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E-Micro Swing Scalper

Futures · Futures · Started Nov 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
13.9%
Max Drawdown
1.0%
Trades
6
Win Trades
83.3%
Profit Factor
112.60
Win Months
2.1%

About this strategy

2022-12-09 UPDATE: This strategy is NOT placing trades until further notice. While QUITE profitable in my live Interactive Brokers account, I have learned that this strategy style can not be supported on C2 with reliable results for subscribers:

* I run three strategies in parallel. One strat may open a quick scalp short while another strat is in a longer timeframe long. This breaks C2 BrokerTransmit (not closing the long before opening the short).

* When using BrokerTransmit C2 only sends market orders to subscribers. One of my three strats scalps for tight take profits using limit/stop orders (to avoid slippage). Market ordering scalp trades would likely perform poorly for subscribers.

Strategy details, discussion and updates are here: https://forums.collective2.com/t/e-micro-swing-scalper-new-strategy/15898

-----------------------------------

The E-Micro Swing Sniper strategy is actually three non-correlated strategies running in parallel that open long or short positions in futures markets trading S&P 500 e-micro futures contracts. It is designed for account balances of at least USD$50,000. Position sizing is a maximum of three S&P 500 e-micro contracts per USD$10,000 in your account balance.

* I trade this strategy live in my own Interactive Brokers account. Every trade is posted using C2 BrokerTransmit, and is a trade I have executed. What you trade, I trade.

* To avoid slippage in subscriber accounts (a common problem when you're subscribing to market orders), only about 6% of orders are market orders. EVERY other signal executed is a resting limit/stop order, which should mean MY fill price is YOUR fill price.

* All three strategies are AI generated and tuned weekly (over the weekend).

* All three strategies are 100% automated and run 24x5. I NEVER place a manual order, or override an automated order.

* My tuning and trading servers are beefy dedicated physical servers (not virtual machines) sitting in a data center in New Jersey with <2ms latency to Interactive Brokers. I’m not running this out of my basement or off of my laptop.

* I have AI discovery processes running constantly, looking for new strategies with EXTREMELY rigorous criteria. When/if I add or subtract strategies, I’ll post an update to subscribers.

* Collective2 is not my full-time gig, but automated algorithmic trading has been my full-time gig for the last five years.

This strategy was generated using genetic algorithm AI to discover correlation between S&P 500 price movement and the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). It utilizes fuzzy logic and opens a position only when a convergence of technical indicator values result in an acceptable trade setup, and then calculates aggressive take profit exits, ideal for volatile markets with frequent sentiment-driven intraday reversals that destroy most day-trading strategies. The manager has traded this strategy live since May 2022 with their own funds through their broker.

ALL RECORDED TRADES IN TRADE RECORD ARE LIVE TRADES IN THE MANAGER'S OWN ACCOUNT. In other words, I'm trading MY money with this strategy, not just yours. C2 trade signals are generated by mirroring the trades in my live Interactive Brokers account.

Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-1.14.02.9
2023-1.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-1.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/30/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age47 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades6
# Profitable5
% Profitable83.3%
Avg trade duration1.9 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown1.0%
drawdown periodJan 02, 2023 - Jan 03, 2023
Cumul. Return1.8%
Avg win$405
Avg loss$18

Ratios

W:L ratio112.61
Sharpe Ratio-0.63
Sortino Ratio-1.83
Calmar Ratio—

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life86.8%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)3.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)13.9%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)475
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)946
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)785

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$18
Avg Win$405
# Winners5
Sum Trade PL (losers)$18
Sum Trade PL (winners)$2,027
Num Months Winners1
# Losers1
% Winners83.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table48

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)114.60
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.91
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago1410

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.84
Daily leverage (max)2.84

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index0.64

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades0.44
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.51
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.43
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1
Hold-and-Hope Ratio2.26

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-324055648
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 12 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MES Z2short7Dec 6, 2022Dec 6, 2022$447
@MES Z2long4Dec 6, 2022Dec 6, 2022$35
@MES Z2short7Dec 6, 2022Dec 6, 2022$1,357
@MES Z2short7Dec 6, 2022Dec 6, 2022($26)
@MES Z2short7Dec 6, 2022Dec 6, 2022$106
@MES Z2short7Dec 6, 2022Dec 6, 2022$45

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.