Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

HYBRID NASDAQ

Futures · Started Apr 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
61.3%
Max Drawdown
23.4%
Trades
12
Win Trades
58.3%
Profit Factor
8.50
Win Months
63.2%
Subscribe $150/mo

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202525.49.45.40.80.07.510.0-0.62.575.6
20260.7-2.0-9.323.913.4-1.2-8.14.05.0-4.718.7

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/9/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age19 months
C2 Rank307
What it tradesFutures
# Trades12
# Profitable7
% Profitable58.3%
Avg trade duration44.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown23.4%
drawdown periodJan 28, 2026 - March 30, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)61.3%
Avg win$4,603
Avg loss$755

Ratios

W:L ratio8.54
Sharpe Ratio1.56
Sortino Ratio2.37
Calmar Ratio3.25

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.52
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life40.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)68.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)61.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.6%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)66.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity7.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss30.5%
Chance of 20% account loss6.5%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)493
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)902
C2 Score307
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)844

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$795
Avg Win$4,603
# Winners7
Sum Trade PL (losers)$3,973
Sum Trade PL (winners)$32,223
Num Months Winners13
# Losers5
% Winners58.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table19

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)64064.75
Avg Position Time (hrs)1067.75
Avg Trade Length44.50
Last Trade Ago30

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.45
Daily leverage (max)3.79

Regression

Alpha0.07
Beta0.95
Treynor Index0.13

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.07
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.08
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.07
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.24
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.32
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats76.62
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats43.28
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.52
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-3.42
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.83

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.51
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.05
df17
t2.62
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.79
Sortino ratio8.69
Upside Potential Ratio10.45
Upside part of mean0.62
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms5
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.51
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.02
r0.73
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.71
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.15
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error16
t(b)4.23
p(b)0.14
t(a)0.94
p(a)0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.50
Treynor index (mean / b)0.30
Jensen alpha (a)0.15
Mean0.48
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.04
df17
t2.62
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.78
Sortino ratio7.96
Upside Potential Ratio9.72
Upside part of mean0.58
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.25
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms13
N negative terms5
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.48
SD of predictor0.10
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.02
r0.74
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error16
t(b)4.35
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.96
p(a)0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.46
Treynor index (mean / b)0.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.49
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.12
df394
t2.61
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.73
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.52
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.73
Sortino ratio3.43
Upside Potential Ratio10.73
Upside part of mean1.52
Downside part of mean-1.04
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms228
N negative terms167
N of observations395
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.49
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.02
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error393
t(b)13.91
p(b)0
t(a)1.84
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)0.49
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
Mean0.46
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)2.02
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)2.02
df394
t2.48
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.41
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.62
Sortino ratio3.20
Upside Potential Ratio10.47
Upside part of mean1.51
Downside part of mean-1.05
Upside SD0.18
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms228
N negative terms167
N of observations395
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.46
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance0.02
r0.57
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.99
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error393
t(b)13.89
p(b)0
t(a)1.74
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)0.47
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.26
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.30
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.29
df130
t0.92
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.48
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.07
Sortino ratio1.94
Upside Potential Ratio10.36
Upside part of mean1.40
Downside part of mean-1.14
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms72
N negative terms59
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.02
r0.71
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)11.29
p(b)0.09
t(a)0.43
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.49
Treynor index (mean / b)0.22
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean0.24
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.20
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.19
df130
t0.85
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.97
Sortino ratio1.77
Upside Potential Ratio10.17
Upside part of mean1.39
Downside part of mean-1.15
Upside SD0.15
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms72
N negative terms59
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.24
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.02
r0.70
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)11.26
p(b)0.09
t(a)0.38
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.97
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.48
Treynor index (mean / b)0.21
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations18
Minimum0.96
Quartile 10.99
Median1.04
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.22
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.02
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.13
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-39.93
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-3.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations395
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low15
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.16
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.01
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.06
Quartile 10.07
Median0.07
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10.06
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.08
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations33
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.19
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high0.14
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.11
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.10
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.36
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.19
Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.13
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-471120352
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)61
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.76
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)8.10
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs8.10
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.41
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.72
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.63
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.16
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal23.42
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.29
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.31
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.40
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.13
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal12.68

Trading record

Placed 77 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MNQ U6long2Aug 20, 2026Sep 18, 2026$483
@MNQ U6long3Jun 19, 2026Aug 4, 2026($2,363)
@MNQ M6long4Mar 20, 2026Jun 21, 2026$13,179
@MNQ H6long2Mar 12, 2026Mar 20, 2026($646)
@MNQ H6long7Dec 18, 2025Mar 1, 2026($642)
@MNQ Z5long8Sep 19, 2025Dec 18, 2025$4,907
MT V5long1Oct 10, 2025Oct 10, 2025($12)
@MNQ U5long3Aug 18, 2025Sep 19, 2025$1,835
@MNQ U5long0.8Aug 12, 2025Aug 18, 2025$46
@MNQ U5long1.44Jun 20, 2025Aug 12, 2025$1,776
@MNQ M5long4.32Apr 9, 2025Jun 20, 2025$9,974

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.