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PTRS

Options · Options · Started Jul 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
56.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
87
Win Trades
58.6%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
7.7%

About this strategy

Strategy:

Options are open on the most liquid ETF, SPY to collect consistent income every week using low risk spreads those profits are then reinvested in more spreads.

Trading Methodology:

I use a mixture of both fundamental and technical analysis before every trade, no stop losses are used because I monitor my trades frequently to determine my current risk assessment in a situation where a big drawdown has occurred.

Premium Collecting Volatility Long / Short

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022468.8-38.597.5-11.3-14.719.3523.3
20230.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.5
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/7/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age52 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades87
# Profitable51
% Profitable58.6%
Avg trade duration2.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodJuly 20, 2022 - July 22, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)56.0%
Avg win$77,405
Avg loss$100,328

Ratios

W:L ratio1.09
Sharpe Ratio0.52
Sortino Ratio3.13
Calmar Ratio6.62

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life100.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)465.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)56.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.6%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)61.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity20.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.1%
Percent Trades Futures0.1%
Percent Trades Options0.8%
Short Options - Percent Covered5.9%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.1%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$100,328
Avg Win$77,405
# Winners51
Sum Trade PL (losers)$3,611,799
Sum Trade PL (winners)$3,947,636
Num Months Winners4
# Losers36
% Winners58.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table52

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3783.72
Avg Position Time (hrs)63.06
Avg Trade Length2.60
Last Trade Ago1344

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)196.80
Daily leverage (max)2471.46

Regression

Alpha259879.17
Beta35276.62
Treynor Index7.41

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.07
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.21
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.21
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-18.05
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-2.35
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.16
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-7.20
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.06

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean5.08
SD4.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.25
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.15
df10
t1.19
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.96
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.26
Sortino ratio18.18
Upside Potential Ratio19.82
Upside part of mean5.53
Downside part of mean-0.46
Upside SD4.14
Downside SD0.28
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms7
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.60
Mean of criterion5.08
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion4.08
Covariance-0.15
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-2.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)6.31
Mean Square Error18.13
DF error9
t(b)-0.41
p(b)0.65
t(a)1.18
p(a)0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-13.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-5.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha18.45
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.49
Jensen alpha (a)6.31
Mean2.14
SD1.85
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.07
df10
t1.11
p0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.17
Sortino ratio6.84
Upside Potential Ratio8.44
Upside part of mean2.64
Downside part of mean-0.50
Upside SD1.84
Downside SD0.31
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms7
N of observations11
Mean of predictor0.56
Mean of criterion2.14
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion1.85
Covariance-0.09
r-0.19
b (slope, estimate of beta)-1.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)2.88
Mean Square Error3.66
DF error9
t(b)-0.57
p(b)0.71
t(a)1.21
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-6.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.95
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha8.27
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.60
Jensen alpha (a)2.88
VaR(95%)0.50
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.59
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.20
Mean51103.42
SD50505.62
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.01
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.01
df255
t1.00
p0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.00
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.98
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.99
Sortino ratio38723.97
Upside Potential Ratio38727.18
Upside part of mean51107.65
Downside part of mean-4.23
Upside SD50505.66
Downside SD1.32
N nonnegative terms54
N negative terms202
N of observations256
Mean of predictor0.73
Mean of criterion51103.42
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion50505.62
Covariance-80.53
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-784.66
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)51674.19
Mean Square Error2560797184
DF error254
t(b)-0.08
p(b)0.53
t(a)1.00
p(a)0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-20264.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta18695.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-50135.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha153483.69
Treynor index (mean / b)-65.13
Jensen alpha (a)51674.19
Mean2.00
SD16.61
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.12
df255
t0.12
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.10
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.86
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.10
Sortino ratio0.16
Upside Potential Ratio1.48
Upside part of mean18.00
Downside part of mean-16.00
Upside SD11.26
Downside SD12.17
N nonnegative terms54
N negative terms202
N of observations256
Mean of predictor0.68
Mean of criterion2.00
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion16.61
Covariance0.04
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.44
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.71
Mean Square Error276.98
DF error254
t(b)0.13
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.10
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-6.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta6.92
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-31.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha35.15
Treynor index (mean / b)4.58
Jensen alpha (a)1.71
VaR(95%)0.81
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.87
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.11
Mean0.02
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.06
df130
t0.05
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.71
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.71
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.84
Sortino ratio0.11
Upside Potential Ratio3.21
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.50
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms128
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.45
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance0.01
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.08
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error129
t(b)1.09
p(b)0.44
t(a)-0.21
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)0.26
Jensen alpha (a)-0.08
Mean-0.02
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.07
df130
t-0.05
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.71
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.84
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.71
Sortino ratio-0.11
Upside Potential Ratio2.97
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.51
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms128
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.38
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance0.01
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.11
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error129
t(b)1.13
p(b)0.44
t(a)-0.30
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.87
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.25
Jensen alpha (a)-0.11
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum0.76
Quartile 10.96
Median1
Quartile 31.02
Maximum4.76
Mean of quarter 10.87
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 42.69
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.76
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high3.52
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.15
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.22
Extreme Value Index (regression method)2.11
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.27
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations256
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum49925
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 4781.27
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low52
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high56
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high892.74
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.18
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.87
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.41
Number of observations131
Minimum0.91
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.92
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.16
Quartile 10.18
Median0.20
Quartile 30.22
Maximum0.24
Mean of quarter 10.16
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.24
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.11
Median0.34
Quartile 30.63
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.28
Mean of quarter 30.40
Mean of quarter 40.86
Inter Quartile Range0.52
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2
Minimum0.02
Quartile 10.05
Median0.08
Quartile 30.11
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.02
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-527963520
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)2
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)6.84
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)7.71
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)32.74
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs32.74
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal12.95
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)6.42
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)6.62
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)6.62
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.73
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.60
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.07
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.07
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.31

Trading record

Placed 49 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SPY2330A410 short70Jan 27, 2023Jan 31, 2023$4,600
SPY2419A370 long70Jan 17, 2023Jan 30, 2023($8,008)
SPY2324A404 short70Jan 23, 2023Jan 25, 2023$5,831
SPY2319A395 short70Jan 18, 2023Jan 20, 2023$5,201
SPY2318A404 short70Jan 17, 2023Jan 18, 2023$812
EUR/USD long3000Jan 16, 2023Jan 17, 2023($4,350)
EUR/USD short3000Jan 16, 2023Jan 16, 2023($2,490)
EUR/USD short10Jan 15, 2023Jan 15, 2023($0)
@ES Z2short5Oct 3, 2022Dec 16, 2022($43,478)
@ES Z2long3Oct 3, 2022Oct 3, 2022($62)
@ES Z2long3Oct 2, 2022Oct 2, 2022$1,439
@ES Z2short12Sep 29, 2022Oct 2, 2022$38,754
@ES Z2short2Sep 27, 2022Sep 29, 2022$309
SPY2223U365 short3500Sep 20, 2022Sep 23, 2022($421,260)
SPY2223U366 long3500Sep 20, 2022Sep 23, 2022$578,060
@ES Z2short1Sep 21, 2022Sep 21, 2022$517
@ES Z2long7Sep 19, 2022Sep 20, 2022($231)
QCL V2long5Sep 19, 2022Sep 19, 2022($190)
EUR/USD long3000Sep 19, 2022Sep 19, 2022$240
@ES U2short20Sep 16, 2022Sep 16, 2022($4,410)
SPY2214U390 short3010Sep 9, 2022Sep 14, 2022$125,006
SPY2214U391 long3010Sep 9, 2022Sep 14, 2022($159,754)
@ES U2short1Sep 14, 2022Sep 14, 2022$42
@ES U2short1Sep 14, 2022Sep 14, 2022($33)
@ES U2short4Sep 11, 2022Sep 11, 2022$1,118
@ES U2short1Sep 9, 2022Sep 9, 2022($533)
@ES U2long20Sep 8, 2022Sep 8, 2022($6,160)
@ES U2short10Sep 8, 2022Sep 8, 2022$1,045
@ES U2short20Sep 8, 2022Sep 8, 2022$653
@ES U2short2Sep 8, 2022Sep 8, 2022($291)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

Impossible Quantities. This strategy track record includes trades that were of such large quantities that they were impossible in real life. Typically, these kind of track records show huge gains for one or more trades that could not have been achieved in actual trading.