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Atlas Growth

Stocks · Started Jan 2025

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
12.6%
Max Drawdown
42.2%
Trades
331
Win Trades
26.6%
Profit Factor
1.20
Win Months
43.5%

About this strategy

At Foster Capital, we invest in high-growth companies that demonstrate both strong fundamentals and clear market leadership.

We begin by identifying businesses with accelerating earnings and revenue growth, solid financial health, and durable competitive advantages. We then require technical confirmation through price action and trend analysis, ensuring that the market is validating the underlying fundamentals.

Positions are built using a proprietary progressive exposure framework, allowing us to scale into winning trades while controlling risk. Exits are managed through an internally developed EMA-based system, designed to protect capital and lock in gains.

All position sizing is driven by a volatility-adjusted risk model incorporating Average True Range (ATR) metrics, ensuring consistent risk management across the entire portfolio.

Risk control is central to our philosophy. We start with small allocations, apply systematic stop losses, and only increase exposure as trends strengthen. In periods of market stress, we rotate into defensive assets such as short-term US Treasuries (e.g. SGOV) to preserve capital and stabilize returns.

Our goal is to compound capital by participating in the strongest market trends while maintaining strict discipline around risk and drawdowns.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2025-4.3-7.1-1.01.99.749.320.6-24.62.82.5-4.7-0.733.1
202622.02.8-10.57.419.6-12.0-9.0-19.60.00.00.0-7.2

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/31/2025
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,000
Age22 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades331
# Profitable88
% Profitable26.6%
Avg trade duration12.0 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown42.2%
drawdown periodJune 03, 2026 - Aug 24, 2026
Annual Return (Compounded)12.6%
Avg win$664
Avg loss$197

Ratios

W:L ratio1.22
Sharpe Ratio0.42
Sortino Ratio0.57
Calmar Ratio0.86

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.22
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life25.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-1.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)12.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)22.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity73.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.2%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss70.0%
Chance of 20% account loss39.5%
Chance of 30% account loss26.5%
Chance of 40% account loss10.5%
Chance of 50% account loss2.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)259
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)343

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$197
Avg Win$664
# Winners88
Sum Trade PL (losers)$47,864
Sum Trade PL (winners)$58,453
Num Months Winners10
# Losers243
% Winners26.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct19

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table23

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)17334.22
Avg Position Time (hrs)288.90
Avg Trade Length12
Last Trade Ago78

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.34
Daily leverage (max)10.06

Regression

Alpha0.03
Beta0.60
Treynor Index0.09

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades6.29
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-1.03
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.17
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.17
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.16

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.39
SD0.48
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.81
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.77
df15
t0.94
p0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.95
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.49
Sortino ratio1.60
Upside Potential Ratio3.54
Upside part of mean0.86
Downside part of mean-0.47
Upside SD0.41
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms7
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.39
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.48
Covariance0.02
r0.47
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error14
t(b)1.99
p(b)0.27
t(a)0.19
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.95
Treynor index (mean / b)0.19
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean0.28
SD0.46
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.58
df15
t0.71
p0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.32
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.29
Sortino ratio1.08
Upside Potential Ratio3.00
Upside part of mean0.79
Downside part of mean-0.50
Upside SD0.37
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms7
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion0.46
Covariance0.02
r0.48
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.98
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.17
DF error14
t(b)2.07
p(b)0.26
t(a)-0.03
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.82
Treynor index (mean / b)0.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.18
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.22
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
Mean0.36
SD0.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.90
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.90
df350
t1.04
p0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.59
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.80
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.59
Sortino ratio1.24
Upside Potential Ratio7.63
Upside part of mean2.22
Downside part of mean-1.86
Upside SD0.28
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms222
N negative terms129
N of observations351
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.40
Covariance0.01
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.16
DF error349
t(b)3.60
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.80
p(a)0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.76
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.95
Treynor index (mean / b)0.74
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
Mean0.28
SD0.41
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.69
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.69
df350
t0.80
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.38
Sortino ratio0.93
Upside Potential Ratio7.25
Upside part of mean2.19
Downside part of mean-1.91
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms222
N negative terms129
N of observations351
Mean of predictor0.17
Mean of criterion0.28
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.41
Covariance0.01
r0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.50
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.20
Mean Square Error0.16
DF error349
t(b)3.60
p(b)0.00
t(a)0.57
p(a)0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.77
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.88
Treynor index (mean / b)0.56
Jensen alpha (a)0.20
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.24
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.62
df130
t-0.44
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.15
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.39
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.15
Sortino ratio-0.80
Upside Potential Ratio5.78
Upside part of mean1.71
Downside part of mean-1.94
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms84
N negative terms47
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.18
Mean of criterion-0.24
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.02
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.61
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.34
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error129
t(b)3.25
p(b)0.33
t(a)-0.66
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.68
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.38
Jensen alpha (a)-0.34
Mean-0.31
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.81
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.80
df130
t-0.57
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.97
Sortino ratio-1.02
Upside Potential Ratio5.53
Upside part of mean1.68
Downside part of mean-1.99
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.30
N nonnegative terms84
N negative terms47
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.16
Mean of criterion-0.31
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.02
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.63
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.41
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error129
t(b)3.26
p(b)0.33
t(a)-0.78
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.63
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.49
Jensen alpha (a)-0.41
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations16
Minimum0.82
Quartile 10.93
Median1.04
Quartile 31.11
Maximum1.28
Mean of quarter 10.87
Mean of quarter 20.98
Mean of quarter 31.06
Mean of quarter 41.22
Inter Quartile Range0.18
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.52
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.86
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.16
Number of observations351
Minimum0.87
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low32
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.95
Number of outliers high25
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.54
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.08
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.92
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low19
Percentage of outliers low0.15
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high19
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.50
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.08
Quartile 10.12
Median0.16
Quartile 30.23
Maximum0.30
Mean of quarter 10.08
Mean of quarter 20.16
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.30
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations15
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.05
Quartile 30.11
Maximum0.37
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30.07
Mean of quarter 40.24
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high0.31
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.94
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.26
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.26
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.35
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.44
Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.05
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.37
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.08
Mean of quarter 40.24
Inter Quartile Range0.09
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.37
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1395982720
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)82
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.33
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.08
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.08
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.48
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.32
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.86
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.37
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal6.53
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.29
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.27
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.71
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.09
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-5.45

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
LNVGY long40Aug 7, 2026Aug 24, 2026($142)
PANW long18Aug 5, 2026Aug 24, 2026($584)
MU long5Aug 13, 2026Aug 24, 2026($494)
LRCX long8Aug 13, 2026Aug 24, 2026($304)
SNDK long2Aug 13, 2026Aug 24, 2026($238)
HPE long121Aug 5, 2026Aug 24, 2026($582)
DELL long12Aug 5, 2026Aug 24, 2026($757)
@MES U6long1Aug 4, 2026Aug 24, 2026($300)
NTAP long30Aug 10, 2026Aug 24, 2026($577)
CRWD long15Aug 5, 2026Aug 24, 2026($421)
@MNQ U6long1Aug 5, 2026Aug 24, 2026($1,853)
STX long7Aug 14, 2026Aug 24, 2026($1,164)
FTNT long6Aug 5, 2026Aug 19, 2026($95)
@ES U6long1Aug 4, 2026Aug 4, 2026($8)
MKSI long6Jun 30, 2026Jul 2, 2026($381)
ALAB long4Jun 30, 2026Jul 2, 2026($315)
AIP long40Jun 29, 2026Jul 2, 2026($491)
ICHR long20Jun 29, 2026Jul 2, 2026($134)
KLAC long10Jun 29, 2026Jul 2, 2026($457)
UCTT long16Jun 29, 2026Jul 2, 2026($293)
LRCX long8Jun 29, 2026Jul 2, 2026($484)
AMAT long6Jun 29, 2026Jul 2, 2026($646)
EWT long36Jun 18, 2026Jun 24, 2026($183)
AMD long7Jun 15, 2026Jun 24, 2026($266)
MU long8Jun 15, 2026Jun 24, 2026($720)
WDC long6Jun 15, 2026Jun 24, 2026($58)
STX long4Jun 15, 2026Jun 24, 2026($181)
ALAB long11Jun 12, 2026Jun 24, 2026$103
VECO long53Jun 12, 2026Jun 24, 2026($280)
MRVL long13Jun 18, 2026Jun 23, 2026($470)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.