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Featured Strategy Income Trades Followed by live capital $138,000 Hypothetical

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Playground
(148420498)

Created by: aengus aengus
Started: 06/2024
Stocks
Last trade: Today
Trading style: Equity Trend-following Momentum

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $45.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Trend-following
Category: Equity

Trend-following

Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
-4.3%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(12.0%)
Max Drawdown
122
Num Trades
55.7%
Win Trades
0.8 : 1
Profit Factor
25.0%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2024                                   (0.2%)+1.4%(2.7%)(2.7%)                  (4.3%)

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Show More details Show Fewer details
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
9/13/24 9:30 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 337 32.52 9/16 9:30 32.03 0.11%
Trade id #149382430
Max drawdown($53)
Time9/13/24 10:31
Quant open337
Worst price32.36
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
 ($172)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.74
9/13/24 9:31 LABU DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BULL LONG 116 131.96 9/16 9:30 141.00 n/a $1,047
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.32
9/11/24 9:30 SSO PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500 LONG 85 82.38 9/12 9:30 84.27 0.5%
Trade id #149355046
Max drawdown($223)
Time9/11/24 10:47
Quant open85
Worst price79.75
Drawdown as % of equity-0.50%
 $159
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.70
9/11/24 9:30 QLD PROSHARES ULTRA QQQ LONG 76 89.63 9/12 9:30 93.01 0.57%
Trade id #149355040
Max drawdown($253)
Time9/11/24 10:55
Quant open76
Worst price86.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.57%
 $255
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.52
9/11/24 9:30 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 385 28.89 9/12 9:30 31.75 1.56%
Trade id #149355043
Max drawdown($696)
Time9/11/24 10:48
Quant open385
Worst price27.08
Drawdown as % of equity-1.56%
 $1,093
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.70
9/9/24 9:30 SVXY PROSHARES SHORT VIX SHORT-TERM LONG 25 47.70 9/11 9:30 49.50 0.01%
Trade id #149321436
Max drawdown($6)
Time9/9/24 11:21
Quant open25
Worst price47.44
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $45
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.50
9/6/24 9:30 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 105 28.17 9/11 9:30 28.34 0.03%
Trade id #149292155
Max drawdown($11)
Time9/6/24 11:00
Quant open105
Worst price28.06
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 $16
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.10
9/9/24 9:30 VIXY PROSHARES VIX SHORT-TERM FUTUR LONG 333 13.58 9/10 9:30 12.83 0.55%
Trade id #149321441
Max drawdown($249)
Time9/10/24 9:30
Quant open333
Worst price12.83
Drawdown as % of equity-0.55%
 ($257)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.66
9/9/24 9:30 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 72 27.18 9/10 9:30 27.54 0.16%
Trade id #149321450
Max drawdown($74)
Time9/9/24 11:00
Quant open72
Worst price26.15
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
 $25
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.44
8/28/24 9:30 SPXL DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BULL 3X LONG 91 149.06 9/9 9:30 141.30 2.27%
Trade id #149080362
Max drawdown($1,036)
Time9/6/24 0:00
Quant open81
Worst price136.26
Drawdown as % of equity-2.27%
 ($708)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.82
9/4/24 9:30 QYLD GLOBAL X NASDAQ 100 COVERED CALL ETF LONG 118 17.52 9/9 9:30 17.31 0.09%
Trade id #149244620
Max drawdown($42)
Time9/6/24 0:00
Quant open118
Worst price17.16
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
 ($27)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.36
8/28/24 9:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 80 68.45 9/5 9:30 61.12 1.35%
Trade id #149080354
Max drawdown($624)
Time9/4/24 0:00
Quant open80
Worst price60.65
Drawdown as % of equity-1.35%
 ($589)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.60
8/30/24 9:30 SVXY PROSHARES SHORT VIX SHORT-TERM LONG 102 53.43 9/5 9:30 47.82 1.38%
Trade id #149130479
Max drawdown($641)
Time9/4/24 0:00
Quant open102
Worst price47.14
Drawdown as % of equity-1.38%
 ($574)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.04
8/28/24 9:30 TECL DIREXION DAILY TECHNOLOGY BULL LONG 25 85.62 9/4 9:30 69.54 0.89%
Trade id #149080348
Max drawdown($414)
Time9/4/24 9:30
Quant open25
Worst price69.05
Drawdown as % of equity-0.89%
 ($403)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.50
8/28/24 9:30 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 112 37.58 9/4 9:30 33.79 1.07%
Trade id #149080368
Max drawdown($497)
Time9/4/24 9:30
Quant open57
Worst price28.85
Drawdown as % of equity-1.07%
 ($427)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.24
9/3/24 9:30 LABU DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BULL LONG 30 139.35 9/4 9:30 128.19 0.83%
Trade id #149204652
Max drawdown($386)
Time9/4/24 9:30
Quant open30
Worst price126.48
Drawdown as % of equity-0.83%
 ($336)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.60
8/28/24 9:30 TNA DIREXION DAILY SMALL CAP BULL 3X LONG 96 43.00 9/4 9:30 39.80 0.72%
Trade id #149080372
Max drawdown($332)
Time9/4/24 9:30
Quant open96
Worst price39.54
Drawdown as % of equity-0.72%
 ($309)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.92
8/29/24 9:30 QYLD GLOBAL X NASDAQ 100 COVERED CALL ETF LONG 118 17.80 9/3 9:30 17.84 0.02%
Trade id #149094370
Max drawdown($8)
Time8/29/24 15:13
Quant open118
Worst price17.72
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
 $3
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.36
8/30/24 9:30 UUP INVESCO DB USD INDEX BULLISH FUND ETF LONG 105 28.25 9/3 9:30 28.26 0.01%
Trade id #149130468
Max drawdown($4)
Time8/30/24 9:59
Quant open105
Worst price28.21
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 ($1)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.10
8/29/24 9:30 TMF DIREXION DAILY 20-YR TREASURY BULL 3X SHRS LONG 50 57.15 8/30 9:30 57.60 0.05%
Trade id #149094371
Max drawdown($23)
Time8/29/24 10:41
Quant open50
Worst price56.68
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
 $22
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
8/29/24 9:30 LABU DIREXION DAILY S&P BIOTECH BULL LONG 30 139.70 8/30 9:30 140.50 0.11%
Trade id #149094372
Max drawdown($53)
Time8/29/24 9:51
Quant open30
Worst price137.90
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
 $23
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.60
8/29/24 9:30 SVXY PROSHARES SHORT VIX SHORT-TERM LONG 23 52.90 8/30 9:30 53.49 0.01%
Trade id #149094369
Max drawdown($5)
Time8/29/24 14:48
Quant open23
Worst price52.64
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $14
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.46
8/28/24 9:30 SSO PROSHARES ULTRA S&P 500 LONG 19 86.50 8/29 9:30 86.20 0.07%
Trade id #149080364
Max drawdown($36)
Time8/28/24 14:00
Quant open19
Worst price84.59
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
 ($6)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.38
8/28/24 9:30 QLD PROSHARES ULTRA QQQ LONG 13 96.63 8/29 9:30 95.38 0.09%
Trade id #149080358
Max drawdown($44)
Time8/28/24 14:01
Quant open13
Worst price93.21
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
 ($16)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.26
8/27/24 9:30 SOXL DIREXION DAILY SEMICONDCT BULL LONG 53 36.51 8/28 9:30 38.09 0.11%
Trade id #149069473
Max drawdown($52)
Time8/27/24 9:45
Quant open53
Worst price35.52
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
 $83
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.06
8/27/24 9:30 VIXY PROSHARES VIX SHORT-TERM FUTUR LONG 374 11.52 8/28 9:30 11.16 0.31%
Trade id #149069468
Max drawdown($153)
Time8/27/24 16:00
Quant open374
Worst price11.11
Drawdown as % of equity-0.31%
 ($142)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.48
8/26/24 9:30 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 18 70.27 8/27 9:30 67.73 0.1%
Trade id #149049798
Max drawdown($49)
Time8/26/24 10:39
Quant open18
Worst price67.53
Drawdown as % of equity-0.10%
 ($46)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.36
8/26/24 9:30 SVXY PROSHARES SHORT VIX SHORT-TERM LONG 24 53.20 8/27 9:30 52.72 0.04%
Trade id #149049810
Max drawdown($18)
Time8/26/24 11:56
Quant open24
Worst price52.43
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
 ($12)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.48
8/26/24 9:30 SPXL DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BULL 3X LONG 11 156.27 8/27 9:30 153.18 0.08%
Trade id #149049813
Max drawdown($37)
Time8/26/24 14:09
Quant open11
Worst price152.84
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
 ($34)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.22
8/26/24 9:30 QYLD GLOBAL X NASDAQ 100 COVERED CALL ETF LONG 118 17.85 8/27 9:30 17.78 0.03%
Trade id #149049800
Max drawdown($13)
Time8/26/24 10:40
Quant open118
Worst price17.73
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 ($10)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.36
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    6/16/2024
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $15,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    92.1
  • Age
    92 days ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    122
  • # Profitable
    68
  • % Profitable
    55.70%
  • Avg trade duration
    2.9 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    12.02%
  • drawdown period
    July 25, 2024 - Sept 11, 2024
  • Cumul. Return
    -4.3%
  • Avg win
    $129.15
  • Avg loss
    $194.24
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $18,682
  • Margin Used
    ($8,054)
  • Buying Power
    $26,884
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    0.84:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    -0.9
  • Sortino Ratio
    -1.14
  • Calmar Ratio
    -1.144
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -7.98%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.43660
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    3.48%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    -15.4%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    6.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    -0.043%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.58%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    -12.2%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    7.00%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    71.02%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    0
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    0
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    941
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
    $130
  • Avg Loss
    $195
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $10,504.000
  • # Winners
    68
  • Num Months Winners
    1
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    4
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $8,847.000
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    27
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    54
  • % Winners
    55.7%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    4189.20
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    69.82
  • Avg Trade Length
    2.9 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    0
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    0.77
  • Daily leverage (max)
    2.17
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    -0.06
  • Beta
    0.43
  • Treynor Index
    -0.11
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    -1.37
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -4.494
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.624
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.338
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.222
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.18800
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01600
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -352272000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    48
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.75%

Strategy Description

This portfolio strategically buys and sells positions attempting to beat a simple buy-and-hold. It offers a good alternative and complement to longer term position investors and good exposure characteristics.

The portfolio does not commit all of its allocation to the market at all times but selectively buys and sells them on a daily basis. At times only one or two positions are held but this can change and rise quickly if conditions are suitable.

Underneath, this engages a small collection of four complementary strategies for buying the index related equities but also selected leveraged ETFs.

Uses LABU, QQQ, QLD, TQQQ, SOXL, SPXL, SSO, SVXY, TECL, TMF, UUP, UBT, VIXY

This strategy is expected to win about 60% of its trades with a win/loss ratio of about 1.2. On average it has yielded about 40% CAGR
Trade this strategy at Interactive Brokers

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2024-06-16
Suggested Minimum Capital
$15,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 5.9%
Rank # 
#142
# Trades
122
# Profitable
68
% Profitable
55.7%
Net Dividends
$26
Correlation S&P500
0.437
Sharpe Ratio
-0.90
Sortino Ratio
-1.14
Beta
0.43
Alpha
-0.06
Leverage
0.77 Average
2.17 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

#PERSONNAME#
subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.