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COMPASS 1 SP500 FUTURES

Futures · Started Mar 2026

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
138.6%
Max Drawdown
45.8%
Trades
83
Win Trades
75.9%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
50.0%
Subscribe $595/mo

About this strategy

All Trades Long Trades Short Trades
Total Net Profit $4,182,650.00 $3,838,960.00 $343,690.00
Gross Profit $6,287,000.00 $5,588,440.00 $698,560.00
Gross Loss ($2,104,350.00) ($1,749,480.00) ($354,870.00)
Profit Factor 2.99 3.19 1.97

Roll Over Credit $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Open Position P/L ($47,895.00) ($47,895.00) $0.00

Select Total Net Profit $4,629,795.00 $4,286,105.00 $343,690.00
Select Gross Profit $6,287,000.00 $5,588,440.00 $698,560.00
Select Gross Loss ($1,657,205.00) ($1,302,335.00) ($354,870.00)
Select Profit Factor 3.79 4.29 1.97

Adjusted Total Net Profit $3,743,157.83 $3,396,680.34 $231,312.88
Adjusted Gross Profit $5,981,676.29 $5,280,339.33 $626,889.26
Adjusted Gross Loss ($2,238,518.46) ($1,883,658.99) ($395,576.38)
Adjusted Profit Factor 2.67 2.8 1.58

Total Number of Trades 692 521 171
Percent Profitable 61.27% 63.15% 55.56%
Winning Trades 424 329 95
Losing Trades 246 170 76
Even Trades 22 22 0

Avg. Trade Net Profit $6,044.29 $7,368.45 $2,009.88
Avg. Winning Trade $14,827.83 $16,986.14 $7,353.26
Avg. Losing Trade ($8,554.27) ($10,291.06) ($4,669.34)
Ratio Avg. Win:Avg. Loss 1.73 1.65 1.57
Largest Winning Trade $35,230.00 $35,230.00 $35,000.00
Largest Losing Trade ($43,540.00) ($43,540.00) ($16,850.00)
Largest Winner as % of Gross Profit 0.56% 0.63% 5.01%
Largest Loser as % of Gross Loss 2.07% 2.49% 4.75%

Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 9606.45% 8817.09% 2039.70%
Select Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 10633.43% 9844.06% 2039.70%
Adjusted Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 8597.06% 7801.29% 1372.78%

Max. Consecutive Winning Trades 89 70 32
Max. Consecutive Losing Trades 62 62 18
Avg. Bars in Total Trades 43.41 52.38 16.06
Avg. Bars in Winning Trades 50.13 59.85 16.46
Avg. Bars in Losing Trades 35.61 44.58 15.55
Avg. Bars in Even Trades 1 1 0

Max. Shares/Contracts Held 69 69 17
Total Shares/Contracts Held 700 529 171
Account Size Required $877,615.00 $854,905.00 $159,235.00
Total Slippage $0.00 $0.00 $0.00
Total Commission $0.00 $0.00 $0.00

Return on Initial Capital 4182.65%
Annual Rate of Return 67.30%
Buy & Hold Return 112.43%
Return on Account 476.59%
Avg. Monthly Return $86,703.38
Std. Deviation of Monthly Return $309,201.08

Return Retracement Ratio 0.82
RINA Index 490.43
Sharpe Ratio 0.17
K-Ratio n/a

Trading Period 5 Yrs, 6 Mths, 29 Dys
Percent of Time in the Market 88.24%
Time in the Market 4 Yrs, 11 Mths, 3 Dys, 7 Hrs
Longest Flat Period 36 Dys, 11 Hrs

Max. Equity Run-up $4,462,450.00
Date of Max. Equity Run-up 10/10/2025 17:00
Max. Equity Run-up as % of Initial Capital 4462.45%

Max. Drawdown (Intra-day Peak to Valley)
Value ($1,747,660.00) ($1,724,950.00) ($345,580.00)
Date 3/13/2023 17:00
as % of Initial Capital 1747.66% 1724.95% 345.58%
Net Profit as % of Drawdown 239.33% 222.55% 99.45%
Select Net Profit as % of Drawdown 264.91% 248.48% 99.45%
Adjusted Net Profit as % of Drawdown 214.18% 196.91% 66.93%

Max. Drawdown (Trade Close to Trade Close)
Value ($877,615.00) ($854,905.00) ($159,235.00)
Date 11/22/2022 17:00
as % of Initial Capital 877.62% 854.90% 159.24%
Net Profit as % of Drawdown 476.59% 449.05% 215.84%
Select Net Profit as % of Drawdown 527.54% 501.35% 215.84%
Adjusted Net Profit as % of Drawdown 426.51% 397.32% 145.27%

Max. Trade Drawdown ($60,415.00) ($60,415.00) ($28,590.00)



All Trades

Total Net Profit $4,182,650.00 Profit Factor 2.99
Gross Profit $6,287,000.00 Gross Loss ($2,104,350.00)

Roll Over Credit $0.00
Open Position Profit/Loss ($47,895.00)

Select Total Net Profit $4,629,795.00 Select Profit Factor 3.79
Select Gross Profit $6,287,000.00 Select Gross Loss ($1,657,205.00)

Adjusted Total Net Profit $3,743,157.83 Adjusted Profit Factor 2.67
Adjusted Gross Profit $5,981,676.29 Adjusted Gross Loss ($2,238,518.46)

Total Number of Trades 692 Percent Profitable 61.27%
Winning Trades 424 Losing Trades 246
Even Trades 22

Avg. Trade Net Profit $6,044.29 Ratio Avg. Win:Avg. Loss 1.73
Avg. Winning Trade $14,827.83 Avg. Losing Trade ($8,554.27)
Largest Winning Trade $35,230.00 Largest Losing Trade ($43,540.00)
Largest Winner as % of Gross Profit 0.56% Largest Loser as % of Gross Loss 2.07%

Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 9606.45%
Slct. Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 10633.43% Adj. Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 8597.06%

Max. Consecutive Winning Trades 89 Max. Consecutive Losing Trades 62
Avg. Bars in Winning Trades 50.13 Avg. Bars in Losing Trades 35.61
Avg. Bars in Total Trades 43.41

Max. Shares/Contracts Held 69 Account Size Required $877,615.00
Total Commission $0.00 Total Slippage $0.00

Return on Initial Capital 4182.65% Annual Rate of Return 67.30%
Buy and Hold Return 112.43% Return on Account 476.59%
Avg. Monthly Return $86,703.38 Std. Deviation of Monthly Return $309,201.08

Return Retracement Ratio 0.82 RINA Index 490.43
Sharpe Ratio 0.17 K-Ratio n/a

Trading Period 5 Yrs, 6 Mths, 29 Dys Percent of Time in the Market 88.24%
Time in the Market 4 Yrs, 11 Mths, 3 Dys, 7 Hrs Longest Flat Period 36 Dys, 11 Hrs

Max. Equity Run-up $4,462,450.00
Date of Max. E. Run-up 10/10/2025 17:00 Max. E. Run-up as % of Initial Capital 4462.45%

Max. Drawdown (Intra-day Peak to Valley) Max. Drawdown (Trade Close to Trade Close)
Value ($1,747,660.00) Value ($877,615.00)
Date 3/13/2023 17:00 Date 11/22/2022 17:00
as % of Initial Capital 1747.66% as % of Initial Capital 877.62%
Net Profit as % of Drawdown 239.33% Net Profit as % of Drawdown 476.59%
Slct. Net Profit as % of Drawdown 264.91% Slct. Net Profit as % of Drawdown 527.54%
Adj. Net Prof as % of Drawdown 214.18% Adj. Net Profit as % of Drawdown 426.51%

Max. Trade Drawdown ($60,415.00)

Long Trades

Total Net Profit $3,838,960.00 Profit Factor 3.19
Gross Profit $5,588,440.00 Gross Loss ($1,749,480.00)

Roll Over Credit $0.00
Open Position Profit/Loss ($47,895.00)

Select Total Net Profit $4,286,105.00 Select Profit Factor 4.29
Select Gross Profit $5,588,440.00 Select Gross Loss ($1,302,335.00)

Adjusted Total Net Profit $3,396,680.34 Adjusted Profit Factor 2.8
Adjusted Gross Profit $5,280,339.33 Adjusted Gross Loss ($1,883,658.99)

Total Number of Trades 521 Percent Profitable 63.15%
Winning Trades 329 Losing Trades 170
Even Trades 22

Avg. Trade Net Profit $7,368.45 Ratio Avg. Win:Avg. Loss 1.65
Avg. Winning Trade $16,986.14 Avg. Losing Trade ($10,291.06)
Largest Winning Trade $35,230.00 Largest Losing Trade ($43,540.00)
Largest Winner as % of Gross Profit 0.63% Largest Loser as % of Gross Loss 2.49%

Max. Consecutive Winning Trades 70 Max. Consecutive Losing Trades 62
Avg. Bars in Winning Trades 59.85 Avg. Bars in Losing Trades 44.58
Avg. Bars in Total Trades 52.38

Max. Shares/Contracts Held 69 Account Size Required $854,905.00
Total Commission $0.00 Total Slippage $0.00

Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 8817.09%
Slct. Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 9844.06% Adj. Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 7801.29%

Max. Drawdown (Intra-day Peak to Valley) Max. Drawdown (Trade Close to Trade Close)
Value ($1,724,950.00) Value ($854,905.00)
as % of Initial Capital 1724.95% as % of Initial Capital 854.90%
Net Profit as % of Drawdown 222.55% Net Profit as % of Drawdown 449.05%
Slct. Net Profit as % of Drawdown 248.48% Slct. Net Profit as % of Drawdown 501.35%
Adj. Net Prof as % of Drawdown 196.91% Adj. Net Profit as % of Drawdown 501.35%

Max. Trade Drawdown ($60,415.00)

Short Trades

Total Net Profit $343,690.00 Profit Factor 1.97
Gross Profit $698,560.00 Gross Loss ($354,870.00)

Roll Over Credit $0.00
Open Position Profit/Loss $0.00

Select Total Net Profit $343,690.00 Select Profit Factor 1.97
Select Gross Profit $698,560.00 Select Gross Loss ($354,870.00)

Adjusted Total Net Profit $231,312.88 Adjusted Profit Factor 1.58
Adjusted Gross Profit $626,889.26 Adjusted Gross Loss ($395,576.38)

Total Number of Trades 171 Percent Profitable 55.56%
Winning Trades 95 Losing Trades 76
Even Trades 0

Avg. Trade Net Proft $2,009.88 Ratio Avg. Win:Avg. Loss 1.57
Avg. Winning Trade $7,353.26 Avg. Losing Trade ($4,669.34)
Largest Winning Trade $35,000.00 Largest Losing Trade ($16,850.00)
Largest Winner as % of Gross Profit 5.01% Largest Loser as % of Gross Loss 2.49%

Max. Consecutive Winning Trades 32 Max. Consecutive Losing Trades 18
Avg. Bars in Winning Trades 16.46 Avg. Bars in Losing Trades 15.55
Avg. Bars in Total Trades 16.06

Max. Shares/Contracts Held 17 Account Size Required $159,235.00
Total Slippage $0.00 Total Commission $0.00

Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 2039.70%
Slct. Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 2039.70% Adj. Net Profit as % of Largest Loss 1372.78%

Max. Drawdown (Intra-day Peak to Valley) Max. Drawdown (Trade Close to Trade Close)
Value ($345,580.00) Value ($159,235.00)
as % of Initial Capital 345.58% as % of Initial Capital 159.24%
Net Profit as % of Drawdown 99.45% Net Profit as % of Drawdown 215.84%
Slct. Net Profit as % of Drawdown 99.45% Slct. Net Profit as % of Drawdown 215.84%
Adj. Net Prof as % of Drawdown 66.93% Adj. Net Prof as % of Drawdown 145.27%

Max. Trade Drawdown ($28,590.00)

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202638.993.037.4-23.5-4.546.6-4.1-36.2141.1

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/26/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$60,000
Age7 months
C2 Rank947
Rank at C2 %Top 5.3%
Rank ##263
What it tradesFutures
# Trades83
# Profitable63
% Profitable75.9%
Avg trade duration2.2 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown45.8%
drawdown periodOct 06, 2026 - Oct 22, 2026
Cumul. Return138.6%
Avg win$2,450
Avg loss$5,706

Ratios

W:L ratio1.35
Sharpe Ratio1.80
Sortino Ratio2.75
Calmar Ratio10.90

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.59
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life17.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)120.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)338.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)1.4%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)420.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity79.9%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.1%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss66.0%
Chance of 20% account loss46.0%
Chance of 30% account loss34.0%
Chance of 40% account loss10.5%
Chance of 50% account loss5.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)1.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)856
C2 Score947
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)770

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$5,706
Avg Win$2,450
# Winners63
Sum Trade PL (losers)$114,122
Sum Trade PL (winners)$154,356
Num Months Winners4
# Losers20
% Winners75.9%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table8

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3158.92
Avg Position Time (hrs)52.65
Avg Trade Length2.20
Last Trade Ago17

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)9.02
Daily leverage (max)17.93

Regression

Alpha0.23
Beta4.16
Treynor Index0.13

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.29
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.10
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.04
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades8.40
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.37
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats26.37
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats26.29
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.85
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.19
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.13

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean4.49
SD2.34
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.61
df5
t1.35
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.34
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.55
Sortino ratio12.08
Upside Potential Ratio14.08
Upside part of mean5.23
Downside part of mean-0.74
Upside SD2.47
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms3
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion4.49
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion2.34
Covariance0.36
r0.98
b (slope, estimate of beta)14.57
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.30
Mean Square Error0.23
DF error4
t(b)10.65
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.37
p(a)0.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta10.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta18.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.97
Treynor index (mean / b)0.31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.30
Mean2.72
SD1.57
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.46
df5
t1.23
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.46
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.37
Sortino ratio6.50
Upside Potential Ratio8.46
Upside part of mean3.55
Downside part of mean-0.82
Upside SD1.58
Downside SD0.42
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms3
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.31
Mean of criterion2.72
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion1.57
Covariance0.23
r0.98
b (slope, estimate of beta)10.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.46
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error4
t(b)9.73
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.78
p(a)0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta7.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta13.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.20
Treynor index (mean / b)0.27
Jensen alpha (a)-0.46
VaR(95%)0.40
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.50
VaR(95%)0.14
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.25
Mean2.04
SD0.85
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.39
df149
t1.81
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio5.00
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.99
Sortino ratio3.85
Upside Potential Ratio11.55
Upside part of mean6.13
Downside part of mean-4.09
Upside SD0.67
Downside SD0.53
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms67
N of observations150
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion2.04
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.85
Covariance0.07
r0.62
b (slope, estimate of beta)4.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.96
Mean Square Error0.45
DF error148
t(b)9.58
p(b)0.19
t(a)1.07
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.73
Treynor index (mean / b)0.50
Jensen alpha (a)0.96
Mean1.68
SD0.85
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.98
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.97
df149
t1.50
p0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.57
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.57
Sortino ratio3.00
Upside Potential Ratio10.59
Upside part of mean5.91
Downside part of mean-4.24
Upside SD0.64
Downside SD0.56
N nonnegative terms83
N negative terms67
N of observations150
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion1.68
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.85
Covariance0.07
r0.62
b (slope, estimate of beta)4.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.64
Mean Square Error0.45
DF error148
t(b)9.50
p(b)0.19
t(a)0.71
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.40
Treynor index (mean / b)0.41
Jensen alpha (a)0.64
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean0.48
SD0.81
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.59
df130
t0.42
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.37
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.37
Sortino ratio0.86
Upside Potential Ratio8.90
Upside part of mean5.00
Downside part of mean-4.51
Upside SD0.57
Downside SD0.56
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms65
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.81
Covariance0.06
r0.66
b (slope, estimate of beta)4.41
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.37
DF error129
t(b)9.91
p(b)0.11
t(a)-0.01
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.29
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.70
Treynor index (mean / b)0.11
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.16
SD0.81
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.19
df130
t0.14
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.96
Sortino ratio0.27
Upside Potential Ratio8.18
Upside part of mean4.84
Downside part of mean-4.68
Upside SD0.55
Downside SD0.59
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms65
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.16
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.81
Covariance0.06
r0.66
b (slope, estimate of beta)4.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.30
Mean Square Error0.38
DF error129
t(b)9.85
p(b)0.12
t(a)-0.35
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.54
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.04
Jensen alpha (a)-0.30
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.10
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum0.76
Quartile 10.92
Median1.19
Quartile 31.58
Maximum2.58
Mean of quarter 10.83
Mean of quarter 20.97
Mean of quarter 31.41
Mean of quarter 42.11
Inter Quartile Range0.65
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high2.58
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations150
Minimum0.85
Quartile 10.98
Median1.01
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.17
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.07
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.86
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.09
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations131
Minimum0.85
Quartile 10.97
Median1.00
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.14
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.86
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.32
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.11
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.09
Quartile 10.13
Median0.18
Quartile 30.22
Maximum0.27
Mean of quarter 10.09
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.27
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations14
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.41
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.25
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.21
Mean of outliers high0.31
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-4.95
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.71
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.45
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.47
Number of observations12
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.03
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.41
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.04
Mean of quarter 40.31
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.39
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-86.86
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.30
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-2.95
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.61
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.61
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-438426560
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)16
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)5.92
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)14.67
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)55.21
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs55.21
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal29.29
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)2.89
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)4.50
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)10.90
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs18.35
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal46.62
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.19
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.20
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.49
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.66
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.08

Trading record

Placed 83 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MES Z6long20Oct 5, 2026Oct 6, 2026$6,976
@MNQ Z6long10Oct 2, 2026Oct 2, 2026$2,141
@MES Z6long20Sep 29, 2026Oct 2, 2026$5,701
@ES U6long2Aug 14, 2026Sep 18, 2026($12,066)
@ES U6long1Aug 5, 2026Aug 13, 2026$3,280
@NQ U6long1Aug 11, 2026Aug 13, 2026$8,542
@ES U6long3Jun 15, 2026Aug 4, 2026$9,301
QQQ2618I720 long10Jun 17, 2026Jun 22, 2026$13,176
@ES U6long2Jun 12, 2026Jun 14, 2026$5,409
@ES U6long2Jun 11, 2026Jun 11, 2026$5,584
@NQ M6long1Jun 11, 2026Jun 11, 2026$3,707
@ES U6long3Jun 8, 2026Jun 11, 2026($17,912)
@ES M6long1Jun 2, 2026Jun 9, 2026($16,146)
@ES M6long1May 29, 2026May 31, 2026$855
@ES M6long1May 28, 2026May 28, 2026$1,217
@ES M6long2May 28, 2026May 28, 2026$978
@ES M6long2May 27, 2026May 27, 2026$1,240
@ES M6long2May 26, 2026May 27, 2026$2,397
@ES M6long2May 21, 2026May 24, 2026$3,465
@ES M6long4May 21, 2026May 21, 2026$2,143
@ES M6long3May 20, 2026May 21, 2026$2,214
@NQ M6long1May 20, 2026May 20, 2026$1,568
@ES M6long3May 19, 2026May 20, 2026$1,939
@ES M6long1May 19, 2026May 19, 2026$1,355
@ES M6long2May 19, 2026May 19, 2026$1,222
@NQ M6long1May 19, 2026May 19, 2026$1,987
@ES M6short1May 19, 2026May 19, 2026$505
@NQ M6long1May 19, 2026May 19, 2026($2,008)
@ES M6long1May 19, 2026May 19, 2026($571)
@ES M6short1May 18, 2026May 18, 2026($1,546)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.