Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

SDF Fund

Equity · Stocks · Started Jul 2024

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
27.2%
Max Drawdown
55.3%
Trades
10
Win Trades
80.0%
Profit Factor
1.60
Win Months
39.3%

About this strategy

SDF Fund Group A is a strategy based on a real investment fund that earns on market anomalies. SDF Fund consists of 4 groups of strategies.



The first group of strategies consists of 3 strategies and its basic principle is to identify the low cost of market risk hedging instruments with abnormal values and parallel opening of positions with market risk. This group of strategies is an alternative way to buy market volatility at the time of their "cheap" cost.


The second group of strategies identifies abnormal values of instruments tied directly to volatility indicators, such as derivatives on the VIX index. 3 strategies are prescribed, including entry points and an action plan depending on possible scenarios. This group of strategies does not have a hedge.


The third group of strategies is aimed at identifying anomalies in the raw materials market due to the deviation of current values from the "real" values that are necessary for the functioning of the world economy. These investments are of a medium-term nature, since it is unknown exactly how long it will take to transition to "normal" value.

The final group of strategies identifies abnormal corrections in all directions and forms a position based on the "ladder" principle at the right time. In this group of strategies, there are more than 4 strategies for the following instruments: the stock market, the bond market and the real estate market.

The SDF Fund strategy is based on the strategy of a real fund, only here signals with high risk and without the use of option instruments are published. In the near future we will finish the website and describe the news in detail.



sdf-solutions.com

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202419.2132.55.9-3.3-10.0-0.7153.8
2025-2.44.914.89.8-9.42.9-6.4-8.23.77.7-4.1-13.5-4.2
2026-2.411.2-5.5-7.0-8.00.0-5.9-6.9-16.211.0-28.5

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/11/2024
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age28 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades10
# Profitable8
% Profitable80.0%
Avg trade duration194.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown55.3%
drawdown periodApril 29, 2025 - July 26, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)27.2%
Avg win$3,066
Avg loss$8,323

Ratios

W:L ratio1.56
Sharpe Ratio0.53
Sortino Ratio1.19
Calmar Ratio1.45

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.26
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life36.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)36.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)27.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)33.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity91.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.7%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss55.0%
Chance of 20% account loss44.0%
Chance of 30% account loss33.5%
Chance of 40% account loss20.5%
Chance of 50% account loss8.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$8,323
Avg Win$3,066
# Winners8
Sum Trade PL (losers)$16,646
Sum Trade PL (winners)$24,530
Num Months Winners12
# Losers2
% Winners80.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct1468

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table28

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)280208.62
Avg Position Time (hrs)4670.14
Avg Trade Length194.60
Last Trade Ago458

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.83
Daily leverage (max)5.15

Regression

Alpha0.13
Beta-0.92
Treynor Index-0.11

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.16
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.58
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.66
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.04
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.58
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.90
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.25
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.17
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.47

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.31
SD1.79
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.73
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.69
df13
t0.79
p0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.15
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.52
Sortino ratio4.07
Upside Potential Ratio5.91
Upside part of mean1.90
Downside part of mean-0.59
Upside SD1.74
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms8
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion1.31
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion1.79
Covariance-0.17
r-0.42
b (slope, estimate of beta)-3.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.18
Mean Square Error2.88
DF error12
t(b)-1.59
p(b)0.71
t(a)1.31
p(a)0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-7.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.80
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.40
Jensen alpha (a)2.18
Mean0.53
SD1.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.48
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.46
df13
t0.52
p0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.28
Sortino ratio1.42
Upside Potential Ratio3.17
Upside part of mean1.18
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.99
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms8
N of observations14
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.53
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion1.09
Covariance-0.12
r-0.50
b (slope, estimate of beta)-2.39
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.11
Mean Square Error0.97
DF error12
t(b)-1.99
p(b)0.75
t(a)1.16
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-5.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.19
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.22
Jensen alpha (a)1.11
VaR(95%)0.38
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.45
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.23
Mean0.88
SD1.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.87
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df305
t0.94
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.94
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.68
Sortino ratio3.23
Upside Potential Ratio11.01
Upside part of mean2.99
Downside part of mean-2.11
Upside SD0.97
Downside SD0.27
N nonnegative terms132
N negative terms174
N of observations306
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.88
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion1.00
Covariance-0.06
r-0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.19
Mean Square Error0.94
DF error304
t(b)-4.75
p(b)1
t(a)1.32
p(a)0.09
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.69
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.96
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.75
Jensen alpha (a)1.19
Mean0.53
SD0.77
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.68
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.68
df305
t0.74
p0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.50
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.13
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.50
Sortino ratio1.88
Upside Potential Ratio9.58
Upside part of mean2.68
Downside part of mean-2.15
Upside SD0.72
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms132
N negative terms174
N of observations306
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.53
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.77
Covariance-0.05
r-0.30
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.77
Mean Square Error0.54
DF error304
t(b)-5.42
p(b)1
t(a)1.13
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.11
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.52
Jensen alpha (a)0.77
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean-0.86
SD0.48
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.78
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.77
df130
t-1.26
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.56
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.00
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.01
Sortino ratio-2.41
Upside Potential Ratio5.75
Upside part of mean2.04
Downside part of mean-2.90
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD0.36
N nonnegative terms56
N negative terms75
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.62
Mean of criterion-0.86
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.48
Covariance-0.03
r-0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.64
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error129
t(b)-2.47
p(b)0.63
t(a)-0.95
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.63
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)2.47
Jensen alpha (a)-0.64
Mean-0.97
SD0.48
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.01
df130
t-1.43
p0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.76
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.80
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.77
Sortino ratio-2.65
Upside Potential Ratio5.42
Upside part of mean1.99
Downside part of mean-2.97
Upside SD0.31
Downside SD0.37
N nonnegative terms56
N negative terms75
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.57
Mean of criterion-0.97
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion0.48
Covariance-0.03
r-0.21
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.35
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.77
Mean Square Error0.22
DF error129
t(b)-2.46
p(b)0.63
t(a)-1.15
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.63
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.55
Treynor index (mean / b)2.81
Jensen alpha (a)-0.77
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations14
Minimum0.70
Quartile 10.96
Median0.97
Quartile 31.03
Maximum2.87
Mean of quarter 10.86
Mean of quarter 20.97
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.54
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.70
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high2.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.42
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.13
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.16
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.69
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.71
Number of observations306
Minimum0.90
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.97
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low18
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high21
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.42
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.90
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.15
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.13
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.17
Quartile 10.23
Median0.28
Quartile 30.34
Maximum0.39
Mean of quarter 10.17
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.39
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations9
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.03
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.51
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.35
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high0.35
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-3.38
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.20
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.20
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.26
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.60
Expected Shortfall (regression method)1.11
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.04
Quartile 30.17
Maximum0.51
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.51
Inter Quartile Range0.15
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.51
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-489450368
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)88
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.78
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.74
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.90
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.90
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.65
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.78
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.74
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.45
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.09
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal8.11
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.75
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.61
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.20
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.20
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-9.74

Trading record

Placed 9 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
UNG long300Jul 8, 2025Jul 8, 2025$0
SQQQ long120Aug 7, 2024Apr 7, 2025$1,024
UVXY long380Sep 12, 2024Mar 11, 2025$2,198
UNG long270Aug 5, 2024Jan 21, 2025$1,252
UVXY long120Aug 14, 2024Sep 6, 2024$872
UNG long180Aug 5, 2024Aug 5, 2024$9
TMF long60Jul 11, 2024Aug 5, 2024$511
UVXY long480Jul 11, 2024Aug 5, 2024$18,636

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.