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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more

KeshavPracticeTrade
(146223519)

Created by: KeshavAgrawal_CA_CPA KeshavAgrawal_CA_CPA
Started: 10/2023
Stocks
Last trade: 30 days ago
Trading style: Equity Trend-following Momentum

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $150.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Equity
Trend-following
Category: Equity

Trend-following

Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
Momentum
Category: Equity

Momentum

Aims to capitalize on the continuance of existing trends in the market. Trader takes a long position in an asset in an upward trend, and short-sells a security that has been in a downward trend. While similar to Trend-following, tends to be more forward-looking (predicting oncoming trend), while Momentum is more backward-looking (observing already-established price direction).
-7.9%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(19.1%)
Max Drawdown
482
Num Trades
59.5%
Win Trades
1.0 : 1
Profit Factor
42.9%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023                                                               (1.4%)+2.7%+4.2%+5.6%
2024+4.8%(2.5%)(1.7%)(13.2%)                                                (12.7%)

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

System developer has asked us to delay this information by 168 hours.

Trading Record

Download CSV
Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Show More details Show Fewer details
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
3/19/24 9:58 UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE SHORT 200 71.52 3/19 10:14 71.70 0.07%
Trade id #147682722
Max drawdown($36)
Time3/19/24 10:14
Quant open200
Worst price71.70
Drawdown as % of equity-0.07%
($40)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.00
3/19/24 9:58 USO UNITED STATES OIL SHORT 300 77.98 3/19 10:14 78.24 0.15%
Trade id #147682714
Max drawdown($78)
Time3/19/24 10:14
Quant open300
Worst price78.24
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
($84)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
3/18/24 13:04 TSLA TESLA INC. SHORT 40 172.16 3/19 10:13 171.76 0.17%
Trade id #147674919
Max drawdown($89)
Time3/18/24 15:35
Quant open40
Worst price174.41
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
$15
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.80
3/18/24 14:46 MSTR MICROSTRATEGY LONG 5 1511.87 3/19 9:44 1277.24 2.25%
Trade id #147675835
Max drawdown($1,184)
Time3/19/24 9:43
Quant open5
Worst price1275.00
Drawdown as % of equity-2.25%
($1,173)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.10
3/13/24 10:50 LUV SOUTHWEST AIRLINES LONG 300 28.82 3/19 9:37 28.03 0.6%
Trade id #147626667
Max drawdown($318)
Time3/14/24 0:00
Quant open300
Worst price27.76
Drawdown as % of equity-0.60%
($243)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
3/8/24 12:30 RIVN RIVIAN AUTOMOTIVE INC. CLASS A LONG 200 12.86 3/19 9:37 11.25 0.87%
Trade id #147578621
Max drawdown($464)
Time3/14/24 0:00
Quant open200
Worst price10.54
Drawdown as % of equity-0.87%
($326)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.00
3/18/24 14:56 UGA UNITED STATES GASOLINE SHORT 200 71.41 3/19 9:36 71.72 0.09%
Trade id #147675916
Max drawdown($45)
Time3/19/24 9:31
Quant open200
Worst price71.64
Drawdown as % of equity-0.09%
($66)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.00
3/18/24 14:53 USO UNITED STATES OIL SHORT 300 77.94 3/19 9:36 78.21 0.17%
Trade id #147675885
Max drawdown($90)
Time3/19/24 9:34
Quant open300
Worst price78.24
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
($87)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
3/18/24 12:56 GOOGL ALPHABET INC CLASS A SHORT 350 148.31 3/18 13:03 148.10 0.03%
Trade id #147674452
Max drawdown($14)
Time3/18/24 13:01
Quant open350
Worst price148.35
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$67
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.00
3/18/24 12:59 SPXS DIREXION DAILY S&P500 BEAR 3X LONG 1,000 9.31 3/18 13:03 9.30 0.02%
Trade id #147674851
Max drawdown($10)
Time3/18/24 13:03
Quant open1,000
Worst price9.30
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
($15)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/18/24 12:53 TECS DIREXION DAILY TECHNOLOGY BEAR 3X LONG 2,000 7.90 3/18 13:03 7.89 0.02%
Trade id #147674359
Max drawdown($10)
Time3/18/24 12:56
Quant open2,000
Worst price7.89
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
($25)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/18/24 12:54 SVXY PROSHARES SHORT VIX SHORT-TERM SHORT 150 108.95 3/18 12:54 108.98 0.01%
Trade id #147674368
Max drawdown($5)
Time3/18/24 12:54
Quant open150
Worst price108.98
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
($8)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.00
3/12/24 15:22 V VISA LONG 10 284.28 3/18 12:54 285.69 0.03%
Trade id #147612936
Max drawdown($16)
Time3/15/24 0:00
Quant open10
Worst price282.64
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
$14
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.20
3/15/24 12:24 JBL JABIL INC LONG 20 122.51 3/18 12:54 123.28 0.06%
Trade id #147650894
Max drawdown($30)
Time3/15/24 15:14
Quant open20
Worst price121.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
$15
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.40
3/12/24 10:24 ORCL ORACLE CORP LONG 50 126.12 3/18 12:54 127.51 0.24%
Trade id #147607280
Max drawdown($128)
Time3/15/24 0:00
Quant open50
Worst price123.56
Drawdown as % of equity-0.24%
$69
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.00
3/18/24 9:36 SVXY PROSHARES SHORT VIX SHORT-TERM LONG 150 108.98 3/18 12:53 108.95 0.05%
Trade id #147661935
Max drawdown($26)
Time3/18/24 9:40
Quant open150
Worst price108.81
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
($8)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $3.00
3/6/24 15:34 VSCO VICTORIA'S SECRET & CO LONG 30 25.19 3/18 12:53 18.25 0.45%
Trade id #147558543
Max drawdown($243)
Time3/8/24 0:00
Quant open30
Worst price17.08
Drawdown as % of equity-0.45%
($209)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.60
3/18/24 9:32 TECL DIREXION DAILY TECHNOLOGY BULL LONG 200 80.04 3/18 12:52 78.65 0.54%
Trade id #147661651
Max drawdown($286)
Time3/18/24 12:52
Quant open200
Worst price78.61
Drawdown as % of equity-0.54%
($282)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.00
3/12/24 15:23 ORLY O'REILLY AUTOMOTIVE LONG 5 1097.50 3/18 12:52 1121.79 0.08%
Trade id #147612953
Max drawdown($45)
Time3/13/24 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price1088.50
Drawdown as % of equity-0.08%
$121
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.10
3/14/24 15:49 TSLA TESLA INC. LONG 30 161.72 3/18 12:52 173.05 0.05%
Trade id #147642725
Max drawdown($28)
Time3/15/24 0:00
Quant open30
Worst price160.76
Drawdown as % of equity-0.05%
$339
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.60
3/15/24 12:25 ADBE ADOBE INC LONG 15 489.80 3/18 9:37 502.00 0.11%
Trade id #147650909
Max drawdown($57)
Time3/15/24 12:51
Quant open15
Worst price486.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.11%
$183
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.30
3/12/24 11:10 BA BOEING LONG 30 185.91 3/18 9:36 179.14 0.42%
Trade id #147608140
Max drawdown($221)
Time3/18/24 9:32
Quant open30
Worst price178.54
Drawdown as % of equity-0.42%
($204)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.60
3/14/24 15:16 TECL DIREXION DAILY TECHNOLOGY BULL LONG 300 78.34 3/15 15:52 76.98 0.78%
Trade id #147642419
Max drawdown($409)
Time3/15/24 15:52
Quant open300
Worst price76.98
Drawdown as % of equity-0.78%
($415)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.00
3/15/24 12:18 TECS DIREXION DAILY TECHNOLOGY BEAR 3X LONG 2,000 8.11 3/15 12:24 8.08 0.13%
Trade id #147650859
Max drawdown($70)
Time3/15/24 12:21
Quant open2,000
Worst price8.07
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
($65)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
3/15/24 11:41 SVXY PROSHARES SHORT VIX SHORT-TERM LONG 100 108.11 3/15 12:15 107.26 0.18%
Trade id #147649818
Max drawdown($96)
Time3/15/24 12:15
Quant open100
Worst price107.15
Drawdown as % of equity-0.18%
($87)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
3/14/24 15:36 NVDA NVIDIA LONG 20 872.68 3/14 15:59 879.36 n/a $134
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.40
3/14/24 15:16 XXXX MAX S&P 500 4X LEVERAGED ETNS 10/30/43 LONG 520 36.27 3/14 15:52 36.59 0.16%
Trade id #147642413
Max drawdown($84)
Time3/14/24 15:35
Quant open300
Worst price35.94
Drawdown as % of equity-0.16%
$156
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $7.70
3/14/24 15:05 DKS DICK'S SPORTING GOODS SHORT 100 216.04 3/14 15:17 216.82 0.15%
Trade id #147642231
Max drawdown($78)
Time3/14/24 15:17
Quant open100
Worst price216.82
Drawdown as % of equity-0.15%
($80)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
3/14/24 14:45 TECL DIREXION DAILY TECHNOLOGY BULL LONG 200 81.59 3/14 14:52 81.06 0.23%
Trade id #147642077
Max drawdown($122)
Time3/14/24 14:52
Quant open200
Worst price80.98
Drawdown as % of equity-0.23%
($110)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $4.00
3/14/24 10:16 NVDA NVIDIA LONG 40 882.54 3/14 14:52 879.29 0.44%
Trade id #147636863
Max drawdown($230)
Time3/14/24 12:08
Quant open10
Worst price866.00
Drawdown as % of equity-0.44%
($131)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.80

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    10/24/2023
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $35,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    176.57
  • Age
    177 days ago
  • What it trades
    Stocks
  • # Trades
    482
  • # Profitable
    287
  • % Profitable
    59.50%
  • Avg trade duration
    3.5 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    19.13%
  • drawdown period
    Feb 15, 2024 - April 17, 2024
  • Cumul. Return
    -7.8%
  • Avg win
    $113.66
  • Avg loss
    $169.73
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $13,681
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $8,554
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    0.99:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    -0.77
  • Sortino Ratio
    -1.02
  • Calmar Ratio
    -0.338
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    -26.09%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.27950
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    18.23%
  • Verified
  • C2Star
    0
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    -15.3%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    23.70%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    n/a
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.35%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    -0.079%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    1.00%
  • Percent Trades Forex
    n/a
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    -5.5%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    52.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    4.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    0
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    891
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    1
  • Popularity
  • C2 Score
    936
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    0
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $174
  • Avg Win
    $114
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $33,981.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    7
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $32,621.000
  • # Winners
    287
  • Num Months Winners
    3
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    3
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    195
  • % Winners
    59.5%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    5072.20
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    84.54
  • Avg Trade Length
    3.5 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    30
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    1.55
  • Daily leverage (max)
    3.32
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    -0.09
  • Beta
    0.44
  • Treynor Index
    -0.10
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.00
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    0.05
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.00
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    -9.721
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.00
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    0.546
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -1.249
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    -0.093
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.24017
  • SD
    0.15339
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.56578
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.24931
  • df
    4.00000
  • t
    1.01071
  • p
    0.18466
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.72912
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.69471
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.90805
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.40667
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    7.95508
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.56290
  • Upside part of mean
    0.31890
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.07873
  • Upside SD
    0.15072
  • Downside SD
    0.03019
  • N nonnegative terms
    2.00000
  • N negative terms
    3.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    5.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.49227
  • Mean of criterion
    0.24017
  • SD of predictor
    0.06380
  • SD of criterion
    0.15339
  • Covariance
    -0.00226
  • r
    -0.23062
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.55450
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.51313
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02970
  • DF error
    3.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.41052
  • p(b)
    0.64551
  • t(a)
    0.71615
  • p(a)
    0.26281
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -4.85309
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.74410
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.76714
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.79340
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.43313
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.51313
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.22839
  • SD
    0.14831
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.53991
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.22867
  • df
    4.00000
  • t
    0.99401
  • p
    0.18824
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.74833
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    4.66428
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.92480
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    4.38214
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    7.53663
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    10.14390
  • Upside part of mean
    0.30739
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.07901
  • Upside SD
    0.14500
  • Downside SD
    0.03030
  • N nonnegative terms
    2.00000
  • N negative terms
    3.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    5.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.47985
  • Mean of criterion
    0.22839
  • SD of predictor
    0.06078
  • SD of criterion
    0.14831
  • Covariance
    -0.00212
  • r
    -0.23497
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    -0.57340
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.50353
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02771
  • DF error
    3.00000
  • t(b)
    -0.41870
  • p(b)
    0.64820
  • t(a)
    0.71329
  • p(a)
    0.26357
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -4.93162
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    3.78483
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -1.74305
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    2.75011
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.39830
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.50353
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.05009
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.06682
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01563
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02011
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.98916
  • Quartile 1
    0.98990
  • Median
    0.99511
  • Quartile 3
    1.05091
  • Maximum
    1.08662
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98953
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99511
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.05091
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.08662
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.06101
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.01010
  • Quartile 1
    0.01149
  • Median
    0.01288
  • Quartile 3
    0.01428
  • Maximum
    0.01567
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.01010
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.01567
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00279
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.27048
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.29213
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    18.64170
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    18.64170
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    4.37206
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.07165
  • SD
    0.17722
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.40429
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.40184
  • df
    124.00000
  • t
    -0.27925
  • p
    0.51253
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.24153
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.43447
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.23983
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.43615
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.53858
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    6.87903
  • Upside part of mean
    0.91514
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.98679
  • Upside SD
    0.11609
  • Downside SD
    0.13303
  • N nonnegative terms
    65.00000
  • N negative terms
    60.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    125.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.33005
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.07165
  • SD of predictor
    0.11588
  • SD of criterion
    0.17722
  • Covariance
    0.00642
  • r
    0.31241
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.47777
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.22900
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02857
  • DF error
    123.00000
  • t(b)
    3.64742
  • p(b)
    0.30440
  • t(a)
    -0.92286
  • p(a)
    0.55273
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.21849
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.73706
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.72124
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.26257
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.14996
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.22934
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    -0.08729
  • SD
    0.17771
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    -0.49117
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    -0.48819
  • df
    124.00000
  • t
    -0.33926
  • p
    0.51523
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -3.32850
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    2.34792
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -3.32639
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    2.35001
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    -0.64718
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    6.73528
  • Upside part of mean
    0.90841
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.99569
  • Upside SD
    0.11475
  • Downside SD
    0.13487
  • N nonnegative terms
    65.00000
  • N negative terms
    60.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    125.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.32317
  • Mean of criterion
    -0.08729
  • SD of predictor
    0.11572
  • SD of criterion
    0.17771
  • Covariance
    0.00644
  • r
    0.31330
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.48113
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.24277
  • Mean Square Error
    0.02871
  • DF error
    123.00000
  • t(b)
    3.65885
  • p(b)
    0.30386
  • t(a)
    -0.97509
  • p(a)
    0.55569
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.22084
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    0.74142
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.73560
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    0.25006
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    -0.18142
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.24277
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01822
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.02271
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.00840
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.01704
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    125.00000
  • Minimum
    0.95422
  • Quartile 1
    0.99583
  • Median
    1.00025
  • Quartile 3
    1.00542
  • Maximum
    1.04255
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.98716
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99829
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00237
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.01192
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.00959
  • Number outliers low
    8.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.06400
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.97281
  • Number of outliers high
    3.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.02400
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.03048
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.34222
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.01246
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.02268
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.09915
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.01402
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.02130
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    12.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00121
  • Quartile 1
    0.00355
  • Median
    0.00884
  • Quartile 3
    0.03444
  • Maximum
    0.17042
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00201
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00620
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.01844
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.09229
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.03089
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.08333
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.17042
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.64163
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.09402
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.11206
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    1.00165
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.16574
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    -0.05855
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    -0.05765
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    -0.33829
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    -0.62464
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    -2.53862
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.01800
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    0.75%
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -351973000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    62

Strategy Description

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2023-10-24
Suggested Minimum Capital
$35,000
Rank at C2 %
Top 6.4%
Rank # 
#346
# Trades
482
# Profitable
287
% Profitable
59.5%
Net Dividends
Correlation S&P500
0.280
Sharpe Ratio
-0.77
Sortino Ratio
-1.02
Beta
0.44
Alpha
-0.09
Leverage
1.55 Average
3.32 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.