Safety Factor Capital
- hypothetical · Cumul. Return
- 7.4%
- Max Drawdown
- 10.1%
- Trades
- 102
- Win Trades
- 65.7%
- Profit Factor
- 1.90
- Win Months
- 80.0%
About this strategy
Safety Factor Capital (SFC) is a long-biased equity strategy built to deliver steady, risk-controlled returns with low correlation to the broad equity market. We buy quality, large-cap businesses only when their price structure offers a clear margin of safety against well-defined technical support.
The approach borrows from structural engineering: every position is sized and bounded so that no single holding, sector or market move can compromise the integrity of the portfolio. Entries are technical; fundamentals and dividend profile confirm the quality of the business.
"We don't trade the noise; we trade the structure."
Portfolio Architecture: Core and Satellites
The portfolio has two blocks with different jobs, measured and reported separately.
• Core: long-term holdings in defensive, dividend-paying businesses with durable structure. The core provides stability and income, and its size is capped so it never crowds out the satellite engine. The cap is tied to the strategy's drawdown budget and reviewed periodically.
• Satellites: tactical long and short positions that rotate through a curated universe of liquid names, capturing range moves and turning them into realized gains.
Risk Framework
Risk limits are written, fixed and applied at entry, so capital preservation never depends on discretion in the moment.
• Position size: every position is sized as a defined fraction of total equity, so no single idea can damage the portfolio. Shorts are sized smaller than longs.
• Sector exposure: gross exposure per sector is capped, and net exposure is monitored, so the book never becomes a concentrated sector bet.
• Leverage: the strategy does not rely on margin as a structural source of return.
• Cash reserve: free capital is kept as tactical liquidity and as protection in market stress.
Short positions are a minority of the book, used mainly as hedges and occasionally as tactical opportunities, never as concentrated directional bets. Positions opened under an earlier sizing scheme are held to their natural exit; every new position follows the current rules.
Sector Policy
The strategy favors sectors with predictable cash flows: Consumer Staples, Healthcare, Energy, Utilities and infrastructure-related Real Estate. Other sectors are traded tactically through satellite positions.
SFC deliberately underweights large-cap Technology. Those names lead the market today and carry elevated correction risk; staying outside that concentration keeps the strategy's correlation to the index low. The trade-off is accepted: in technology-led periods SFC may lag the index, in exchange for lower beta and a differentiated return stream.
Dividends and Portfolio Objectives
Dividends are a complementary source of return, not an entry trigger. When a technical entry coincides with an upcoming ex-dividend date, the payment is captured; a dividend date never accelerates an entry that is not technically ready.
• Capital preservation: protecting the portfolio's structural integrity is the primary directive.
• Risk-adjusted growth: consistent returns with controlled drawdowns, prioritizing risk-adjusted ratios over headline return.
• Low correlation: a return stream that diversifies traditional equity portfolios.
• Yield and flow: dividend income from core holdings while each thesis unfolds.
Non-hedged Equity Trend-following
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.7 | -7.7 | 3.8 | 0.9 | 3.5 | 1.6 | 1.1 | -4.5 | 4.3 | 3.2 | 7.4 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 2/9/2026 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $5,000 |
| Age | 9 months |
| C2 Rank | 943 |
| Rank at C2 % | Top 5.7% |
| Rank # | #266 |
| What it trades | Stocks |
| # Trades | 102 |
| # Profitable | 67 |
| % Profitable | 65.7% |
| Avg trade duration | 35.2 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 10.1% |
| drawdown period | Feb 27, 2026 - March 22, 2026 |
| Cumul. Return | 7.4% |
| Avg win | $256 |
| Avg loss | $319 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 1.94 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.63 |
| Sortino Ratio | 0.97 |
| Calmar Ratio | 1.24 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.14 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 5.9% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | 1.5% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | 10.1% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | 0.1% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | 11.1% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 0.6% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 0.0% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.0% |
| Short Options - Percent Covered | 100.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 1.0% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 4.5% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 0.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 1.7% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 324 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 537 |
| C2 Score | 943 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 370 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 1 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $319 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $256 |
| # Winners | 67 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $11,180 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $17,156 |
| Num Months Winners | 8 |
| # Losers | 35 |
| % Winners | 65.7% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 2167 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 10 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 50715.42 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 845.26 |
| Avg Trade Length | 35.20 |
| Last Trade Ago | 0 |
Leverage
| Daily leverage (average) | 0.93 |
|---|---|
| Daily leverage (max) | 1.07 |
Regression
| Alpha | 0.02 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.11 |
| Treynor Index | 0.21 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | 8.87 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | -4.96 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 1.55 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.77 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | 0.12 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | -0.02 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.09 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.17 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.15 |
| df | 7 |
| t | -0.14 |
| p | 0.55 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.57 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.24 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -2.56 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.25 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.28 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.87 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.11 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.13 |
| Upside SD | 0.07 |
| Downside SD | 0.06 |
| N nonnegative terms | 3 |
| N negative terms | 5 |
| N of observations | 8 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.15 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.02 |
| SD of predictor | 0.13 |
| SD of criterion | 0.09 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.43 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.31 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.06 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 6 |
| t(b) | 1.16 |
| p(b) | 0.15 |
| t(a) | -0.53 |
| p(a) | 0.69 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.34 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.95 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.35 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.23 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.05 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.06 |
| Mean | -0.02 |
| SD | 0.09 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -0.21 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -0.19 |
| df | 7 |
| t | -0.18 |
| p | 0.57 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.61 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.20 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -2.59 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.21 |
| Sortino ratio | -0.34 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 1.81 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.11 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.13 |
| Upside SD | 0.06 |
| Downside SD | 0.06 |
| N nonnegative terms | 3 |
| N negative terms | 5 |
| N of observations | 8 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.14 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.02 |
| SD of predictor | 0.13 |
| SD of criterion | 0.09 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.43 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.31 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.06 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 6 |
| t(b) | 1.17 |
| p(b) | 0.14 |
| t(a) | -0.55 |
| p(a) | 0.70 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.34 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.97 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.35 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.22 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -0.06 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.06 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.04 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.06 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.03 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.04 |
| Mean | 0.09 |
| SD | 0.11 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.77 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.76 |
| df | 193 |
| t | 0.66 |
| p | 0.47 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.51 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 3.04 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.52 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 3.04 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.17 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 9.90 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.73 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.64 |
| Upside SD | 0.09 |
| Downside SD | 0.07 |
| N nonnegative terms | 101 |
| N negative terms | 93 |
| N of observations | 194 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.06 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.09 |
| SD of predictor | 0.14 |
| SD of criterion | 0.11 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.12 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.10 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.08 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 192 |
| t(b) | 1.73 |
| p(b) | 0.44 |
| t(a) | 0.62 |
| p(a) | 0.48 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.21 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.18 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.34 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.87 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.08 |
| Mean | 0.08 |
| SD | 0.11 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0.71 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0.71 |
| df | 193 |
| t | 0.61 |
| p | 0.47 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.57 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 2.99 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.57 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 2.99 |
| Sortino ratio | 1.08 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 9.80 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.72 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.64 |
| Upside SD | 0.08 |
| Downside SD | 0.07 |
| N nonnegative terms | 101 |
| N negative terms | 93 |
| N of observations | 194 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.05 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.08 |
| SD of predictor | 0.14 |
| SD of criterion | 0.11 |
| Covariance | 0.00 |
| r | 0.12 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.10 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.08 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 192 |
| t(b) | 1.71 |
| p(b) | 0.44 |
| t(a) | 0.58 |
| p(a) | 0.48 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.02 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.21 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.18 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.33 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0.82 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.08 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| Mean | 0.18 |
| SD | 0.11 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.67 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.66 |
| df | 130 |
| t | 1.18 |
| p | 0.45 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.11 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.45 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.12 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 4.44 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.81 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 11.70 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.74 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.56 |
| Upside SD | 0.09 |
| Downside SD | 0.06 |
| N nonnegative terms | 67 |
| N negative terms | 64 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | -0.01 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.18 |
| SD of predictor | 0.14 |
| SD of criterion | 0.11 |
| Covariance | -0.00 |
| r | -0.10 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.08 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.18 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | -1.18 |
| p(b) | 0.57 |
| t(a) | 1.18 |
| p(a) | 0.43 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.22 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.05 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.12 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.47 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -2.20 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.18 |
| Mean | 0.17 |
| SD | 0.11 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 1.62 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 1.61 |
| df | 130 |
| t | 1.15 |
| p | 0.45 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -1.16 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 4.40 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.17 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 4.39 |
| Sortino ratio | 2.71 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 11.58 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.74 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.56 |
| Upside SD | 0.09 |
| Downside SD | 0.06 |
| N nonnegative terms | 67 |
| N negative terms | 64 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | -0.02 |
| Mean of criterion | 0.17 |
| SD of predictor | 0.14 |
| SD of criterion | 0.11 |
| Covariance | -0.00 |
| r | -0.10 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | -0.08 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0.17 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.01 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | -1.20 |
| p(b) | 0.57 |
| t(a) | 1.14 |
| p(a) | 0.44 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.21 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.01 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.05 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.13 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.47 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -2.12 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0.17 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.01 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 8 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.97 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.98 |
| Median | 1.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.01 |
| Maximum | 1.05 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.97 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.99 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.01 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.03 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.03 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 194 |
| Minimum | 0.98 |
| Quartile 1 | 1.00 |
| Median | 1.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.00 |
| Maximum | 1.03 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.99 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.01 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 3 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.02 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.98 |
| Number of outliers high | 3 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.02 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.02 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | -0.05 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.46 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 0.98 |
| Quartile 1 | 1.00 |
| Median | 1.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 1.00 |
| Maximum | 1.03 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.99 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.01 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.01 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.98 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.01 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.03 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.03 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.22 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.01 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 2 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.03 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.03 |
| Median | 0.04 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.04 |
| Maximum | 0.04 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.03 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.04 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 8 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.01 |
| Median | 0.01 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.04 |
| Maximum | 0.09 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.02 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.08 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.04 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 11 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.00 |
| Median | 0.01 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.02 |
| Maximum | 0.07 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.05 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.02 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 1 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.09 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.07 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.21 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.05 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.08 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 2.83 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.09 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -1131599616 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 23 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.2% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.01 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.01 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0.19 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0.19 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0.15 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.11 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.11 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 1.24 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 1.37 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 8.17 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0.21 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0.22 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 2.98 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 4.65 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 17.30 |
Trading record
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA | short | 5 | Nov 5, 2026 | Nov 5, 2026 | ($3) |
| ENB | long | 40 | Aug 24, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 | ($66) |
| CMG | long | 150 | Oct 15, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 | $370 |
| PM | long | 10 | Oct 14, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 | $75 |
| WEN | long | 800 | Sep 14, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 | $214 |
| MU | short | 3 | Nov 3, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 | $44 |
| NVO | long | 100 | Nov 3, 2026 | Nov 4, 2026 | $228 |
| CMCSA | long | 300 | Oct 6, 2026 | Nov 3, 2026 | $621 |
| BSX | short | 60 | Oct 6, 2026 | Oct 23, 2026 | ($246) |
| MRK | short | 35 | Aug 18, 2026 | Oct 5, 2026 | ($2) |
| CPA | long | 65 | Sep 23, 2026 | Oct 5, 2026 | $345 |
| HSBC | short | 20 | Aug 5, 2026 | Oct 1, 2026 | $140 |
| CAT | long | 5 | Sep 21, 2026 | Sep 29, 2026 | ($18) |
| TXN | long | 15 | Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 29, 2026 | $156 |
| IBRX | long | 250 | Sep 22, 2026 | Sep 22, 2026 | $80 |
| CPA | long | 65 | Aug 17, 2026 | Sep 22, 2026 | $156 |
| SMCI | long | 50 | Aug 19, 2026 | Sep 22, 2026 | $183 |
| MDLZ | long | 50 | Aug 13, 2026 | Aug 24, 2026 | $63 |
| DIS | long | 50 | Aug 18, 2026 | Aug 24, 2026 | $267 |
| CMG | long | 70 | Aug 18, 2026 | Aug 24, 2026 | $276 |
| BAC | short | 40 | Aug 17, 2026 | Aug 24, 2026 | $70 |
| SG | long | 400 | Aug 19, 2026 | Aug 24, 2026 | $100 |
| WMT | long | 20 | Aug 19, 2026 | Aug 21, 2026 | ($281) |
| ABNB | short | 10 | Aug 17, 2026 | Aug 19, 2026 | ($83) |
| DELL | short | 6 | Aug 17, 2026 | Aug 18, 2026 | $87 |
| META | short | 5 | Aug 17, 2026 | Aug 18, 2026 | $126 |
| ETN | short | 6 | Aug 12, 2026 | Aug 13, 2026 | $57 |
| BA | long | 10 | Aug 3, 2026 | Aug 13, 2026 | $10 |
| HD | long | 10 | Aug 5, 2026 | Aug 13, 2026 | ($97) |
| SPOT | long | 5 | Jul 27, 2026 | Aug 13, 2026 | ($10) |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.