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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

Quanatee US30
(148792747)

Created by: Quanatee Quanatee
Started: 08/2024
Stocks
Last trade: 25 days ago
Trading style: Equity Trend-following

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $38.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Trend-following
Category: Equity

Trend-following

Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
3.0%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(3.4%)
Max Drawdown
156
Num Trades
39.1%
Win Trades
1.8 : 1
Profit Factor
40.0%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2024                                                 +5.6%+0.4%(1.6%)(1.2%)  -  +3.0%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 4 hours.

Trading Record

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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Show More details Show Fewer details
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
11/21/24 12:07 CRM SALESFORCE INC LONG 6 340.31 11/26 11:33 341.09 0.08%
Trade id #150144950
Max drawdown($28)
Time11/21/24 15:52
Quant open6
Worst price335.63
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
$5
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.12
11/19/24 15:38 MMM 3M SHORT 8 128.13 11/26 11:33 129.51 0.03%
Trade id #150126424
Max drawdown($12)
Time11/25/24 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price130.60
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
($11)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.16
11/19/24 14:07 IBM INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES LONG 2 209.91 11/26 11:33 226.83 0%
Trade id #150125707
Max drawdown($0)
Time11/19/24 15:04
Quant open2
Worst price209.63
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$34
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.04
11/19/24 11:38 WMT WALMART INC LONG 22 87.33 11/26 11:33 90.77 0.09%
Trade id #150123437
Max drawdown($31)
Time11/20/24 0:00
Quant open22
Worst price85.91
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
$76
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.44
11/18/24 13:07 MSFT MICROSOFT SHORT 1 416.09 11/26 11:33 426.03 0.03%
Trade id #150114778
Max drawdown($11)
Time11/26/24 10:44
Quant open1
Worst price427.25
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
($10)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.02
11/18/24 13:07 VZ VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS LONG 3 42.33 11/26 11:33 44.14 0%
Trade id #150114776
Max drawdown($1)
Time11/20/24 0:00
Quant open3
Worst price41.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$5
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.06
11/18/24 12:38 HON HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL SHORT 9 227.46 11/26 11:33 230.21 0.13%
Trade id #150114498
Max drawdown($45)
Time11/26/24 9:30
Quant open9
Worst price232.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
($25)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.18
11/18/24 11:13 MCD MCDONALD'S SHORT 1 292.47 11/26 11:33 295.12 0.01%
Trade id #150112619
Max drawdown($4)
Time11/26/24 9:42
Quant open1
Worst price297.28
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
($3)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.02
11/15/24 11:51 CVX CHEVRON LONG 10 161.36 11/26 11:33 161.19 0.06%
Trade id #150098295
Max drawdown($20)
Time11/18/24 0:00
Quant open9
Worst price159.07
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
($2)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.20
11/7/24 13:06 AAPL APPLE LONG 2 227.07 11/26 11:33 230.89 0.02%
Trade id #150031196
Max drawdown($5)
Time11/11/24 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price221.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
$8
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.04
11/20/24 12:56 HD HOME DEPOT SHORT 2 401.39 11/25 9:38 427.74 0.15%
Trade id #150134986
Max drawdown($54)
Time11/25/24 9:37
Quant open2
Worst price428.66
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
($53)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.04
11/20/24 10:50 INTC INTEL SHORT 57 24.11 11/25 9:38 25.24 0.18%
Trade id #150132773
Max drawdown($65)
Time11/25/24 9:38
Quant open57
Worst price25.27
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
($65)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.14
11/19/24 13:07 AXP AMERICAN EXPRESS SHORT 6 285.78 11/25 9:38 298.26 0.21%
Trade id #150124909
Max drawdown($76)
Time11/25/24 9:31
Quant open4
Worst price304.84
Drawdown as % of equity-0.21%
($75)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.12
11/19/24 11:50 JPM JPMORGAN CHASE SHORT 5 244.45 11/25 9:38 250.79 0.14%
Trade id #150124283
Max drawdown($49)
Time11/25/24 9:30
Quant open5
Worst price254.31
Drawdown as % of equity-0.14%
($32)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.10
11/21/24 12:07 TRV TRAVELERS COMPANIES SHORT 4 259.88 11/22 9:38 261.13 0.02%
Trade id #150144948
Max drawdown($9)
Time11/21/24 13:19
Quant open4
Worst price262.15
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
($5)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.08
11/18/24 15:38 NKE NIKE SHORT 68 74.80 11/22 9:38 76.50 0.34%
Trade id #150116120
Max drawdown($123)
Time11/22/24 9:38
Quant open68
Worst price76.62
Drawdown as % of equity-0.34%
($117)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.36
11/18/24 13:07 CAT CATERPILLAR SHORT 2 383.00 11/22 9:38 385.48 0.02%
Trade id #150114774
Max drawdown($9)
Time11/21/24 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price392.02
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
($5)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.04
11/8/24 11:07 DOW DOW INC SHORT 79 44.20 11/22 9:38 44.56 0.08%
Trade id #150040143
Max drawdown($30)
Time11/22/24 9:38
Quant open-47
Worst price44.85
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
($30)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.58
11/11/24 12:45 TRV TRAVELERS COMPANIES LONG 17 259.48 11/21 10:45 259.66 0.13%
Trade id #150057673
Max drawdown($48)
Time11/14/24 0:00
Quant open11
Worst price255.09
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
$3
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.34
11/14/24 13:06 CSCO CISCO SYSTEMS SHORT 4 58.11 11/21 9:38 57.36 0%
Trade id #150088625
Max drawdown($0)
Time11/14/24 13:09
Quant open4
Worst price58.17
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$3
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.08
11/14/24 11:38 UNH UNITEDHEALTH GROUP SHORT 1 598.17 11/20 10:49 592.01 0%
Trade id #150087071
Max drawdown($0)
Time11/15/24 0:00
Quant open1
Worst price598.93
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$6
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.02
11/19/24 13:07 HD HOME DEPOT SHORT 1 408.23 11/20 9:38 403.56 0%
Trade id #150124907
Max drawdown($0)
Time11/19/24 14:13
Quant open1
Worst price408.66
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$5
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.02
10/23/24 12:45 KO COCA-COLA SHORT 21 66.32 11/20 9:38 63.73 0.01%
Trade id #149809202
Max drawdown($2)
Time10/23/24 13:53
Quant open4
Worst price68.70
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$55
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.42
11/18/24 12:07 JPM JPMORGAN CHASE LONG 7 245.33 11/19 9:37 242.79 0.07%
Trade id #150114106
Max drawdown($26)
Time11/19/24 9:31
Quant open7
Worst price241.55
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
($18)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.14
11/14/24 12:37 IBM INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS MACHINES SHORT 12 207.06 11/19 9:37 206.79 0.05%
Trade id #150088314
Max drawdown($17)
Time11/14/24 15:59
Quant open7
Worst price209.52
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
$3
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.24
11/6/24 15:06 BA BOEING SHORT 4 146.62 11/19 9:37 147.82 0.03%
Trade id #150015146
Max drawdown($12)
Time11/7/24 0:00
Quant open3
Worst price152.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
($5)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.08
11/6/24 12:45 DIS WALT DISNEY LONG 6 101.26 11/19 9:37 103.27 0.01%
Trade id #150012541
Max drawdown($4)
Time11/8/24 0:00
Quant open4
Worst price97.61
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
$12
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.12
11/7/24 10:51 WMT WALMART INC LONG 48 85.24 11/18 9:37 84.61 0.12%
Trade id #150028758
Max drawdown($44)
Time11/15/24 0:00
Quant open34
Worst price83.94
Drawdown as % of equity-0.12%
($31)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.96
11/6/24 12:06 HON HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL LONG 2 215.86 11/15 10:45 224.19 0%
Trade id #150011647
Max drawdown($0)
Time11/6/24 13:00
Quant open2
Worst price215.42
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
$17
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.04
11/14/24 13:55 INTC INTEL LONG 25 25.01 11/15 9:37 24.61 0.03%
Trade id #150089124
Max drawdown($11)
Time11/15/24 9:36
Quant open25
Worst price24.55
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
($11)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.50

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    8/1/2024
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $5,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    138.32
  • Age
    142 days ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    156
  • # Profitable
    61
  • % Profitable
    39.10%
  • Avg trade duration
    6.9 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    3.43%
  • drawdown period
    Aug 22, 2024 - Nov 26, 2024
  • Cumul. Return
    3.0%
  • Avg win
    $54.69
  • Avg loss
    $20.75
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $36,327
  • Margin Used
    ($77)
  • Buying Power
    $36,395
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.76:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.97
  • Sortino Ratio
    1.96
  • Calmar Ratio
    4.442
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -8.12%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.17080
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    8.89%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    8.0%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    3.40%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.85%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.030%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    10.5%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    100.00%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    337
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    1
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $21
  • Avg Win
    $55
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $1,970.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    5
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $3,336.000
  • # Winners
    61
  • Num Months Winners
    3
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    31
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    95
  • % Winners
    39.1%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    9830.97
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    163.85
  • Avg Trade Length
    6.8 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    21
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    0.41
  • Daily leverage (max)
    2.29
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.01
  • Beta
    0.07
  • Treynor Index
    0.25
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -0.63
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    3.262
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.439
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.521
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.305
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.09318
  • SD
    0.11404
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.81703
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.59120
  • df
    3.00000
  • t
    0.47171
  • p
    0.33466
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.69620
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.20655
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.83636
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.01876
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.07070
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.58030
  • Upside part of mean
    0.16933
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.07615
  • Upside SD
    0.09776
  • Downside SD
    0.03034
  • N nonnegative terms
    1.00000
  • N negative terms
    3.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    4.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.29247
  • Mean of criterion
    0.09318
  • SD of predictor
    0.08334
  • SD of criterion
    0.11404
  • Covariance
    0.00173
  • r
    0.18220
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.24932
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.02026
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01886
  • DF error
    2.00000
  • t(b)
    0.26205
  • p(b)
    0.40890
  • t(a)
    0.05534
  • p(a)
    0.48045
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -3.84426
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    4.34290
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.55485
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.59537
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.37373
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.02026
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.08791
  • SD
    0.11128
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.79000
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.57165
  • df
    3.00000
  • t
    0.45611
  • p
    0.33965
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.71773
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.17784
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.85378
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.99708
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    2.88546
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    5.39423
  • Upside part of mean
    0.16435
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.07644
  • Upside SD
    0.09489
  • Downside SD
    0.03047
  • N nonnegative terms
    1.00000
  • N negative terms
    3.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    4.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.28584
  • Mean of criterion
    0.08791
  • SD of predictor
    0.08100
  • SD of criterion
    0.11128
  • Covariance
    0.00166
  • r
    0.18431
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.25322
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.01554
  • Mean Square Error
    0.01794
  • DF error
    2.00000
  • t(b)
    0.26519
  • p(b)
    0.40785
  • t(a)
    0.04337
  • p(a)
    0.48467
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -3.85513
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    4.36156
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.52577
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.55685
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.34719
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.01554
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.04449
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.05717
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01686
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02237
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    4.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98823
  • Quartile 1
    0.99103
  • Median
    0.99668
  • Quartile 3
    1.01575
  • Maximum
    1.05877
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98823
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99196
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00140
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.05877
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.02471
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.25000
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.05877
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    1.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01971
  • Quartile 1
    0.01971
  • Median
    0.01971
  • Quartile 3
    0.01971
  • Maximum
    0.01971
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.00000
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00000
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.11809
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.12280
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    6.23080
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    0.00000
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    2.14797
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.08481
  • SD
    0.05462
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.55267
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.53983
  • df
    91.00000
  • t
    0.92007
  • p
    0.17998
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.76669
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.86367
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.77526
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.85493
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.29383
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.92430
  • Upside part of mean
    0.28127
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.19647
  • Upside SD
    0.04812
  • Downside SD
    0.02575
  • N nonnegative terms
    37.00000
  • N negative terms
    55.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    92.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.28312
  • Mean of criterion
    0.08481
  • SD of predictor
    0.13937
  • SD of criterion
    0.05462
  • Covariance
    0.00132
  • r
    0.17319
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.06788
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.06600
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00293
  • DF error
    90.00000
  • t(b)
    1.66826
  • p(b)
    0.04937
  • t(a)
    0.71286
  • p(a)
    0.23889
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.01296
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.14871
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.11720
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.24838
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.24943
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.06559
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.08332
  • SD
    0.05440
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.53143
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.51878
  • df
    91.00000
  • t
    0.90749
  • p
    0.18327
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.78771
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.84231
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.79611
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.83367
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    3.22820
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.85240
  • Upside part of mean
    0.28009
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.19678
  • Upside SD
    0.04783
  • Downside SD
    0.02581
  • N nonnegative terms
    37.00000
  • N negative terms
    55.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    92.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.27333
  • Mean of criterion
    0.08332
  • SD of predictor
    0.13952
  • SD of criterion
    0.05440
  • Covariance
    0.00131
  • r
    0.17244
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.06724
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.06494
  • Mean Square Error
    0.00290
  • DF error
    90.00000
  • t(b)
    1.66079
  • p(b)
    0.05012
  • t(a)
    0.70888
  • p(a)
    0.24012
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.01319
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.14768
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.11706
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.24693
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    1.23909
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.06494
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00520
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00659
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00192
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.00374
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    92.00000
  • Minimum
    0.99252
  • Quartile 1
    0.99921
  • Median
    1.00000
  • Quartile 3
    1.00060
  • Maximum
    1.01593
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.99746
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99977
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00024
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.00424
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00139
  • Number outliers low
    7.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.07609
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.99540
  • Number of outliers high
    12.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.13043
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.00686
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.05340
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00215
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00290
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.18867
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00231
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00360
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    3.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00600
  • Quartile 1
    0.00714
  • Median
    0.00829
  • Quartile 3
    0.01738
  • Maximum
    0.02648
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00600
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00829
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.02648
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01024
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.11342
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.11765
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    4.44238
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    4.44238
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    17.84550
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.00500
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.50%
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -369296000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    96

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2024-08-01
Suggested Minimum Capital
$5,000
# Trades
156
# Profitable
61
% Profitable
39.1%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.171
Sharpe Ratio
0.97
Sortino Ratio
1.96
Beta
0.07
Alpha
0.01
Leverage
0.41 Average
2.29 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.