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Right Trade

Futures · Futures · Started Mar 2023

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
828.3%
Max Drawdown
19.8%
Trades
28
Win Trades
46.4%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
4.7%

About this strategy

Left trading is not good trade. Right trading is good trade. This is a right trading system.

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20230.57.40.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.08.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/28/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$46,099
Age43 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades28
# Profitable13
% Profitable46.4%
Avg trade duration1.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown19.8%
drawdown periodApril 03, 2023 - April 06, 2023
Cumul. Return8.0%
Avg win$1,217
Avg loss$772

Ratios

W:L ratio1.37
Sharpe Ratio0.09
Sortino Ratio0.21
Calmar Ratio5.20

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life96.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)4.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)828.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)2.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)460
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)582
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)636

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$772
Avg Win$1,217
# Winners13
Sum Trade PL (losers)$11,581
Sum Trade PL (winners)$15,819
Num Months Winners2
# Losers15
% Winners46.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table43

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)96.75
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.61
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago1271

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)6.24
Daily leverage (max)11.53

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index-0.94

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.17
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.03
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-1.87
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.79
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.57
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.54
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.53

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.30
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-320466112
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)3
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@NQ M3long2Apr 6, 2023Apr 7, 2023($86)
@NQ M3long5Apr 6, 2023Apr 6, 2023$11,285
@NQ M3short5Apr 6, 2023Apr 6, 2023($3,490)
@NQ M3long3Apr 6, 2023Apr 6, 2023($2,639)
@NQ M3long2Apr 6, 2023Apr 6, 2023($2,561)
@NQ M3long1Apr 4, 2023Apr 5, 2023($318)
@NQ M3long1Apr 4, 2023Apr 4, 2023($318)
@NQ M3long1Apr 3, 2023Apr 3, 2023($168)
@NQ M3long2Apr 3, 2023Apr 3, 2023$2,454
@NQ M3long1Apr 3, 2023Apr 3, 2023($343)
@NQ M3long1Apr 3, 2023Apr 3, 2023($148)
@NQ M3long1Apr 3, 2023Apr 3, 2023$732
@NQ M3long1Apr 2, 2023Apr 2, 2023($443)
@NQ M3long1Apr 2, 2023Apr 2, 2023($508)
@NQ M3short1Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023$47
@NQ M3short1Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023$17
@NQ M3short1Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023$62
@NQ M3short1Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023$52
@NQ M3short1Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023$72
@NQ M3short2Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023$59
@NQ M3long2Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023$419
@NQ M3short1Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023$2
@NQ M3long1Mar 31, 2023Mar 31, 2023($133)
@NQ M3long1Mar 30, 2023Mar 30, 2023$302
DXM M3long2Mar 30, 2023Mar 30, 2023($60)
DXM M3short2Mar 30, 2023Mar 30, 2023$148
DXM M3long1Mar 29, 2023Mar 29, 2023($8)
DXM M3short1Mar 28, 2023Mar 29, 2023($550)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.