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FT Forex

Forex · Started Feb 2023

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
10.6%
Max Drawdown
12.3%
Trades
1131
Win Trades
53.2%
Profit Factor
1.50
Win Months
17.8%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20233.30.54.75.72.08.72.4-6.018.2-0.00.045.1
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.0-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
2026-0.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/2/2023
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age45 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades1131
# Profitable602
% Profitable53.2%
Avg trade duration8.2 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown12.3%
drawdown periodSept 27, 2023 - Oct 01, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)10.6%
Avg win$9
Avg loss$7

Ratios

W:L ratio1.52
Sharpe Ratio1.03
Sortino Ratio2.28
Calmar Ratio3.77

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life85.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-41.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)10.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)11.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.8%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss3.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$7
Avg Win$9
# Winners602
Sum Trade PL (losers)$3,745
Sum Trade PL (winners)$5,690
Num Months Winners12
# Losers529
% Winners53.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table45

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)489.72
Avg Position Time (hrs)8.16
Avg Trade Length0.30
Last Trade Ago1093

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)7.43
Daily leverage (max)34.85

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index-2.12

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.56
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.07
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.12
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-0.14
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.63

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.19
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.79
df21
t2.51
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.34
Sortino ratio31.21
Upside Potential Ratio33.87
Upside part of mean0.21
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms13
N of observations22
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance-0.01
r-0.43
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.34
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.29
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error20
t(b)-2.15
p(b)0.72
t(a)3.44
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.46
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.58
Jensen alpha (a)0.29
Mean0.19
SD0.10
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.86
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.80
df21
t2.52
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.34
Sortino ratio30.14
Upside Potential Ratio32.80
Upside part of mean0.20
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms9
N negative terms13
N of observations22
Mean of predictor0.26
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.13
SD of criterion0.10
Covariance-0.01
r-0.43
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error20
t(b)-2.14
p(b)0.72
t(a)3.44
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.44
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.57
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0.18
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.96
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.96
df500
t2.72
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.54
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.38
Sortino ratio4.43
Upside Potential Ratio7.74
Upside part of mean0.32
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms71
N negative terms430
N of observations501
Mean of predictor0.32
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error499
t(b)-0.72
p(b)0.77
t(a)2.77
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)-13.09
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
Mean0.18
SD0.09
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.94
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.94
df500
t2.68
p0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.36
Sortino ratio4.27
Upside Potential Ratio7.57
Upside part of mean0.31
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms71
N negative terms430
N of observations501
Mean of predictor0.29
Mean of criterion0.18
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.09
Covariance-0.00
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error499
t(b)-0.72
p(b)0.76
t(a)2.73
p(a)0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-12.89
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean-0.03
SD0.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-50.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-49.99
df130
t-35.56
p0.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-56.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-43.31
Sortino ratio-15.45
Upside Potential Ratio0.13
Upside part of mean0.00
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.00
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms129
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.67
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.00
Covariance0.00
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)1.79
p(b)0.40
t(a)-35.80
p(a)0.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-107.29
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-50.28
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-49.99
df130
t-35.55
p0.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-56.67
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-43.31
Sortino ratio-15.45
Upside Potential Ratio0.13
Upside part of mean0.00
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.00
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms129
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.62
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.00
Covariance0.00
r0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)1.92
p(b)0.39
t(a)-35.90
p(a)0.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.00
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-98.37
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations22
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11
Median1.00
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.11
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.05
Mean of outliers high1.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations501
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low62
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high80
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.36
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.00
Number of observations131
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low1.00
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations17
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.06
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.20
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.92
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.44
Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.00
Maximum0.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-625924544
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)4
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.26
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1436.70
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1436.70
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal5.56
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.23
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)3.77
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.04
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal20.88
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 15 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
AUD/NZD short20Oct 10, 2023Oct 11, 2023($12)
AUD/USD long110Oct 9, 2023Oct 9, 2023$132
AUD/USD short50Oct 9, 2023Oct 9, 2023$27
AUD/USD long40Oct 6, 2023Oct 6, 2023$144
AUD/USD long40Oct 5, 2023Oct 6, 2023($3)
USD/HUF long120Oct 3, 2023Oct 4, 2023$469
USD/SGD long40Sep 29, 2023Oct 4, 2023$420
EUR/SGD long60Oct 3, 2023Oct 3, 2023($20)
USD/HUF short20Sep 29, 2023Oct 3, 2023($166)
EUR/SGD long60Oct 3, 2023Oct 3, 2023$35
EUR/SGD long60Oct 3, 2023Oct 3, 2023$92
EUR/SGD long60Oct 3, 2023Oct 3, 2023$44
EUR/SGD long60Oct 3, 2023Oct 3, 2023$42
EUR/SGD long60Oct 3, 2023Oct 3, 2023$20
EUR/SGD long60Sep 29, 2023Oct 3, 2023($63)
EUR/NOK short15Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($30)
GBP/JPY long10Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($12)
CHF/JPY long25Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($30)
CAD/JPY short5Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($18)
EUR/GBP long10Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($22)
GBP/JPY short20Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($38)
GBP/JPY short20Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($8)
GBP/JPY short10Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($10)
USD/SGD short10Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023$1
EUR/SGD long10Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023$8
CHF/JPY short5Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($10)
EUR/JPY short5Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($12)
USD/HUF short5Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($21)
EUR/SGD short10Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023($0)
EUR/SGD short10Sep 29, 2023Sep 29, 2023$6

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.