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BLACK SEA NASDAQ FUTURES

Futures · Futures · Started Apr 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-100.0%
Max Drawdown
90.3%
Trades
36
Win Trades
72.2%
Profit Factor
0.60
Win Months
0.0%

Trend-following Financials / Indexes

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-79.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-79.6
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/6/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age19 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades36
# Profitable26
% Profitable72.2%
Avg trade duration1.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown90.3%
drawdown periodApril 08, 2025 - April 09, 2025
Cumul. Return-79.6%
Avg win$1,294
Avg loss$5,221

Ratios

W:L ratio0.64
Sharpe Ratio-0.26
Sortino Ratio-0.31
Calmar Ratio-1.20

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.42
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life50.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-83.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-100.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.8%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-58.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity927.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.8%
Percent Trades Options0.2%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)8.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)685
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)704

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$5,221
Avg Win$1,294
# Winners26
Sum Trade PL (losers)$52,214
Sum Trade PL (winners)$33,635
Num Months Winners0
# Losers10
% Winners72.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table19

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)97.27
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.62
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago559

Regression

Alpha0.10
Beta-2.25
Treynor Index0.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.21
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat4.54
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.51
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.05
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-3.14
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.67
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats10.50
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats45.64
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.11
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.01
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.32

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.55
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.40

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QQQ2508D430 long840Apr 8, 2025Apr 9, 2025($32,228)
@NQ M5long1Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025$122
@NQ M5short1Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025($993)
@NQ M5long1Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025($1,538)
@NQ M5long1Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025($1,688)
@NQ M5long1Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025($2,238)
@ES M5long2Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025($9,416)
@NQ M5long1Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025$2,447
@NQ M5long1Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025$1,557
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 8, 2025Apr 8, 2025($1,142)
@ES M5long1Apr 7, 2025Apr 8, 2025$1,630
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,091
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025($999)
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$941
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,226
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,009
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,044
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,089
@ES M5long1Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$5,892
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,016
@ES M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$752
@ES M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,109
@ES M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025($660)
@NQ M5long1Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,260
@NQ M5short0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025($1,964)
@NQ M5long0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$831
@NQ M5long1Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,107
@NQ M5short0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$701
@NQ M5short0.5Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$921
@NQ M5long1Apr 7, 2025Apr 7, 2025$1,622

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.