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ES NQ Day Trades

Futures · Futures · Started Sep 2023

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-93.2%
Max Drawdown
23.9%
Trades
55
Win Trades
32.7%
Profit Factor
0.60
Win Months
0.0%

About this strategy

Trades ES NQ Futures intraday

Momentum Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023-9.0-11.00.00.0-19.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/7/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$74,900
Age38 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades55
# Profitable18
% Profitable32.7%
Avg trade duration3.0 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown23.9%
drawdown periodSept 27, 2023 - Oct 02, 2023
Cumul. Return-19.0%
Avg win$1,367
Avg loss$1,026

Ratios

W:L ratio0.65
Sharpe Ratio-0.81
Sortino Ratio-0.93
Calmar Ratio-2.16

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life71.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-15.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-93.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-6.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity31.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss54.5%
Chance of 30% account loss3.5%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)696
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)439

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$1,026
Avg Win$1,367
# Winners18
Sum Trade PL (losers)$37,963
Sum Trade PL (winners)$24,606
Num Months Winners0
# Losers37
% Winners32.7%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table38

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)180.22
Avg Position Time (hrs)3
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago1114

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)8.72
Daily leverage (max)12.45

Regression

Alpha-0.02
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index2.21

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.02
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-2.33
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.26
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.36
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.21
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.43

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.57
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-319086336
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)5
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MES Z3short10Oct 2, 2023Oct 2, 2023($350)
@MNQ Z3short10Oct 2, 2023Oct 2, 2023($1,774)
@NQ Z3long1Oct 2, 2023Oct 2, 2023($1,328)
@MNQ Z3short10Oct 2, 2023Oct 2, 2023($1,284)
@NQ Z3long1Oct 2, 2023Oct 2, 2023($1,263)
@ES Z3long1Oct 2, 2023Oct 2, 2023($871)
@MES Z3short10Oct 2, 2023Oct 2, 2023($662)
@MES Z3short10Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023$1
@NQ Z3long1Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($2,323)
@ES Z3long1Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($1,146)
@ES Z3long1Sep 28, 2023Sep 28, 2023$592
@NQ Z3long1Sep 28, 2023Sep 28, 2023$1,747
@MNQ Z3short10Sep 28, 2023Sep 28, 2023($1,359)
@MES Z3short10Sep 28, 2023Sep 28, 2023($1,125)
@NQ Z3long1Sep 28, 2023Sep 28, 2023($1,168)
@MNQ Z3short10Sep 28, 2023Sep 28, 2023($1,554)
@MES Z3short10Sep 27, 2023Sep 27, 2023$101
@MNQ Z3short10Sep 27, 2023Sep 27, 2023($1,699)
@MNQ Z3short10Sep 26, 2023Sep 26, 2023$2,186
@MES Z3short10Sep 26, 2023Sep 26, 2023$1,576
@MNQ Z3short10Sep 25, 2023Sep 25, 2023($1,699)
@MES Z3short10Sep 25, 2023Sep 25, 2023($625)
@MES Z3short10Sep 25, 2023Sep 25, 2023($912)
@MNQ Z3short10Sep 22, 2023Sep 22, 2023$2,271
@MES Z3short10Sep 22, 2023Sep 22, 2023$1,313
@MNQ Z3short10Sep 20, 2023Sep 20, 2023$4,281
@MES Z3short10Sep 20, 2023Sep 20, 2023($612)
@ES Z3long1Sep 20, 2023Sep 20, 2023($1,171)
@NQ Z3long1Sep 20, 2023Sep 20, 2023($1,133)
@MES Z3short10Sep 19, 2023Sep 19, 2023$151

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.