Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

ECFXBB

Futures · Forex · Started Apr 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
23.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
36
Win Trades
94.4%
Profit Factor
384.90
Win Months
29.1%

Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-53.481.6-65.8-165.3-237.8-133.4-52.4-124.5195.9-48.5
2023108.4-53.1101.634.9-43.934.627.1-34.9-60.217.4224.71.7156.1
2024-24.8-3.3-5.4-28.045.2-27.047.259.0-2.3-48.6-76.1-55.3-93.4
2025137.5-115.2-2676.2145.2-7.543.1-3.80.00.00.00.00.02810.2
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/12/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age54 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades36
# Profitable34
% Profitable94.4%
Avg trade duration32.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodAug 10, 2022 - Sept 27, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)23.0%
Avg win$2,536
Avg loss$112

Ratios

W:L ratio384.93
Sharpe Ratio-0.46
Sortino Ratio-0.46
Calmar Ratio2.71

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.12
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life77.5%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)77.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)23.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)24.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity5.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.3%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss97.5%
Chance of 30% account loss89.5%
Chance of 40% account loss81.5%
Chance of 50% account loss73.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)59.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)29.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)16.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)3.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$112
Avg Win$2,536
# Winners34
Sum Trade PL (losers)$224
Sum Trade PL (winners)$86,225
Num Months Winners1
# Losers2
% Winners94.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table4

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)47221.77
Avg Position Time (hrs)787.03
Avg Trade Length32.80
Last Trade Ago446

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)22.03
Daily leverage (max)26.78

Regression

Alpha0
Beta1.37
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.71
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)3.80
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.70
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.07
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.58

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean56.02
SD34.52
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.46
df8
t1.41
p0.10
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.97
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.91
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.84
Sortino ratio32.81
Upside Potential Ratio35.00
Upside part of mean59.74
Downside part of mean-3.73
Upside SD36.30
Downside SD1.71
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms5
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.79
Mean of criterion56.02
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion34.52
Covariance-3.39
r-0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)-25.83
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)76.38
Mean Square Error1262.04
DF error7
t(b)-0.74
p(b)0.76
t(a)1.55
p(a)0.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-107.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta56.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-40.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha192.95
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.17
Jensen alpha (a)76.38
Mean1.31
SD6.78
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.17
df8
t0.17
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.44
Sortino ratio0.34
Upside Potential Ratio2.41
Upside part of mean9.20
Downside part of mean-7.89
Upside SD5.14
Downside SD3.82
N nonnegative terms4
N negative terms5
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.71
Mean of criterion1.31
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion6.78
Covariance-0.47
r-0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)-3.88
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)4.06
Mean Square Error50.38
DF error7
t(b)-0.54
p(b)0.70
t(a)0.42
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-20.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta13.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-18.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha26.89
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.34
Jensen alpha (a)4.06
VaR(95%)0.96
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.98
VaR(95%)0.77
Expected Shortfall on VaR1.24
Mean28982.44
SD21386.83
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.36
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.35
df199
t1.18
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.89
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.60
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.90
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.60
Sortino ratio9627.86
Upside Potential Ratio9634.39
Upside part of mean29002.09
Downside part of mean-19.65
Upside SD21408.30
Downside SD3.01
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms127
N of observations200
Mean of predictor0.79
Mean of criterion28982.44
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion21386.83
Covariance308.81
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)2095.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)27333.33
Mean Square Error459056224
DF error198
t(b)0.53
p(b)0.48
t(a)1.11
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-5706.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9896.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-21414.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha76080.88
Treynor index (mean / b)13.83
Jensen alpha (a)27333.33
Mean1.28
SD24.39
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.05
df199
t0.05
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.30
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.30
Sortino ratio0.07
Upside Potential Ratio3.16
Upside part of mean54.64
Downside part of mean-53.35
Upside SD17.11
Downside SD17.29
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms127
N of observations200
Mean of predictor0.71
Mean of criterion1.28
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion24.39
Covariance0.50
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.41
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.15
Mean Square Error596.11
DF error198
t(b)0.76
p(b)0.47
t(a)-0.04
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-5.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta12.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-56.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha54.32
Treynor index (mean / b)0.38
Jensen alpha (a)-1.15
VaR(95%)0.92
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.95
VaR(95%)0.20
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.41
Mean41780.46
SD26368.69
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.58
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.58
df130
t1.12
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.36
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.35
Sortino ratio14974.12
Upside Potential Ratio14980.65
Upside part of mean41798.68
Downside part of mean-18.22
Upside SD26394.37
Downside SD2.79
N nonnegative terms46
N negative terms85
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.43
Mean of criterion41780.46
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion26368.69
Covariance305.21
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)1893.38
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)39079.78
Mean Square Error700115520
DF error129
t(b)0.33
p(b)0.48
t(a)1.02
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-9542.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta13329.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-36731.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha114891.21
Treynor index (mean / b)22.07
Jensen alpha (a)39079.78
Mean23.61
SD22.80
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.04
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.03
df130
t0.73
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.74
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.80
Sortino ratio1.79
Upside Potential Ratio4.76
Upside part of mean62.77
Downside part of mean-39.16
Upside SD18.55
Downside SD13.19
N nonnegative terms46
N negative terms85
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.34
Mean of criterion23.61
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion22.80
Covariance0.41
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.54
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)20.21
Mean Square Error522.66
DF error129
t(b)0.51
p(b)0.47
t(a)0.61
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-7.34
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta12.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-45.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha85.54
Treynor index (mean / b)9.31
Jensen alpha (a)20.21
VaR(95%)0.89
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.93
VaR(95%)0.19
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.38

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.09
Quartile 10.21
Median1
Quartile 31.50
Maximum26.07
Mean of quarter 10.17
Mean of quarter 20.86
Mean of quarter 31.39
Mean of quarter 423.02
Inter Quartile Range1.29
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high23.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.30
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.89
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.93
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.73
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.98
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations200
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.93
Median1
Quartile 31.06
Maximum18515.33
Mean of quarter 10.71
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 4443.77
Inter Quartile Range0.14
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.46
Number of outliers high21
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1055.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.41
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.27
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.54
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.55
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.27
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.31
Number of observations131
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.94
Median1
Quartile 31.08
Maximum18515.33
Mean of quarter 10.73
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 4634.30
Inter Quartile Range0.14
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.52
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1394.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.07
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.18
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.25
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.07
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.29
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.46

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.98
Quartile 10.98
Median0.98
Quartile 30.98
Maximum0.98
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.05
Median0.26
Quartile 30.86
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.04
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30.43
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.81
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.16
Median0.42
Quartile 30.43
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.06
Mean of quarter 20.40
Mean of quarter 30.43
Mean of quarter 40.72
Inter Quartile Range0.28
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-473949408
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)48
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)2.29
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.80
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.87
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.87
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)2.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.71
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.71
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.71
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.85
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)272002
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)18496544768
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)18496743424
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs25795426304
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal19820386304

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD long1000Apr 21, 2022Jul 13, 2025$80,710
EUR/USD long1000Apr 21, 2022Apr 21, 2022$170
EUR/USD long1000Apr 21, 2022Apr 21, 2022$90
AUD/USD long500Apr 20, 2022Apr 20, 2022$90
EUR/USD long500Apr 20, 2022Apr 20, 2022$130
EUR/USD long1000Apr 20, 2022Apr 20, 2022$45
EUR/USD long1000Apr 20, 2022Apr 20, 2022$130
USD/JPY long1000Apr 19, 2022Apr 19, 2022$107
USD/JPY long1000Apr 19, 2022Apr 19, 2022$202
EUR/USD long1000Apr 19, 2022Apr 19, 2022$208
USD/JPY long400Apr 19, 2022Apr 19, 2022$139
USD/CHF long750Apr 18, 2022Apr 18, 2022$126
EUR/USD long1000Apr 18, 2022Apr 18, 2022$140
EUR/USD long1000Apr 18, 2022Apr 18, 2022$110
AUD/USD short1000Apr 17, 2022Apr 17, 2022$1,900
USD/CHF long1000Apr 17, 2022Apr 17, 2022$168
EUR/USD long1000Apr 17, 2022Apr 17, 2022$170
USD/CHF long1000Apr 17, 2022Apr 17, 2022$300
AUD/USD long100Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$12
USD/JPY long100Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$9
GBP/USD long1000Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$97
EUR/USD long1000Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$100
AUD/USD long1000Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$169
USD/CHF long250Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$75
USD/JPY short1000Apr 12, 2022Apr 12, 2022$6
USD/JPY short100Apr 12, 2022Apr 12, 2022($13)
USD/JPY long500Apr 12, 2022Apr 12, 2022($164)
USD/CHF short500Apr 12, 2022Apr 12, 2022$96
USD/JPY short500Apr 12, 2022Apr 12, 2022$13
USD/CHF long500Apr 12, 2022Apr 12, 2022$48

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.