Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

LoDo FINANCIAL

Forex · Started Jan 2016

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
5.2%
Max Drawdown
59.0%
Trades
20
Win Trades
80.0%
Profit Factor
1.70
Win Months
48.8%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2016-3.19.88.2-6.113.132.37.92.8-1.7-3.827.47.7132.9
20170.43.06.0-6.4-13.0-17.7-38.51.9-28.713.1-11.70.00.0
201854.9-5.26.83.7-1.928.9-4.4-4.587.8
2019-2.08.19.85.30.5-5.04.210.8-1.2-5.35.6-5.226.4
20204.23.5-3.68.3-7.8-3.9-20.3-5.712.70.0-14.7-13.8-38.0
20217.31.014.9-15.5-4.418.43.27.94.2-0.313.60.757.6
20221.42.09.010.3-2.14.612.86.13.6-7.0-6.3-7.227.6
2023-7.710.5-6.1-5.68.6-7.4-0.62.97.93.0-10.6-2.1-9.7
20245.10.10.91.3-3.85.8-3.6-9.70.89.77.23.716.9
2025-0.30.7-9.7-12.6-1.9-11.86.8-3.80.00.00.00.0-29.6
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/4/2016
Suggested Minimum Capital$200,000
Age132 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades20
# Profitable16
% Profitable80.0%
Avg trade duration351.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown59.0%
drawdown periodApril 09, 2017 - July 28, 2017
Annual Return (Compounded)5.2%
Avg win$30,709
Avg loss$71,691

Ratios

W:L ratio1.71
Sharpe Ratio0.25
Sortino Ratio0.38
Calmar Ratio0.42

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.17
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life277.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-14.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)5.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)6.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity68.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.4%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss84.0%
Chance of 20% account loss65.5%
Chance of 30% account loss37.5%
Chance of 40% account loss22.0%
Chance of 50% account loss4.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)692
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)874
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)680

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$71,690
Avg Win$30,709
# Winners16
Sum Trade PL (losers)$286,762
Sum Trade PL (winners)$491,347
Num Months Winners63
# Losers4
% Winners80.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table127

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)506351.19
Avg Position Time (hrs)8439.19
Avg Trade Length351.60
Last Trade Ago448

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta-0.35
Treynor Index-0.08

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.10
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.12
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.10
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.18
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats13.75
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats33.87
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.10
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.68
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.91

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.44
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.01
df17
t1.29
p0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.68
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.64
Sortino ratio2.31
Upside Potential Ratio4.22
Upside part of mean0.81
Downside part of mean-0.37
Upside SD0.38
Downside SD0.19
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms8
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.44
SD of predictor0.09
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.61
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.38
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error16
t(b)0.54
p(b)0.43
t(a)1.04
p(a)0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.17
Treynor index (mean / b)0.73
Jensen alpha (a)0.38
Mean0.36
SD0.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df17
t1.12
p0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.76
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.50
Sortino ratio1.76
Upside Potential Ratio3.65
Upside part of mean0.74
Downside part of mean-0.39
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.20
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms8
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.09
SD of criterion0.40
Covariance0.01
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.30
Mean Square Error0.16
DF error16
t(b)0.63
p(b)0.42
t(a)0.87
p(a)0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.94
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.02
Treynor index (mean / b)0.54
Jensen alpha (a)0.30
VaR(95%)0.15
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.18
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
Mean0.15
SD0.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.38
df408
t0.48
p0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.95
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.95
Sortino ratio0.57
Upside Potential Ratio8.54
Upside part of mean2.22
Downside part of mean-2.07
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms194
N negative terms215
N of observations409
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.15
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.39
Covariance-0.00
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.27
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.63
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error407
t(b)-1.55
p(b)0.94
t(a)0.57
p(a)0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.79
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.56
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
Mean0.07
SD0.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.19
df408
t0.24
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.76
Sortino ratio0.27
Upside Potential Ratio8.16
Upside part of mean2.18
Downside part of mean-2.10
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.27
N nonnegative terms194
N negative terms215
N of observations409
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.07
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.39
Covariance-0.00
r-0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.15
DF error407
t(b)-1.49
p(b)0.93
t(a)0.32
p(a)0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.71
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-1.38
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-3.25
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-3.23
df130
t-2.30
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-6.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-6.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.43
Sortino ratio-3.68
Upside Potential Ratio4.50
Upside part of mean1.68
Downside part of mean-3.06
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms62
N negative terms69
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion-1.38
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.40
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.43
Mean Square Error0.18
DF error129
t(b)0.74
p(b)0.46
t(a)-2.36
p(a)0.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.48
Jensen alpha (a)-1.43
Mean-1.47
SD0.43
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-3.42
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-3.40
df130
t-2.42
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-6.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-6.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.59
Sortino ratio-3.81
Upside Potential Ratio4.30
Upside part of mean1.66
Downside part of mean-3.13
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.39
N nonnegative terms62
N negative terms69
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion-1.47
SD of predictor0.07
SD of criterion0.43
Covariance0.00
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.42
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.52
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error129
t(b)0.77
p(b)0.46
t(a)-2.48
p(a)0.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.66
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.50
Jensen alpha (a)-1.52
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations18
Minimum0.86
Quartile 10.95
Median1.05
Quartile 31.10
Maximum1.37
Mean of quarter 10.91
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.08
Mean of quarter 41.17
Inter Quartile Range0.15
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.37
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.68
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.12
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.13
Number of observations409
Minimum0.90
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.09
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.90
Quartile 10.98
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.02
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.04
Median0.05
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.31
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.31
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.31
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations28
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.56
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.17
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high0.37
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.72
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.19
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.65
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.78
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.56
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.32
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.56
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)110
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.53
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.47
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.55
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.55
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.56
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.11
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.11
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.19
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.63
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.21
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.76
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.37
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-2.42
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-13.01

Trading record

Placed 320 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
USD/CHF short4310Jun 29, 2017Aug 21, 2025$62,775
EUR/USD short25040Nov 17, 2016Aug 21, 2025($285,905)
USD/CHF short510Jun 28, 2017Jun 29, 2017$2,888
USD/CHF short18020Jan 31, 2017Jun 28, 2017$153,031
USD/CHF short7890Nov 11, 2016Jan 31, 2017$45,828
EUR/USD short50Nov 16, 2016Nov 17, 2016$270
EUR/USD short140Nov 14, 2016Nov 16, 2016$600
EUR/USD short4140Oct 12, 2016Nov 14, 2016$30,672
USD/CHF short70Nov 10, 2016Nov 11, 2016($66)
USD/CHF short430Nov 9, 2016Nov 10, 2016($763)
USD/CHF short20760May 3, 2016Nov 8, 2016$103,562
EUR/USD short10170Jun 24, 2016Oct 12, 2016$6,980
EUR/USD short10700Mar 3, 2016Jun 24, 2016$26,348
USD/CHF short2310Apr 19, 2016May 3, 2016$25,398
USD/CHF short3340Mar 17, 2016Apr 19, 2016$10,298
USD/CHF short2370Mar 11, 2016Mar 17, 2016$23,203
USD/CHF short2780Mar 3, 2016Mar 11, 2016$27,566
USD/CHF short5620Jan 4, 2016Mar 3, 2016$7,731
EUR/USD short4970Jan 4, 2016Mar 3, 2016$14,064
EUR/USD short700Jan 4, 2016Jan 4, 2016($154)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.