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AltData II

Stocks · Started Aug 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
3.0%
Max Drawdown
19.0%
Trades
49
Win Trades
55.1%
Profit Factor
1.30
Win Months
40.0%
Subscribe $50/mo

About this strategy

We speculate long/short on software stocks.
Weekly trading. Holding period of positions ca. 1 week
Quantitative Strategy, using Alternative Data Sources to understang growth of software companies

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-0.1-0.5-2.34.1-2.1-1.0
20261.60.13.65.0-0.2-1.1-0.4-7.1-4.17.84.5

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began8/30/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$5,000
Age14 months
C2 Rank201
What it tradesStocks
# Trades49
# Profitable27
% Profitable55.1%
Avg trade duration124.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown19.1%
drawdown periodJuly 07, 2026 - Sept 30, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)3.0%
Avg win$1,011
Avg loss$954

Ratios

W:L ratio1.32
Sharpe Ratio0.06
Sortino Ratio0.09
Calmar Ratio0.22

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.04
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life18.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-15.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)3.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)4.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity13.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.3%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss32.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)319
C2 Score201
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)411

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,161
Avg Win$1,206
# Winners26
Sum Trade PL (losers)$26,694
Sum Trade PL (winners)$31,367
Num Months Winners6
# Losers23
% Winners53.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct72

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table15

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)179648.98
Avg Position Time (hrs)2994.15
Avg Trade Length124.80
Last Trade Ago17

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.79
Daily leverage (max)1.19

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.03
Treynor Index-0.07

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades21.14
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-22.01
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.40
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.54
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.10

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.02
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.18
df12
t-0.20
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.70
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.71
Sortino ratio-0.26
Upside Potential Ratio1.64
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.15
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms6
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.01
r0.49
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.52
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error11
t(b)1.87
p(b)0.04
t(a)-0.98
p(a)0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.04
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
Mean-0.03
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.22
df12
t-0.25
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.65
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.66
Sortino ratio-0.32
Upside Potential Ratio1.57
Upside part of mean0.12
Downside part of mean-0.15
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms6
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.00
r0.48
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.52
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.10
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error11
t(b)1.80
p(b)0.05
t(a)-0.98
p(a)0.83
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.05
Jensen alpha (a)-0.10
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean0.01
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.10
df290
t0.11
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.76
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.96
Sortino ratio0.15
Upside Potential Ratio8.00
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms148
N negative terms143
N of observations291
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error289
t(b)-0.73
p(b)0.77
t(a)0.16
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.18
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.32
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
Mean0.01
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.06
df290
t0.06
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.92
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.80
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.92
Sortino ratio0.09
Upside Potential Ratio7.91
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.49
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms148
N negative terms143
N of observations291
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error289
t(b)-0.73
p(b)0.77
t(a)0.11
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.18
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.18
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.12
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.11
df130
t-0.79
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.66
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.89
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.66
Sortino ratio-1.55
Upside Potential Ratio6.68
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.64
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms67
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.12
Mean of criterion-0.12
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance-0.00
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)-1.48
p(b)0.58
t(a)-0.70
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Treynor index (mean / b)1.04
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
Mean-0.13
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.17
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.16
df130
t-0.83
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.94
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.61
Sortino ratio-1.60
Upside Potential Ratio6.58
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.64
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms64
N negative terms67
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion-0.13
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance-0.00
r-0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)-1.47
p(b)0.58
t(a)-0.75
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.19
Treynor index (mean / b)1.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations13
Minimum0.94
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-5.13
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.42
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations291
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.31
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.26
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.01
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.18
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.27
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.04
Median0.07
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.12
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations17
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.63
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.17
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.19
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.16
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-423790176
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)85
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.00
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.02
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.02
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.04
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.03
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.03
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.22
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.56
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.00
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.60
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.60
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-6.63

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
ASAN short588Jan 16, 2026Sep 8, 2026$17
DOCU short129May 4, 2026Aug 31, 2026($1,541)
NET short19Jul 13, 2026Jul 27, 2026($107)
GDDY long56Jul 13, 2026Jul 20, 2026$122
GDDY long71Apr 21, 2026Jun 22, 2026($811)
FTNT short65Mar 16, 2026Jun 15, 2026($3,085)
FRSH long731Jan 16, 2026Jun 15, 2026($243)
MNDY long87Jan 16, 2026Jun 15, 2026($1,689)
ZM long72Feb 23, 2026Jun 1, 2026$1,362
PAYO long1487Jan 16, 2026Jun 1, 2026$213
TEAM short44Jan 16, 2026May 18, 2026$186
TWLO long46Jan 16, 2026May 18, 2026$2,863
DOCN long109Jan 16, 2026May 18, 2026$6,195
STM long154Mar 2, 2026May 11, 2026$3,295
CRM short29Jan 16, 2026Mar 30, 2026$973
AKAM long59Jan 16, 2026Mar 16, 2026$595
CSCO short68Jan 16, 2026Feb 2, 2026($215)
TEAM short16Dec 22, 2025Jan 16, 2026$671
MNDY long34Dec 22, 2025Jan 16, 2026($730)
FRSH long399Dec 22, 2025Jan 16, 2026($646)
ASAN short173Dec 22, 2025Jan 16, 2026$523
TWLO long39Dec 8, 2025Jan 16, 2026($208)
PAYO long954Nov 10, 2025Jan 16, 2026($197)
ETHA short225Nov 10, 2025Jan 16, 2026$347
DLB long78Nov 10, 2025Jan 16, 2026($178)
HUBS long13Sep 4, 2025Jan 16, 2026($1,676)
CSCO short72Sep 4, 2025Jan 16, 2026($521)
AKAM long63Sep 4, 2025Jan 16, 2026$972
NVDA short29Sep 4, 2025Dec 8, 2025($389)
DDOG short37Sep 4, 2025Nov 10, 2025($2,494)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.