
MDU short81Jan 20, 2015Jan 22, 2015($25)
CAM short30Jan 20, 2015Jan 22, 2015($45)
COP short24Jan 20, 2015Jan 22, 2015($48)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.