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BLACKSEA GOLD STRATEGY

Futures · Started Oct 2025

hypothetical · Cumul. Return
-115.6%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
7
Win Trades
85.7%
Profit Factor
0.80
Win Months
53.8%
Subscribe $595/mo

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202544.787.121.1227.8
202625.49.9-54.2-32.439.6-80.0-50.2688.0-76.9-150.0-105.4

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/27/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age12 months
C2 Rank13
What it tradesStocks, Options, Futures
# Trades7
# Profitable6
% Profitable85.7%
Avg trade duration50.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodAug 03, 2026 - Aug 05, 2026
Cumul. Return-115.6%
Avg win$6,701
Avg loss$47,650

Ratios

W:L ratio0.84
Sharpe Ratio0.69
Sortino Ratio2.23
Calmar Ratio-0.79

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.06
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life10.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-126.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-1.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-59.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity—
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.7%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.5%
Percent Trades Options0.3%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.2%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)98.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)93.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)85.5%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)63.5%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)452
C2 Score13
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$47,650
Avg Win$6,701
# Winners6
Sum Trade PL (losers)$47,650
Sum Trade PL (winners)$40,208
Num Months Winners7
# Losers1
% Winners85.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table13

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)73109.09
Avg Position Time (hrs)1218.48
Avg Trade Length50.80
Last Trade Ago166

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)5.43
Daily leverage (max)67.70

Regression

Alpha0
Beta23.20
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.16
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.19
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-9.00
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.27
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats15.56
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats14.84
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.59
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.10

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.47
SD1.66
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.26
df10
t0.27
p0.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.79
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.31
Sortino ratio0.43
Upside Potential Ratio2.45
Upside part of mean2.69
Downside part of mean-2.22
Upside SD1.15
Downside SD1.10
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms4
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.47
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion1.66
Covariance-0.03
r-0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)-2.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.69
Mean Square Error3.01
DF error9
t(b)-0.46
p(b)0.67
t(a)0.37
p(a)0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-12.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta8.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.93
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.23
Jensen alpha (a)0.69
Mean-1.10
SD2.02
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.50
df10
t-0.52
p0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.59
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.56
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.56
Sortino ratio-0.64
Upside Potential Ratio1.27
Upside part of mean2.21
Downside part of mean-3.31
Upside SD0.91
Downside SD1.73
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms4
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion-1.10
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion2.02
Covariance-0.02
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.97
Mean Square Error4.52
DF error9
t(b)-0.23
p(b)0.59
t(a)-0.42
p(a)0.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-14.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta11.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-6.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.21
Treynor index (mean / b)0.82
Jensen alpha (a)-0.97
VaR(95%)0.65
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.72
VaR(95%)0.36
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.66
Mean7.15
SD7.56
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.94
df246
t0.92
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.96
Sortino ratio4.39
Upside Potential Ratio12.27
Upside part of mean19.99
Downside part of mean-12.84
Upside SD7.38
Downside SD1.63
N nonnegative terms115
N negative terms132
N of observations247
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion7.15
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion7.56
Covariance0.18
r0.18
b (slope, estimate of beta)10.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)6.19
Mean Square Error55.48
DF error245
t(b)2.94
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.81
p(a)0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta17.81
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-8.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha21.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.67
Jensen alpha (a)6.19
Mean-1.31
SD3.49
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.38
df246
t-0.37
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.64
Sortino ratio-0.57
Upside Potential Ratio5.88
Upside part of mean13.57
Downside part of mean-14.88
Upside SD2.61
Downside SD2.31
N nonnegative terms115
N negative terms132
N of observations247
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion-1.31
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion3.49
Covariance0.15
r0.32
b (slope, estimate of beta)8.66
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.02
Mean Square Error10.92
DF error245
t(b)5.38
p(b)0
t(a)-0.59
p(a)0.72
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta11.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-8.73
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.69
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.15
Jensen alpha (a)-2.02
VaR(95%)0.30
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.36
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.23
Mean-0.58
SD2.69
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.21
df130
t-0.15
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.99
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.56
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.99
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.56
Sortino ratio-0.37
Upside Potential Ratio9.46
Upside part of mean15.04
Downside part of mean-15.62
Upside SD2.16
Downside SD1.59
N nonnegative terms57
N negative terms74
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion-0.58
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion2.69
Covariance0.12
r0.36
b (slope, estimate of beta)7.70
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.99
Mean Square Error6.35
DF error129
t(b)4.35
p(b)0.28
t(a)-0.56
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta11.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-9.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.09
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.08
Jensen alpha (a)-1.99
Mean-3.82
SD2.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.52
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.52
df130
t-1.08
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.26
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.26
Sortino ratio-2.14
Upside Potential Ratio7.44
Upside part of mean13.27
Downside part of mean-17.09
Upside SD1.76
Downside SD1.78
N nonnegative terms57
N negative terms74
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion-3.82
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion2.50
Covariance0.12
r0.40
b (slope, estimate of beta)7.99
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-5.22
Mean Square Error5.32
DF error129
t(b)4.94
p(b)0.25
t(a)-1.59
p(a)0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.78
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta11.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-11.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.26
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.48
Jensen alpha (a)-5.22
VaR(95%)0.24
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.28
VaR(95%)0.15
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.25

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum0.27
Quartile 10.59
Median1.13
Quartile 31.37
Maximum1.83
Mean of quarter 10.45
Mean of quarter 20.96
Mean of quarter 31.31
Mean of quarter 41.54
Inter Quartile Range0.78
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.01
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.61
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.73
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.47
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.82
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations247
Minimum0.20
Quartile 10.94
Median1
Quartile 31.06
Maximum7.96
Mean of quarter 10.84
Mean of quarter 20.97
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.28
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.65
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.95
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.19
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.23
Number of observations131
Minimum0.69
Quartile 10.90
Median0.97
Quartile 31.08
Maximum1.93
Mean of quarter 10.82
Mean of quarter 20.94
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.20
Inter Quartile Range0.18
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.56
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.26
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.19
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.22
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.21

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.89
Quartile 10.89
Median0.89
Quartile 30.89
Maximum0.89
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.09
Quartile 30.19
Maximum0.91
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30.14
Mean of quarter 40.55
Inter Quartile Range0.16
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.90
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.40
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.56
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.14
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.32
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.40
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.42
Number of observations2
Minimum0.46
Quartile 10.56
Median0.67
Quartile 30.77
Maximum0.88
Mean of quarter 10.46
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.88
Inter Quartile Range0.21
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1416727936
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)2
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.68
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.91
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.74
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.72
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.79
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.31
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.01
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.70
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.98
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.11
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.11
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-3.46

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
B long1500Jan 12, 2026Jan 29, 2026$6,891
GDX long125Jan 12, 2026Jan 13, 2026$223
B2821A37 long25Nov 12, 2025Jan 9, 2026$16,590
QGC Z5long0.5Nov 11, 2025Nov 12, 2025$1,576
QGC Z5long2Oct 27, 2025Nov 10, 2025$10,929
QGC Z5short1Oct 27, 2025Oct 27, 2025$3,932

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.