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IncomeGenerator

Futures · Futures · Started Feb 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
11.7%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
184
Win Trades
94.6%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
47.6%

About this strategy

Experienced trader with Strategy tested for an year with real money on my personal account.

Trades usually closed on same day, occasionally take more time (maximum of 3-4 days).

Please have a capital of at least 12.5K or more. More capital is always better but minimum of 12.5K is mandatory.

Enable Commodities and Futures Trading in your brokerage account.

Please do not increase the trading percentage more than 100%.



Trend-following Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202512.70.115.117.05.03.9-5.1-4.114.36.66.195.0
2026-60.657.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-38.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/6/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age21 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades184
# Profitable174
% Profitable94.6%
Avg trade duration2.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodJan 29, 2026 - Jan 29, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)11.7%
Avg win$246
Avg loss$3,550

Ratios

W:L ratio1.21
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Sortino Ratio2.77
Calmar Ratio0.31

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.04
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life25.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-6.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)11.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)16.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity62.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.5%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss94.0%
Chance of 20% account loss91.0%
Chance of 30% account loss87.5%
Chance of 40% account loss83.0%
Chance of 50% account loss77.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)70.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)60.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)52.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)30.5%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$3,550
Avg Win$246
# Winners174
Sum Trade PL (losers)$35,503
Sum Trade PL (winners)$42,875
Num Months Winners10
# Losers10
% Winners94.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table21

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3731.62
Avg Position Time (hrs)62.19
Avg Trade Length2.60
Last Trade Ago266

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)5.27
Daily leverage (max)26.79

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.24
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.05
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat2.81
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.37
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades67.19
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.16
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.77
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.85
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.52
SD0.82
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.63
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.58
df11
t0.63
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.59
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.56
Sortino ratio1.27
Upside Potential Ratio3.10
Upside part of mean1.27
Downside part of mean-0.75
Upside SD0.69
Downside SD0.41
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms5
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.52
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.82
Covariance0.02
r0.23
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.46
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.38
Mean Square Error0.71
DF error10
t(b)0.74
p(b)0.24
t(a)0.44
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.30
Treynor index (mean / b)0.36
Jensen alpha (a)0.38
Mean0.23
SD0.77
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.30
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.28
df11
t0.30
p0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.26
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.69
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.24
Sortino ratio0.49
Upside Potential Ratio2.29
Upside part of mean1.08
Downside part of mean-0.85
Upside SD0.57
Downside SD0.47
N nonnegative terms7
N negative terms5
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.77
Covariance0.02
r0.24
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.41
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.62
DF error10
t(b)0.78
p(b)0.23
t(a)0.13
p(a)0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta5.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.89
Treynor index (mean / b)0.16
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
VaR(95%)0.29
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.35
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.25
Mean2.37
SD2.83
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.84
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.84
df275
t0.86
p0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.75
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.75
Sortino ratio2.74
Upside Potential Ratio7.10
Upside part of mean6.14
Downside part of mean-3.77
Upside SD2.70
Downside SD0.87
N nonnegative terms126
N negative terms150
N of observations276
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion2.37
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion2.83
Covariance-0.00
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.38
Mean Square Error8.06
DF error274
t(b)-0.03
p(b)0.51
t(a)0.86
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha7.84
Treynor index (mean / b)-106.16
Jensen alpha (a)2.38
Mean0.22
SD1.91
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.11
df275
t0.12
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.80
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.02
Sortino ratio0.17
Upside Potential Ratio3.63
Upside part of mean4.59
Downside part of mean-4.38
Upside SD1.43
Downside SD1.26
N nonnegative terms126
N negative terms150
N of observations276
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion1.91
Covariance0.01
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error3.68
DF error274
t(b)0.27
p(b)0.39
t(a)0.10
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.87
Treynor index (mean / b)1.49
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.18
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.22
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean3.95
SD4.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.97
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.96
df130
t0.68
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.74
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.74
Sortino ratio3.29
Upside Potential Ratio8.05
Upside part of mean9.65
Downside part of mean-5.70
Upside SD3.89
Downside SD1.20
N nonnegative terms51
N negative terms80
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion3.95
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion4.08
Covariance-0.05
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.16
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)4.36
Mean Square Error16.74
DF error129
t(b)-0.65
p(b)0.54
t(a)0.75
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-4.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-7.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha15.88
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.41
Jensen alpha (a)4.36
Mean-0.44
SD2.73
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.16
df130
t-0.11
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.61
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.61
Sortino ratio-0.25
Upside Potential Ratio3.61
Upside part of mean6.47
Downside part of mean-6.92
Upside SD2.04
Downside SD1.79
N nonnegative terms51
N negative terms80
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion-0.44
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion2.73
Covariance-0.03
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.77
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.18
Mean Square Error7.47
DF error129
t(b)-0.64
p(b)0.54
t(a)-0.05
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.17
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-7.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha7.51
Treynor index (mean / b)0.57
Jensen alpha (a)-0.18
VaR(95%)0.24
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.29
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.70
Quartile 10.93
Median1.01
Quartile 31.15
Maximum1.54
Mean of quarter 10.78
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.37
Inter Quartile Range0.23
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.54
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-9.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.24
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.33
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.33
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.35
Number of observations276
Minimum0.33
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum3.62
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.09
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low18
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.86
Number of outliers high18
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.27
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.86
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.37
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.88
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.32
Number of observations131
Minimum0.33
Quartile 10.98
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum3.62
Mean of quarter 10.92
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.84
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.46
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.74
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.29
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.78
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.32

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.19
Quartile 10.21
Median0.23
Quartile 30.27
Maximum0.31
Mean of quarter 10.19
Mean of quarter 20.23
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.31
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations24
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.91
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.30
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.51
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.80
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.30
Expected Shortfall (moments method)1.65
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.57
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.34
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations10
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.07
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.91
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.41
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.57
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.53
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.31
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.38
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.11
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-542352192
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)20
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.29
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.29
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.96
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.96
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.83
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.28
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.28
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.31
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.93
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.29
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.37
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.34
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.37
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.83
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.16

Trading record

Placed 19 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QMGC V6short5Jan 8, 2026Feb 2, 2026($19,764)
QMGC Z6short3Jan 13, 2026Jan 14, 2026$187
@MES U6short5Jan 2, 2026Jan 14, 2026$103
@MNQ Z6short3Jan 6, 2026Jan 8, 2026$57
QMGC V6short3Jan 6, 2026Jan 6, 2026$163
QMGC V6long3Jan 6, 2026Jan 6, 2026$238
QMGC V6long3Jan 6, 2026Jan 6, 2026$331
QMGC Q6short3Jan 5, 2026Jan 5, 2026$190
QMGC Q6long3Jan 4, 2026Jan 5, 2026$793
@MES U6short3Jan 2, 2026Jan 2, 2026$109
QMGC Q6long2Dec 31, 2025Jan 2, 2026$377
@MNQ M6short3Nov 24, 2025Dec 31, 2025$73
QMGC Q6long2Dec 29, 2025Dec 29, 2025$107
QMGC G6short3Dec 22, 2025Dec 29, 2025$186
QMGC M6long3Nov 13, 2025Dec 1, 2025$637
QMGC J6long3Nov 13, 2025Nov 13, 2025$178
QMGC J6short3Nov 11, 2025Nov 11, 2025$268
QMGC J6short3Nov 11, 2025Nov 11, 2025$178
QMGC J6long3Nov 3, 2025Nov 9, 2025$862
QMGC G6short3Oct 23, 2025Oct 23, 2025$241
QMGC J6short3Oct 22, 2025Oct 22, 2025$223
QMGC G6long3Oct 21, 2025Oct 21, 2025$325
@MES H6short3Oct 19, 2025Oct 20, 2025$124
QMGC G6short8Oct 16, 2025Oct 17, 2025$3,058
@MNQ M6short4Sep 25, 2025Oct 14, 2025$564
QMGC G6short4Oct 7, 2025Oct 9, 2025$2,673
QMGC G6short4Sep 29, 2025Sep 30, 2025$1,157
QMGC G6short4Sep 29, 2025Sep 29, 2025$265
QMGC G6short4Sep 25, 2025Sep 25, 2025$421
QMGC G6short7Sep 23, 2025Sep 25, 2025$1,995

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.