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Vectorstocktrader USA

Stocks, Options · Started Jan 2014

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
2.5%
Max Drawdown
20.9%
Trades
1630
Win Trades
60.7%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
55.3%

About this strategy

The system uses a multidimensional approach to build positions. Target per year is about 20-25 per Cent after cost.
Of course these are goals only. No performance can be guaranteed, and the actual real-world results may be vastly different from these goals.
More info at: http://metatrader-handelssysteme.de/vectorstocktradesUSA.doc We think, this multidimension approach is the right way to beat every other system on collective2 on a longterm basis, because through our unique option-approach. Stocks never run up without pause. Our system finds 10-per-cent-target-stocks and give everyday 10-15 signals out of a stockuniverse of 1000. Just 2-5 are then filled. We do trade mostly stocks, where options are available. There are also some stocks selected with a holding-period of 5 days - target here is also 10 per cent with a stopp of 5 per cent. New subscribers are advised, that thay just put in the new daily signals on stocks.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2014-1.23.92.8-4.43.74.12.31.60.9-4.97.76.424.7
2015-7.410.8-3.42.2-1.1-1.1-1.0-4.6-1.62.40.2-2.2-7.7
2016-0.61.2-0.20.9-1.11.03.0-0.40.7-1.1-2.1-0.30.8
20171.7-0.8-0.11.20.51.2-2.0-0.21.4-0.10.21.04.0
20182.0-0.80.7-0.20.80.60.5-0.43.5-2.31.7-3.92.1
20193.50.7-0.40.0-1.42.7-0.3-0.92.32.50.98.4
20201.1-3.9-5.76.6-0.20.83.73.3-2.73.30.55.412.2
2021-0.8-0.90.40.9-1.31.71.3-1.1-2.91.1-5.22.1-4.8
2022-5.11.41.4-5.0-1.30.32.0-1.1-4.81.43.1-2.2-9.9
20231.21.4-0.7-1.1-1.42.30.1-2.1-1.8-0.32.01.91.2
2024-0.60.61.8-2.60.91.6-3.41.7-0.5-2.32.7-0.2-0.6
20250.30.8-2.5-1.21.30.3-1.44.40.1-0.51.20.00.0
20261.7-0.9-1.20.60.41.20.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/17/2014
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age155 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades1630
# Profitable989
% Profitable60.7%
Avg trade duration30.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown20.9%
drawdown periodFeb 12, 2021 - July 08, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)2.5%
Avg win$64
Avg loss$80

Ratios

W:L ratio1.29
Sharpe Ratio0.10
Sortino Ratio0.14
Calmar Ratio0.36

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.34
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life324.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-287.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)2.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)3.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity10.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.4%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.3%
Percent Trades Stocks0.7%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$80
Avg Win$64
# Winners989
Sum Trade PL (losers)$51,306
Sum Trade PL (winners)$63,596
Num Months Winners83
# Losers641
% Winners60.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct2633

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table152

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)129267.34
Avg Position Time (hrs)2154.46
Avg Trade Length89.80
Last Trade Ago3909

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.22
Treynor Index0.02

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades14.08
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.30
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats19.89
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats30.29
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.78
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.25
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.09

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.03
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.36
df90
t0.99
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.07
Sortino ratio0.57
Upside Potential Ratio2.29
Upside part of mean0.14
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms52
N negative terms39
N of observations91
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.01
r0.44
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.24
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error89
t(b)4.64
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.21
p(a)0.58
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)0.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.03
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.31
df90
t0.86
p0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.03
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.02
Sortino ratio0.48
Upside Potential Ratio2.20
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms52
N negative terms39
N of observations91
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance0.01
r0.46
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error89
t(b)4.92
p(b)0
t(a)-0.34
p(a)0.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)0.12
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.04
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.36
df1988
t0.99
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.07
Sortino ratio0.50
Upside Potential Ratio7.13
Upside part of mean0.53
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms1052
N negative terms937
N of observations1989
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.04
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.01
r0.47
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.00
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error1987
t(b)23.55
p(b)0.21
t(a)-0.05
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)0.17
Jensen alpha (a)-0.00
Mean0.03
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.31
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.31
df1988
t0.84
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.41
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.02
Sortino ratio0.43
Upside Potential Ratio7.01
Upside part of mean0.53
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms1052
N negative terms937
N of observations1989
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.01
r0.47
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.00
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error1987
t(b)23.78
p(b)0.21
t(a)-0.07
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)0.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.00
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0.05
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.44
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.44
df130
t0.31
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.21
Sortino ratio0.61
Upside Potential Ratio6.54
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.46
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms74
N negative terms57
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.71
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.01
r0.34
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)4.10
p(b)0.29
t(a)-0.29
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)-0.04
Mean0.04
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.39
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.39
df130
t0.28
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.16
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.16
Sortino ratio0.53
Upside Potential Ratio6.45
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.46
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms74
N negative terms57
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.67
Mean of criterion0.04
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.01
r0.35
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)4.25
p(b)0.28
t(a)-0.32
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.24
Treynor index (mean / b)0.32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations91
Minimum0.93
Quartile 10.99
Median1.01
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.77
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations1989
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low95
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high96
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.34
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.48
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.49
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.15
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.15
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.82
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations48
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.07
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high0.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.21
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.09
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.14
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.05
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-414680512
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)511
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.39
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.13
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.08
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.36
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.82
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.70
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.07
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.47
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.47
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.41

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
FISV long5Jul 10, 2015Apr 24, 2017$170
CLX long4Jul 10, 2015Jul 5, 2016$127
NATL long16Jul 10, 2015Jan 20, 2016($66)
APOG long8Jun 29, 2015Sep 28, 2015($62)
AIG long7Jul 13, 2015Aug 24, 2015($65)
WNR long9Jul 13, 2015Aug 24, 2015($66)
DISH long6Jul 7, 2015Aug 24, 2015($73)
MCHP long9Jul 1, 2015Aug 24, 2015($81)
ELY1521T9 short2Jul 6, 2015Aug 22, 2015$79
ADP long15Aug 17, 2015Aug 21, 2015($71)
GLF short37Jul 1, 2015Aug 19, 2015$111
CMS short13Jun 29, 2015Aug 12, 2015($39)
ARWR short62Jul 7, 2015Aug 12, 2015$137
LHO long11Jul 13, 2015Aug 5, 2015($62)
TK short10Jun 30, 2015Aug 5, 2015$104
STON long42Jul 1, 2015Aug 4, 2015($96)
HIMX long50Jul 13, 2015Jul 30, 2015($65)
ATRO long17Jul 8, 2015Jul 27, 2015($70)
GILD long4Jul 1, 2015Jul 27, 2015($26)
SIMO long13Jul 7, 2015Jul 27, 2015($70)
KMT long35Jun 30, 2015Jul 22, 2015($77)
TACT long178Jun 29, 2015Jul 16, 2015$138
UTMD long22Jul 15, 2015Jul 15, 2015($45)
MTRX short25Jul 7, 2015Jul 14, 2015($78)
AXDX long16Jun 29, 2015Jul 10, 2015($41)
ISH short66Jul 6, 2015Jul 10, 2015($6)
KND short21Jul 7, 2015Jul 7, 2015($0)
WLL long36Jun 30, 2015Jul 6, 2015($123)
CWEI long18Jun 29, 2015Jul 2, 2015($163)
ATRC long18Jul 2, 2015Jul 2, 2015($0)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.