Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

WINIOM

Futures · Futures · Started Apr 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
87.4%
Max Drawdown
69.3%
Trades
1120
Win Trades
38.3%
Profit Factor
1.60
Win Months
5.5%

About this strategy

EFFECTIVE 5/31/2022
MINIMUM CAPITAL: 12.5k
EXPECTED DRAWDOWN: 25%
AVG RETURN: 100% MTHLY

THE ABOVE STATEMENT IS NOT INTENDED TO GUARANTEE ANY RETURNS OR RISK ON INVESTMENTS.

Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202250.0642.849.80.00.00.00.00.00.01569.9
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/23/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$1,500
Age54 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades1120
# Profitable429
% Profitable38.3%
Avg trade duration24.5 minutes
Max peak-to-valley drawdown69.3%
drawdown periodJune 01, 2022 - June 01, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)87.4%
Avg win$172
Avg loss$68

Ratios

W:L ratio1.57
Sharpe Ratio1.18
Sortino Ratio3.04
Calmar Ratio414.75

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.08
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life78.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)1487.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)87.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.9%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)91.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss64.0%
Chance of 20% account loss49.0%
Chance of 30% account loss44.5%
Chance of 40% account loss34.0%
Chance of 50% account loss14.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)12.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)5.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)1.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$68
Avg Win$172
# Winners429
Sum Trade PL (losers)$47,207
Sum Trade PL (winners)$73,911
Num Months Winners3
# Losers691
% Winners38.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table55

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)24.47
Avg Position Time (hrs)0.41
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago1588

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)35.26
Daily leverage (max)77.44

Regression

Alpha0.21
Beta-0.27
Treynor Index-0.75

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.62
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-20.43
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.11
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.80
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.65
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.05

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean14.72
SD9.30
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.58
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.38
df6
t1.21
p0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.06
Sortino ratio2159.53
Upside Potential Ratio2162.46
Upside part of mean14.74
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD9.60
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms5
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.87
Mean of criterion14.72
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion9.30
Covariance-2.40
r-0.67
b (slope, estimate of beta)-16.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)28.97
Mean Square Error56.65
DF error5
t(b)-2.04
p(b)0.95
t(a)2.40
p(a)0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-36.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.26
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha60.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.90
Jensen alpha (a)28.97
Mean5.08
SD2.80
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.81
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.58
df6
t1.39
p0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.14
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.29
Sortino ratio746.59
Upside Potential Ratio749.52
Upside part of mean5.10
Downside part of mean-0.02
Upside SD2.98
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms5
N of observations7
Mean of predictor0.79
Mean of criterion5.08
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion2.80
Covariance-0.76
r-0.76
b (slope, estimate of beta)-6.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)9.82
Mean Square Error3.95
DF error5
t(b)-2.63
p(b)0.98
t(a)3.10
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-11.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha17.95
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.84
Jensen alpha (a)9.82
VaR(95%)0.60
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.70
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean5.52
SD1.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)4.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)4.34
df162
t3.44
p0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.87
Sortino ratio13.15
Upside Potential Ratio15.66
Upside part of mean6.58
Downside part of mean-1.05
Upside SD1.24
Downside SD0.42
N nonnegative terms25
N negative terms138
N of observations163
Mean of predictor1.02
Mean of criterion5.52
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion1.27
Covariance-0.07
r-0.12
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.36
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)5.89
Mean Square Error1.59
DF error161
t(b)-1.56
p(b)0.58
t(a)3.64
p(a)0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.70
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha9.08
Treynor index (mean / b)-15.25
Jensen alpha (a)5.89
Mean4.76
SD1.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)4.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)4.08
df162
t3.23
p0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio6.62
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.60
Sortino ratio9.89
Upside Potential Ratio12.29
Upside part of mean5.92
Downside part of mean-1.16
Upside SD1.09
Downside SD0.48
N nonnegative terms25
N negative terms138
N of observations163
Mean of predictor0.93
Mean of criterion4.76
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion1.16
Covariance-0.06
r-0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.30
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)5.05
Mean Square Error1.34
DF error161
t(b)-1.42
p(b)0.57
t(a)3.40
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha7.97
Treynor index (mean / b)-15.74
Jensen alpha (a)5.05
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.35
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.25
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6767680363167744
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.33506649363014e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations7
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.70
Maximum8.20
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 45.30
Inter Quartile Range0.70
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high8.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations163
Minimum0.71
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.37
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.10
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low6
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.89
Number of outliers high25
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.16
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.31
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.05
Quartile 10.06
Median0.08
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.29
Mean of quarter 10.05
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30.09
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-407723136
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)32.09
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)164.86
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal235.34
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)30.09
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)119.59
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)414.75
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs637.17
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal983.51
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 1385 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@MNQ M2long4Jun 6, 2022Jun 6, 2022($168)
@MNQ M2long40Jun 6, 2022Jun 6, 2022$3,690
@MNQ M2long35Jun 6, 2022Jun 6, 2022$1,531
@MNQ M2long20Jun 5, 2022Jun 5, 2022($124)
@MNQ M2long2Jun 5, 2022Jun 5, 2022($5)
@MNQ M2long34Jun 5, 2022Jun 5, 2022$3,084
@MYM M2short8Jun 5, 2022Jun 5, 2022($64)
@MNQ M2short28Jun 5, 2022Jun 5, 2022($1,331)
@MNQ M2long2Jun 5, 2022Jun 5, 2022($49)
@MNQ M2long30Jun 3, 2022Jun 5, 2022$1,153
@MNQ M2short20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($28)
@MNQ M2long20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($451)
@MNQ M2long20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($733)
@MNQ M2long20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($537)
@MNQ M2short30Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($873)
@MNQ M2long20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($325)
@MNQ M2short20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($748)
@MNQ M2short20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($397)
@MNQ M2short20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($729)
@MYM M2short20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($401)
@MNQ M2short24Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($1,240)
@MYM M2short8Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022$253
@MNQ M2short4Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022$259
@MYM M2short8Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($186)
@MNQ M2short4Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($246)
@MNQ M2short32Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022$2,528
@MNQ M2short24Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022($171)
@MNQ M2short4Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022$104
@MNQ M2short26Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022$1,205
@MNQ M2short20Jun 3, 2022Jun 3, 2022$1,950

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.