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RocketFund

Equity · Stocks · Started Sep 2023

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-37.2%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
222
Win Trades
83.3%
Profit Factor
0.90
Win Months
36.8%

About this strategy

Why RocketFund?
Volatile strategy but MATHEMATICALLY OPTIMAL COMBINATION OF RISK AND HIGH REWARD! The best tactic is to join on drawdowns.

This is:
* Position trading;
* Classic TA and proven authors trading system;
* ETF, stocks, futures - country & instrument diversification with min correlation;
* Min leverage;
* No miracles. This is a professional and painstaking hedge fund job.

Stay with my strategy at any market stage. Let my experience and knowledge take care of your income.
THE MINIMUM PERIOD OF INVESTMENT TO ACHIEVE THE AVERAGE ANNUAL RESULT IS ONE YEAR!


Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023-0.4-4.832.939.776.0
2024-14.923.18.7-11.43.7-7.510.6-21.72.50.656.7-3.031.4
20253.5-42.2-34.9-46.0-0.0-0.0-0.10.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.1-79.0
2026-0.2-0.10.1-0.20.10.2-0.1-0.10.00.1-0.3

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/27/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$20,000
Age37 months
What it tradesStocks, Forex
# Trades222
# Profitable185
% Profitable83.3%
Avg trade duration18.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodApril 08, 2025 - April 08, 2025
Annual Return (Compounded)-37.2%
Avg win$258
Avg loss$1,473

Ratios

W:L ratio0.88
Sharpe Ratio-0.23
Sortino Ratio-0.29
Calmar Ratio-0.26

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.32
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life79.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-67.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-37.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.4%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-11.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity456.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.6%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.2%
Percent Trades Futures0.1%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.7%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss91.5%
Chance of 40% account loss67.5%
Chance of 50% account loss44.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)13.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)3.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)802
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)297

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,473
Avg Win$258
# Winners185
Sum Trade PL (losers)$54,487
Sum Trade PL (winners)$47,694
Num Months Winners18
# Losers37
% Winners83.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct440

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table38

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)26923.90
Avg Position Time (hrs)448.73
Avg Trade Length18.70
Last Trade Ago557

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2
Daily leverage (max)3.93

Regression

Alpha-0.09
Beta0.93
Treynor Index-0.04

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.51
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.07
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-13.71
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.74
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.07
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.19
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.07

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.29
SD0.77
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.36
df17
t0.47
p0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.97
Sortino ratio0.67
Upside Potential Ratio2.60
Upside part of mean1.14
Downside part of mean-0.84
Upside SD0.61
Downside SD0.44
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms9
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.10
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.77
Covariance0.09
r0.69
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.98
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.33
DF error16
t(b)3.83
p(b)0.15
t(a)-0.03
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.63
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.99
Treynor index (mean / b)0.10
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.03
SD0.75
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.03
df17
t0.04
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.63
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.63
Sortino ratio0.05
Upside Potential Ratio1.93
Upside part of mean0.99
Downside part of mean-0.96
Upside SD0.52
Downside SD0.51
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms9
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.75
Covariance0.09
r0.70
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.90
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.22
Mean Square Error0.30
DF error16
t(b)3.95
p(b)0.15
t(a)-0.50
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.73
Treynor index (mean / b)0.01
Jensen alpha (a)-0.22
VaR(95%)0.30
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.36
VaR(95%)0.16
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.30
Mean-0.14
SD0.57
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.24
df394
t-0.30
p0.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.36
Sortino ratio-0.31
Upside Potential Ratio6.64
Upside part of mean2.92
Downside part of mean-3.06
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0.44
N nonnegative terms204
N negative terms191
N of observations395
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion-0.14
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.57
Covariance0.04
r0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.72
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.52
Mean Square Error0.26
DF error393
t(b)9.91
p(b)0
t(a)-0.68
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.53
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.28
Mean-0.31
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.52
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.52
df394
t-0.63
p0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.08
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.11
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.08
Sortino ratio-0.64
Upside Potential Ratio5.96
Upside part of mean2.86
Downside part of mean-3.17
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.48
N nonnegative terms204
N negative terms191
N of observations395
Mean of predictor0.07
Mean of criterion-0.31
SD of predictor0.15
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance0.04
r0.44
b (slope, estimate of beta)1.76
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.44
Mean Square Error0.28
DF error393
t(b)9.72
p(b)0
t(a)-1.01
p(a)0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.17
Jensen alpha (a)-0.44
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean-1.34
SD0.82
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.63
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.62
df130
t-1.16
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.15
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.40
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.15
Sortino ratio-1.99
Upside Potential Ratio5.47
Upside part of mean3.68
Downside part of mean-5.02
Upside SD0.47
Downside SD0.67
N nonnegative terms56
N negative terms75
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.28
Mean of criterion-1.34
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.82
Covariance0.07
r0.45
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.77
Mean Square Error0.54
DF error129
t(b)5.75
p(b)0.22
t(a)-0.74
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.30
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.66
Jensen alpha (a)-0.77
Mean-1.70
SD0.87
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.96
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.95
df130
t-1.39
p0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.73
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.83
Sortino ratio-2.28
Upside Potential Ratio4.79
Upside part of mean3.57
Downside part of mean-5.27
Upside SD0.45
Downside SD0.75
N nonnegative terms56
N negative terms75
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.30
Mean of criterion-1.70
SD of predictor0.18
SD of criterion0.87
Covariance0.07
r0.44
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.09
Mean Square Error0.61
DF error129
t(b)5.55
p(b)0.23
t(a)-0.98
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.34
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-3.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.12
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.82
Jensen alpha (a)-1.09
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations18
Minimum0.68
Quartile 10.89
Median1.00
Quartile 31.09
Maximum1.46
Mean of quarter 10.79
Mean of quarter 20.96
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.30
Inter Quartile Range0.20
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.44
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.45
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.23
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.27
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.23
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.27
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.28
Number of observations395
Minimum0.70
Quartile 10.98
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.17
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low10
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.88
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.53
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations131
Minimum0.70
Quartile 10.98
Median0.99
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.17
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.82
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.13
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.50
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.15
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.67
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.15

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations4
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.10
Median0.18
Quartile 30.32
Maximum0.59
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20.13
Mean of quarter 30.23
Mean of quarter 40.59
Inter Quartile Range0.21
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations20
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.02
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.77
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.05
Mean of quarter 40.31
Inter Quartile Range0.10
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.55
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.46
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.32
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.68
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.19
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.46
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.04
Median0.08
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.77
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.05
Mean of quarter 30.11
Mean of quarter 40.44
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.77
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-501116000
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)123
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.09
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.09
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.15
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.23
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.31
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.78
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-3.29
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-1.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.81
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.05
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.83
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-7.36

Trading record

Placed 37 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
ETHA long2600Apr 7, 2025Apr 9, 2025($2,099)
ETHA long3000Mar 11, 2025Apr 7, 2025($7,295)
ETHA long3000Feb 27, 2025Mar 10, 2025($10,863)
ETHA long3000Dec 17, 2024Feb 26, 2025($19,074)
GDX long67Jan 27, 2025Feb 3, 2025$132
LIT long320Dec 9, 2024Feb 3, 2025($2,125)
KWEB long500Dec 9, 2024Feb 3, 2025($1,626)
NIKL long900Jan 22, 2025Feb 3, 2025($959)
WB long255Jan 20, 2025Jan 27, 2025$18
NIO long570Jan 20, 2025Jan 27, 2025($11)
JD long65Jan 20, 2025Jan 27, 2025$89
BABA long30Jan 20, 2025Jan 27, 2025$160
BIDU long30Jan 20, 2025Jan 27, 2025$195
@M6B H5long1Jan 14, 2025Jan 20, 2025$3
@M6B H5long1Jan 13, 2025Jan 13, 2025$25
UUP short500Dec 16, 2024Dec 23, 2024$428
ETHA long700Dec 12, 2024Dec 17, 2024$256
UUP short400Dec 16, 2024Dec 16, 2024$28
RIOT long1500Nov 12, 2024Dec 16, 2024($81)
ETHA long700Dec 9, 2024Dec 12, 2024$798
@M6E Z4long1Nov 11, 2024Dec 10, 2024($181)
RIOT long1000Oct 29, 2024Nov 12, 2024$3,205
TLT long100Nov 7, 2024Nov 11, 2024$130
@M6E Z4long1Nov 6, 2024Nov 7, 2024$19
@M6E Z4long1Nov 6, 2024Nov 6, 2024$30
@MCD Z4long1Oct 31, 2024Nov 4, 2024$5
@MSF Z4long1Oct 30, 2024Oct 30, 2024$4
@M6E Z4long1Oct 17, 2024Oct 30, 2024$22
LIT long100Aug 26, 2024Sep 3, 2024($74)
@MCD U4short1Aug 26, 2024Sep 2, 2024$3

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.