Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Secure Profits

Stocks · Started Apr 2011

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-0.7%
Max Drawdown
40.5%
Trades
16
Win Trades
50.0%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
4.3%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20110.00.1-0.52.47.8-15.515.3-11.8-4.0-9.2
20126.6-1.0-7.9-6.5-6.86.1-9.112.611.2-4.40.00.0-2.1
20130.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20140.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20150.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/25/2011
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age189 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades16
# Profitable8
% Profitable50.0%
Avg trade duration182.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown40.5%
drawdown periodSept 21, 2011 - May 16, 2012
Annual Return (Compounded)-0.7%
Avg win$205
Avg loss$165

Ratios

W:L ratio1.32
Sharpe Ratio-0.25
Sortino Ratio-0.36
Calmar Ratio0.03

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.04
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life467.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-478.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-0.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity29.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.1%
Percent Trades Stocks0.8%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$165
Avg Win$205
# Winners8
Sum Trade PL (losers)$1,322
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,641
Num Months Winners8
# Losers8
% Winners50.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct104

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table188

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)262194.75
Avg Position Time (hrs)4369.91
Avg Trade Length182.10
Last Trade Ago5135

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.02
Treynor Index-0.30

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.05
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades7.27
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.36
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats20.92
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats65.27
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.44
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.21
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.14

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.01
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.12
df51
t-0.26
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio-0.19
Upside Potential Ratio1.26
Upside part of mean0.09
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms45
N of observations52
Mean of predictor0.39
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.28
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error50
t(b)0.39
p(b)0.35
t(a)-0.39
p(a)0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.63
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
Mean-0.02
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.17
df51
t-0.37
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.77
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.12
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.77
Sortino ratio-0.26
Upside Potential Ratio1.18
Upside part of mean0.08
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms45
N of observations52
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error50
t(b)0.40
p(b)0.34
t(a)-0.49
p(a)0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.08
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.82
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean-0.01
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.07
df1150
t-0.15
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.86
Sortino ratio-0.10
Upside Potential Ratio4.50
Upside part of mean0.42
Downside part of mean-0.43
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms169
N negative terms982
N of observations1151
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.02
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1149
t(b)1.34
p(b)0.47
t(a)-0.27
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.53
Jensen alpha (a)-0.02
Mean-0.02
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.14
df1150
t-0.29
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.80
Sortino ratio-0.20
Upside Potential Ratio4.38
Upside part of mean0.41
Downside part of mean-0.43
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms169
N negative terms982
N of observations1151
Mean of predictor0.37
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.00
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error1149
t(b)1.36
p(b)0.47
t(a)-0.40
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.10
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.01
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.30
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.20
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6774284949127168
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)8.92558733601448e+31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations52
Minimum0.91
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.32
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations1151
Minimum0.93
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low157
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high173
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.17
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.03
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.03
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations12
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.29
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high0.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.86
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)4.87
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.44
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-407903552
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)238
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.06
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.06
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.16
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.03
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.07
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.56
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GORO long80Apr 17, 2012Oct 10, 2012($493)
EGO long80Apr 16, 2012Oct 10, 2012($11)
RBY long400Apr 3, 2012Oct 10, 2012$23
AUY long75May 4, 2011Oct 10, 2012$482
NGD long92May 4, 2011Oct 10, 2012$206
RGLD long15May 4, 2011Oct 10, 2012$530
GG long18May 4, 2011Oct 10, 2012($76)
GORO short1Dec 18, 2011Apr 16, 2012($5)
SLW long26May 4, 2011Apr 16, 2012($101)
GORO long135May 4, 2011Dec 18, 2011($504)
GORO1117L20 short1Dec 8, 2011Dec 18, 2011$29
MFN long71May 4, 2011Dec 8, 2011($139)
GORO1122V22.5 short1Sep 19, 2011Oct 23, 2011$164
GORO1117U22.5 short1Aug 9, 2011Sep 18, 2011$139
AUY1116S11 short2Jun 20, 2011Jul 17, 2011$52
AUY1116S11 long1Jun 20, 2011Jun 20, 2011($4)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.