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Van Steenburgh II

Futures · Futures · Started Apr 2023

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-8.7%
Max Drawdown
1.6%
Trades
61
Win Trades
80.3%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
0.0%

About this strategy

Starting on April 20,2023, and until further notice, the maximum MES lot size will be capped at ten contracts per trade.
The strategy can take long or short trade entries anytime from 930 ET to 1359 ET and all trades will be flat by 1530 ET.
The strategy will be updated from time to time as market conditions evolve.



Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2023-0.60.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.6
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/8/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age43 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades61
# Profitable49
% Profitable80.3%
Avg trade duration29.7 minutes
Max peak-to-valley drawdown1.6%
drawdown periodApril 23, 2023 - April 27, 2023
Cumul. Return-0.5%
Avg win$33
Avg loss$116

Ratios

W:L ratio1.14
Sharpe Ratio-2.20
Sortino Ratio-2.57
Calmar Ratio0.62

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.06
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life90.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-1.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-8.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)349
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)630
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)501

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$116
Avg Win$33
# Winners49
Sum Trade PL (losers)$1,394
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,593
Num Months Winners0
# Losers12
% Winners80.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table43

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)29.68
Avg Position Time (hrs)0.50
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago1263

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)4.39
Daily leverage (max)12.81

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index1.54

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades7.05
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.68
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades3.75
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.84
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.14

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-302092832
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)4
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MES M3short6Apr 27, 2023Apr 27, 2023($73)
@MES M3short11Apr 27, 2023Apr 27, 2023($794)
@MES M3short4Apr 27, 2023Apr 27, 2023$26
@MES M3long5Apr 27, 2023Apr 27, 2023$19
@MES M3long5Apr 27, 2023Apr 27, 2023($12)
@MES M3short9Apr 27, 2023Apr 27, 2023$95
@MES M3short6Apr 27, 2023Apr 27, 2023($108)
@MES M3long8Apr 26, 2023Apr 26, 2023($63)
@MES M3long2Apr 26, 2023Apr 26, 2023$38
@MES M3long2Apr 25, 2023Apr 25, 2023$18
@MES M3long2Apr 25, 2023Apr 25, 2023$8
@MES M3long1Apr 25, 2023Apr 25, 2023$5
@MES M3long1Apr 25, 2023Apr 25, 2023$4
@MES M3short6Apr 24, 2023Apr 24, 2023($13)
@MES M3long14Apr 24, 2023Apr 24, 2023$22
@MES M3long3Apr 24, 2023Apr 24, 2023$21
@MES M3long4Apr 24, 2023Apr 24, 2023($88)
@MES M3short4Apr 24, 2023Apr 24, 2023$8
@MES M3short4Apr 21, 2023Apr 21, 2023($2)
@MES M3short6Apr 20, 2023Apr 20, 2023$21
@MES M3long4Apr 20, 2023Apr 20, 2023$53
@MES M3short3Apr 20, 2023Apr 20, 2023$14
@MES M3long5Apr 19, 2023Apr 19, 2023($6)
@MES M3short58Apr 19, 2023Apr 19, 2023$34
@MES M3short4Apr 18, 2023Apr 18, 2023$98
@MES M3short6Apr 18, 2023Apr 18, 2023($37)
@MES M3long6Apr 18, 2023Apr 18, 2023($90)
@MES M3long4Apr 18, 2023Apr 18, 2023$24
@MES M3long4Apr 18, 2023Apr 18, 2023$24
@MES M3short2Apr 18, 2023Apr 18, 2023($12)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.