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UBEC-LP

Forex · Started Apr 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
22.4%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
43
Win Trades
93.0%
Profit Factor
110.30
Win Months
28.6%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-54.583.1-66.5-171.4-225.6-131.1-51.9-123.3200.4-49.6
2023110.7-53.8104.435.2-44.235.327.1-35.1-61.217.8233.01.7159.4
2024-25.0-3.4-5.3-28.446.0-27.347.959.5-2.3-48.9-77.7-59.8-94.5
2025170.7-121.6-2017.0146.5-7.743.1-3.90.00.00.00.00.03409.2
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/11/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age56 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades43
# Profitable40
% Profitable93.0%
Avg trade duration27.7 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodJuly 01, 2022 - Sept 27, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)22.4%
Avg win$2,157
Avg loss$261

Ratios

W:L ratio110.31
Sharpe Ratio-0.27
Sortino Ratio-0.35
Calmar Ratio2.67

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.15
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life69.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)80.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)22.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)24.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity5.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.3%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss94.5%
Chance of 30% account loss88.0%
Chance of 40% account loss81.0%
Chance of 50% account loss59.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)46.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)22.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)8.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.5%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$261
Avg Win$2,157
# Winners40
Sum Trade PL (losers)$782
Sum Trade PL (winners)$86,262
Num Months Winners1
# Losers3
% Winners93.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table4

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)39837.48
Avg Position Time (hrs)663.96
Avg Trade Length27.70
Last Trade Ago479

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)18.50
Daily leverage (max)26.67

Regression

Alpha0
Beta1.86
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades1.85
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)4.93
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.81
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-2.87
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.54

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean36011.98
SD31179.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.16
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.04
df8
t1.00
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.36
Sortino ratio22250.51
Upside Potential Ratio22252.88
Upside part of mean36015.83
Downside part of mean-3.84
Upside SD31179.99
Downside SD1.62
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms6
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.81
Mean of criterion36011.98
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion31179.08
Covariance-3913.85
r-0.31
b (slope, estimate of beta)-23669.42
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)55229.20
Mean Square Error1005138816
DF error7
t(b)-0.86
p(b)0.79
t(a)1.29
p(a)0.12
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-88850.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta41511.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-46231.41
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha156689.81
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.52
Jensen alpha (a)55229.20
Mean1.33
SD17.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.08
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.07
df8
t0.07
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.34
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.33
Sortino ratio0.12
Upside Potential Ratio1.58
Upside part of mean17.53
Downside part of mean-16.20
Upside SD12.08
Downside SD11.07
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms6
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.72
Mean of criterion1.33
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion17.38
Covariance-1.78
r-0.27
b (slope, estimate of beta)-11.98
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)9.93
Mean Square Error320.73
DF error7
t(b)-0.73
p(b)0.76
t(a)0.42
p(a)0.34
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-50.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta26.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-46.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha66.25
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.11
Jensen alpha (a)9.93
VaR(95%)1.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR1.00
VaR(95%)0.84
Expected Shortfall on VaR1.21
Mean26394.52
SD20391.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.29
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.29
df204
t1.14
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.51
Sortino ratio8699.80
Upside Potential Ratio8706.29
Upside part of mean26414.20
Downside part of mean-19.69
Upside SD20406.65
Downside SD3.03
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms132
N of observations205
Mean of predictor0.76
Mean of criterion26394.52
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion20391.19
Covariance276.50
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)1918.85
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)24936.26
Mean Square Error417315904
DF error203
t(b)0.51
p(b)0.31
t(a)1.07
p(a)0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-5510.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9347.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-20948.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha70820.55
Treynor index (mean / b)13.76
Jensen alpha (a)24936.26
Mean1.27
SD23.75
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.05
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.05
df204
t0.05
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.27
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.27
Sortino ratio0.08
Upside Potential Ratio3.18
Upside part of mean53.62
Downside part of mean-52.34
Upside SD16.66
Downside SD16.84
N nonnegative terms73
N negative terms132
N of observations205
Mean of predictor0.69
Mean of criterion1.27
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion23.75
Covariance0.50
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)3.43
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-1.09
Mean Square Error564.94
DF error203
t(b)0.79
p(b)0.22
t(a)-0.04
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-5.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta12.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-54.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha52.22
Treynor index (mean / b)0.37
Jensen alpha (a)-1.09
VaR(95%)0.91
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.95
VaR(95%)0.20
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.41
Mean39626.68
SD25479.71
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.56
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.55
df130
t1.10
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.32
Sortino ratio13746.79
Upside Potential Ratio13753.32
Upside part of mean39645.51
Downside part of mean-18.82
Upside SD25500.06
Downside SD2.88
N nonnegative terms46
N negative terms85
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.48
Mean of criterion39626.68
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion25479.71
Covariance280.28
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)1863.33
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)36874.29
Mean Square Error653721920
DF error129
t(b)0.32
p(b)0.48
t(a)0.99
p(a)0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-9576.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta13302.94
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-36634.93
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha110383.51
Treynor index (mean / b)21.27
Jensen alpha (a)36874.29
Mean23.61
SD22.73
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.04
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.03
df130
t0.73
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.81
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.74
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.81
Sortino ratio1.79
Upside Potential Ratio4.85
Upside part of mean63.87
Downside part of mean-40.26
Upside SD18.48
Downside SD13.16
N nonnegative terms46
N negative terms85
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.40
Mean of criterion23.61
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion22.73
Covariance0.41
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)2.70
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)19.83
Mean Square Error519.68
DF error129
t(b)0.52
p(b)0.47
t(a)0.60
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-7.51
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta12.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-45.54
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha85.19
Treynor index (mean / b)8.74
Jensen alpha (a)19.83
VaR(95%)0.89
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.93
VaR(95%)0.19
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.39

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.46
Median0.73
Quartile 32.09
Maximum27003.67
Mean of quarter 10.27
Mean of quarter 20.66
Mean of quarter 31.54
Mean of quarter 413506.40
Inter Quartile Range1.63
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.22
Mean of outliers high13506.40
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.63
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.87
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.96
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.88
VaR(95%) (regression method)1.14
Expected Shortfall (regression method)6.55
Number of observations205
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.93
Median1
Quartile 31.06
Maximum17937
Mean of quarter 10.72
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 4406.24
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low19
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.48
Number of outliers high23
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high899.39
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.27
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.23
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.40
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.51
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.21
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.25
Number of observations131
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.94
Median1
Quartile 31.08
Maximum17937
Mean of quarter 10.72
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 4601.68
Inter Quartile Range0.14
Number outliers low12
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.49
Number of outliers high15
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1322.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.19
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.26
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.26
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.38

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.74
Quartile 10.80
Median0.87
Quartile 30.93
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.74
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.13
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.03
Median0.08
Quartile 30.72
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.06
Mean of quarter 30.44
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.69
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.06
Median0.41
Quartile 30.51
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.25
Mean of quarter 30.44
Mean of quarter 40.79
Inter Quartile Range0.44
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-848531392
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)88
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.8%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)2.35
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.88
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.88
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.88
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.88
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)2.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)2.66
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.66
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.66
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.82
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)270952
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)18354018304
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)18354216960
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs23252905984
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal19678334976

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD long1000Apr 21, 2022Jul 13, 2025$80,730
EUR/USD long1000Apr 21, 2022Apr 21, 2022$170
EUR/USD long1000Apr 21, 2022Apr 21, 2022$190
AUD/USD long500Apr 20, 2022Apr 20, 2022$70
EUR/USD long500Apr 20, 2022Apr 20, 2022$115
EUR/USD long500Apr 20, 2022Apr 20, 2022$65
EUR/USD long1000Apr 20, 2022Apr 20, 2022$120
AUD/USD long250Apr 15, 2022Apr 19, 2022$32
USD/CHF long750Apr 17, 2022Apr 17, 2022$245
EUR/USD long750Apr 17, 2022Apr 17, 2022$188
USD/JPY long200Apr 15, 2022Apr 17, 2022$52
USD/CHF long750Apr 15, 2022Apr 15, 2022$309
USD/JPY long750Apr 15, 2022Apr 15, 2022$90
USD/CHF short750Apr 15, 2022Apr 15, 2022($600)
EUR/USD long250Apr 15, 2022Apr 15, 2022$57
USD/JPY long500Apr 15, 2022Apr 15, 2022$148
USD/CHF short1000Apr 14, 2022Apr 15, 2022($36)
USD/JPY long600Apr 14, 2022Apr 14, 2022$83
USD/CHF short400Apr 14, 2022Apr 14, 2022($257)
USD/JPY short600Apr 14, 2022Apr 14, 2022$91
USD/JPY long1000Apr 14, 2022Apr 14, 2022$88
USD/JPY long250Apr 14, 2022Apr 14, 2022$17
USD/CHF long1000Apr 14, 2022Apr 14, 2022$121
AUD/USD long100Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$10
USD/JPY long100Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$15
EUR/USD long1000Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$260
GBP/USD long1000Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$115
EUR/USD long1000Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$100
AUD/USD long1000Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$110
USD/CHF long200Apr 13, 2022Apr 13, 2022$34

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.