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StockSniper

Equity · Stocks · Started Feb 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-11.3%
Max Drawdown
11.5%
Trades
847
Win Trades
39.3%
Profit Factor
0.90
Win Months
3.6%

About this strategy

The basket contains around 25 stocks at a time, and the average overnight hold will be around 10 symbols. On an account size of 50,000. 2k capital will be allocated per trade. This strategy is best to be auto traded as we can have around 20+ trades in a day.

Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20223.2-2.0-7.11.0-0.3-0.3-0.30.00.00.00.0-6.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began2/14/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age57 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades847
# Profitable333
% Profitable39.3%
Avg trade duration14.0 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown11.5%
drawdown periodMarch 08, 2022 - April 28, 2022
Cumul. Return-6.0%
Avg win$41
Avg loss$30

Ratios

W:L ratio0.89
Sharpe Ratio-1.06
Sortino Ratio-1.39
Calmar Ratio-0.34

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life73.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-3.8%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-11.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-0.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity12.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss2.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated96.2%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)427
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)584
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)265

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$30
Avg Win$41
# Winners333
Sum Trade PL (losers)$15,246
Sum Trade PL (winners)$13,605
Num Months Winners2
# Losers514
% Winners39.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table57

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)838.02
Avg Position Time (hrs)13.97
Avg Trade Length0.60
Last Trade Ago1631

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.38
Daily leverage (max)0.97

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index4.75

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-6.89
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.54
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.38
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.26
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.14

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.09
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.66
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.53
df4
t-0.43
p0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.69
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.44
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.59
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.53
Sortino ratio-0.86
Upside Potential Ratio0.98
Upside part of mean0.11
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms4
N of observations5
Mean of predictor-0.29
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance-0.00
r-0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error3
t(b)-0.25
p(b)0.59
t(a)-0.45
p(a)0.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.67
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.78
Treynor index (mean / b)0.75
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
Mean-0.10
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.71
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.57
df4
t-0.46
p0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.63
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.49
Sortino ratio-0.90
Upside Potential Ratio0.93
Upside part of mean0.10
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.07
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms4
N of observations5
Mean of predictor-0.31
Mean of criterion-0.10
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance-0.00
r-0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.14
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error3
t(b)-0.27
p(b)0.60
t(a)-0.48
p(a)0.67
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.40
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.79
Treynor index (mean / b)0.79
Jensen alpha (a)-0.14
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
Mean-0.09
SD0.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.17
df123
t-0.81
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.67
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.68
Sortino ratio-1.60
Upside Potential Ratio5.12
Upside part of mean0.29
Downside part of mean-0.38
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms29
N negative terms95
N of observations124
Mean of predictor-0.04
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.08
Covariance-0.00
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.06
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error122
t(b)-0.28
p(b)0.51
t(a)-0.81
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)12.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
Mean-0.09
SD0.08
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.22
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.21
df123
t-0.84
p0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-4.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.64
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-4.06
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.64
Sortino ratio-1.64
Upside Potential Ratio5.06
Upside part of mean0.29
Downside part of mean-0.38
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms29
N negative terms95
N of observations124
Mean of predictor-0.07
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.26
SD of criterion0.08
Covariance-0.00
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error122
t(b)-0.28
p(b)0.51
t(a)-0.84
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.13
Treynor index (mean / b)12.16
Jensen alpha (a)-0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.93
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low0.93
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations124
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low30
Percentage of outliers low0.24
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high29
Percentage of outliers high0.23
Mean of outliers high1.00
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.09
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.07
Quartile 10.07
Median0.07
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-338246304
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)51
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.07
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.97
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.80
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.06
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.63
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.63
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-6.28

Trading record

Placed 165 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
NET short21Apr 29, 2022May 9, 2022$723
ADSK short10Apr 29, 2022May 9, 2022$49
TEAM short8Apr 29, 2022Apr 29, 2022$59
UPST long23Apr 29, 2022Apr 29, 2022($26)
ROKU long22Apr 28, 2022Apr 29, 2022$177
SQ long19Apr 28, 2022Apr 29, 2022($32)
ETSY long19Apr 28, 2022Apr 29, 2022($99)
ABNB long12Apr 28, 2022Apr 29, 2022($13)
AMD long22Apr 28, 2022Apr 29, 2022$19
DOCU long23Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($12)
NET long21Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022$4
TEAM long7Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($4)
UPST long25Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022$26
CHWY long63Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022$27
PYPL long22Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022$43
UPST short27Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($28)
TWLO short18Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($29)
ETSY short20Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($29)
ROKU short23Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($22)
DKNG short150Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($12)
COIN short16Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022$10
NET short22Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($30)
AMD short23Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($27)
DOCU short24Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($27)
CHWY short68Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($32)
SQ short20Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($21)
ETSY short21Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($33)
ROKU short23Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($18)
TWLO short18Apr 28, 2022Apr 28, 2022($35)
NET short22Apr 27, 2022Apr 28, 2022($62)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.