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Funded Trader

Futures · Started Jan 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-0.1%
Max Drawdown
51.1%
Trades
632
Win Trades
44.6%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
6.9%

About this strategy



Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
202268.26.010.43.9-21.2-8.9-26.1-2.0-2.00.00.00.04.2
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/6/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age58 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades632
# Profitable282
% Profitable44.6%
Avg trade duration25.2 minutes
Max peak-to-valley drawdown51.1%
drawdown periodApril 26, 2022 - Sept 04, 2022
Cumul. Return-0.1%
Avg win$439
Avg loss$325

Ratios

W:L ratio1.09
Sharpe Ratio0.02
Sortino Ratio0.02
Calmar Ratio0.94

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.11
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life62.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)15.6%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-0.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)7.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity100.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss43.0%
Chance of 20% account loss14.5%
Chance of 30% account loss2.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.4%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)852
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)528

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$325
Avg Win$439
# Winners282
Sum Trade PL (losers)$113,670
Sum Trade PL (winners)$123,695
Num Months Winners4
# Losers350
% Winners44.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table58

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)25.22
Avg Position Time (hrs)0.42
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago1559

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)6.72
Daily leverage (max)32.91

Regression

Alpha0
Beta-0.11
Treynor Index-0.01

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-5.46
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.34
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats36.23
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats74.43
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.55
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.22
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.18

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.80
SD1.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.80
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.71
df7
t0.66
p0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.66
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.72
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.14
Sortino ratio2.99
Upside Potential Ratio5.27
Upside part of mean1.42
Downside part of mean-0.61
Upside SD0.93
Downside SD0.27
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms5
N of observations8
Mean of predictor-0.25
Mean of criterion0.80
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion1.00
Covariance-0.02
r-0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.52
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.68
Mean Square Error1.16
DF error6
t(b)-0.26
p(b)0.60
t(a)0.48
p(a)0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-5.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta4.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha4.12
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.55
Jensen alpha (a)0.68
Mean0.47
SD0.80
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.52
df7
t0.48
p0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.85
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.99
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.89
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.94
Sortino ratio1.62
Upside Potential Ratio3.87
Upside part of mean1.12
Downside part of mean-0.65
Upside SD0.70
Downside SD0.29
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms5
N of observations8
Mean of predictor-0.27
Mean of criterion0.47
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.80
Covariance-0.01
r-0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.41
Mean Square Error0.74
DF error6
t(b)-0.15
p(b)0.56
t(a)0.36
p(a)0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-4.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.18
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.04
Jensen alpha (a)0.41
VaR(95%)0.29
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.35
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.20
Mean0.52
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.48
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.47
df177
t1.22
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.91
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.85
Sortino ratio2.20
Upside Potential Ratio7.82
Upside part of mean1.86
Downside part of mean-1.34
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms112
N of observations178
Mean of predictor-0.25
Mean of criterion0.52
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance-0.01
r-0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.23
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.36
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error176
t(b)-2.10
p(b)0.58
t(a)1.09
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.28
Jensen alpha (a)0.46
Mean0.46
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.29
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.29
df177
t1.07
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.67
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.09
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.67
Sortino ratio1.87
Upside Potential Ratio7.45
Upside part of mean1.82
Downside part of mean-1.36
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms112
N of observations178
Mean of predictor-0.28
Mean of criterion0.46
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance-0.01
r-0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.22
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.40
Mean Square Error0.12
DF error176
t(b)-2.06
p(b)0.58
t(a)0.93
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.45
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.04
Jensen alpha (a)0.40
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.76
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.87
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.85
df130
t-2.03
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.65
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.06
Sortino ratio-3.03
Upside Potential Ratio2.14
Upside part of mean0.54
Downside part of mean-1.30
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.25
N nonnegative terms34
N negative terms97
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.10
Mean of criterion-0.76
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance-0.01
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.78
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error129
t(b)-1.64
p(b)0.59
t(a)-2.08
p(a)0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.04
Treynor index (mean / b)5.02
Jensen alpha (a)-0.78
Mean-0.80
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.93
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.91
df130
t-2.07
p0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-5.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.70
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.12
Sortino ratio-3.08
Upside Potential Ratio2.05
Upside part of mean0.53
Downside part of mean-1.33
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.26
N nonnegative terms34
N negative terms97
N of observations131
Mean of predictor-0.13
Mean of criterion-0.80
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance-0.01
r-0.14
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.82
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error129
t(b)-1.57
p(b)0.59
t(a)-2.13
p(a)0.62
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.34
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.58
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Treynor index (mean / b)5.34
Jensen alpha (a)-0.82
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations8
Minimum0.83
Quartile 10.92
Median0.97
Quartile 31.09
Maximum1.74
Mean of quarter 10.87
Mean of quarter 20.93
Mean of quarter 31.03
Mean of quarter 41.44
Inter Quartile Range0.17
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.74
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations178
Minimum0.91
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low25
Percentage of outliers low0.14
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high28
Percentage of outliers high0.16
Mean of outliers high1.04
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.32
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.19
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03
Number of observations131
Minimum0.91
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low27
Percentage of outliers low0.21
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high22
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.42
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.42
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.34
Quartile 10.34
Median0.34
Quartile 30.34
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations10
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.37
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high0.37
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.44
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.21
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.27
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.45
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.37
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.00
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.37
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-326451168
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)131
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.59
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.64
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.87
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.83
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.58
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.63
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.68
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.46
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal14.76
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.64
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.54
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.44
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-2.81
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-14.49

Trading record

Placed 1412 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@ES U2short2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022$534
@ES U2long2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($91)
@ES U2short2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($266)
@ES U2long2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($141)
@ES U2short2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($116)
@ES U2long2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($191)
@ES U2short2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($366)
@ES U2long2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($116)
QCL Q2long1Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($8)
@ES U2short2Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($591)
QCL Q2long1Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($228)
QCL Q2long1Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($228)
QCL Q2long1Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($188)
QCL Q2long1Jul 12, 2022Jul 12, 2022($298)
@NQ U2short2Jul 1, 2022Jul 1, 2022($956)
@NQ U2short2Jul 1, 2022Jul 1, 2022($834)
@NQ U2short2Jul 1, 2022Jul 1, 2022($3,116)
@NQ U2long2Jul 1, 2022Jul 1, 2022($596)
@NQ U2short2Jul 1, 2022Jul 1, 2022($1,256)
@NQ U2long1Jun 30, 2022Jun 30, 2022$276
@NQ U2long1Jun 30, 2022Jun 30, 2022$558
QCL Q2long1Jun 30, 2022Jun 30, 2022($308)
@NQ U2short1Jun 30, 2022Jun 30, 2022$1,032
QCL Q2long1Jun 30, 2022Jun 30, 2022($948)
@ES U2long1Jun 28, 2022Jun 28, 2022$855
@ES U2short1Jun 28, 2022Jun 28, 2022($408)
@ES U2short1Jun 24, 2022Jun 24, 2022($121)
@NQ U2short2Jun 24, 2022Jun 24, 2022($844)
@NQ U2long2Jun 24, 2022Jun 24, 2022($194)
@ES U2long1Jun 24, 2022Jun 24, 2022($121)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.