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VoltAIc

Stocks · Started Mar 2026

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
4.5%
Max Drawdown
19.5%
Trades
16
Win Trades
56.2%
Profit Factor
2.50
Win Months
37.5%
Subscribe $197/mo

About this strategy

A good fit if you:

- Want leveraged Nasdaq exposure without -82% drawdowns
- Want fully automated execution via Collective2 AutoTrade
- Understand backtests are not guarantees of future performance
- Have a $25K+ brokerage account (recommended minimum)
- Want a system, not tips or market opinions

Not a fit if you:

- Can't tolerate a -27% drawdown (the historical worst case)
- Expect guaranteed returns
- Want to day trade or micro-manage positions
- Don't have a C2-compatible brokerage
- Are trading less than $10K

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2026-4.017.012.9-4.9-9.1-0.44.9-8.94.5

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/5/2026
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age8 months
C2 Rank940
Rank at C2 %Top 6.0%
Rank ##55
What it tradesStocks
# Trades16
# Profitable9
% Profitable56.2%
Avg trade duration13.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown19.5%
drawdown periodJune 02, 2026 - Sept 15, 2026
Cumul. Return4.5%
Avg win$479
Avg loss$252

Ratios

W:L ratio2.47
Sharpe Ratio0.41
Sortino Ratio0.60
Calmar Ratio3.29

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.60
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life12.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-8.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)7.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)39.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity23.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.6%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss14.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
C2 Score940
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$285
Avg Win$479
# Winners9
Sum Trade PL (losers)$1,995
Sum Trade PL (winners)$4,315
Num Months Winners3
# Losers7
% Winners56.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct18

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table8

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)19121.72
Avg Position Time (hrs)318.70
Avg Trade Length13.30
Last Trade Ago0

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.29
Daily leverage (max)3.01

Regression

Alpha-0.02
Beta1.04
Treynor Index0.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.05
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.51
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.62
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.14
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.15
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.70

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.52
SD0.31
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.48
df6
t1.30
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.18
Sortino ratio12.97
Upside Potential Ratio14.87
Upside part of mean0.60
Downside part of mean-0.08
Upside SD0.32
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms3
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.52
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.31
Covariance0.04
r0.84
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error5
t(b)3.41
p(b)0.01
t(a)0.65
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.85
Treynor index (mean / b)0.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
Mean0.48
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.48
df6
t1.30
p0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.18
Sortino ratio11.69
Upside Potential Ratio13.58
Upside part of mean0.55
Downside part of mean-0.08
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms3
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.03
r0.81
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.52
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error5
t(b)3.14
p(b)0.01
t(a)0.67
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.82
Treynor index (mean / b)0.31
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.33
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.63
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.63
df163
t1.29
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.11
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.11
Sortino ratio2.55
Upside Potential Ratio10.62
Upside part of mean1.36
Downside part of mean-1.04
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms80
N negative terms84
N of observations164
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.33
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.02
r0.68
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error162
t(b)11.76
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.79
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.52
Treynor index (mean / b)0.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.31
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.54
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.53
df163
t1.21
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.95
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.01
Sortino ratio2.37
Upside Potential Ratio10.41
Upside part of mean1.35
Downside part of mean-1.04
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms80
N negative terms84
N of observations164
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.31
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.02
r0.68
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error162
t(b)11.81
p(b)0.16
t(a)0.73
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.51
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.19
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.01
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.00
df130
t0.71
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.77
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.78
Sortino ratio1.53
Upside Potential Ratio10.01
Upside part of mean1.22
Downside part of mean-1.03
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.64
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.99
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)9.35
p(b)0.12
t(a)0.16
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.43
Treynor index (mean / b)0.19
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean0.17
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.92
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.91
df130
t0.65
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.69
Sortino ratio1.38
Upside Potential Ratio9.83
Upside part of mean1.21
Downside part of mean-1.04
Upside SD0.14
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms63
N negative terms68
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.17
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.01
r0.64
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.99
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)9.41
p(b)0.12
t(a)0.11
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.78
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.17
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum0.97
Quartile 10.99
Median1.01
Quartile 31.06
Maximum1.23
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.15
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high1.23
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations164
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.22
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.03
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations8
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.12
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.12
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.12
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-409613728
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)105
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.59
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)18.97
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs18.97
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.55
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.37
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.40
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.29
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.96
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal16.57
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.21
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.22
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.80
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.88
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal9.63

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
UGL long113Aug 4, 2026Aug 5, 2026$429
TQQQ long123Jul 30, 2026Jul 31, 2026$240
TQQQ long132Jul 23, 2026Jul 29, 2026($376)
TQQQ long31Jul 20, 2026Jul 22, 2026$77
UGL long116Jul 17, 2026Jul 20, 2026($18)
TQQQ long474Apr 9, 2026Jul 17, 2026$2,010
UGL long82Apr 2, 2026Apr 9, 2026$198
TQQQ long136Mar 30, 2026Apr 1, 2026$662
TQQQ long163Mar 25, 2026Mar 27, 2026($693)
UGL long91Mar 24, 2026Mar 25, 2026$249
TQQQ long153Mar 20, 2026Mar 24, 2026$198
UGL long75Mar 19, 2026Mar 20, 2026($252)
TQQQ long168Mar 18, 2026Mar 19, 2026($100)
UGL long70Mar 17, 2026Mar 18, 2026($314)
TQQQ long195Mar 12, 2026Mar 17, 2026$224

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.