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iNew

Futures · Options · Started Jan 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-0.2%
Max Drawdown
13.4%
Trades
5
Win Trades
60.0%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
1.7%

About this strategy

To be announced soon...

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-1.9-1.83.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-0.5
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/3/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$1,000
Age58 months
What it tradesOptions
# Trades5
# Profitable3
% Profitable60.0%
Avg trade duration19.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown13.4%
drawdown periodJan 10, 2022 - March 08, 2022
Annual Return (Compounded)-0.2%
Avg win$21
Avg loss$28

Ratios

W:L ratio1.15
Sharpe Ratio-0.31
Sortino Ratio-0.47
Calmar Ratio0.09

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.17
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life61.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-30.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-0.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options1.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss66.0%
Chance of 20% account loss17.0%
Chance of 30% account loss1.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$28
Avg Win$21
# Winners3
Sum Trade PL (losers)$55
Sum Trade PL (winners)$63
Num Months Winners1
# Losers2
% Winners60.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table58

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)28575.22
Avg Position Time (hrs)476.25
Avg Trade Length19.80
Last Trade Ago1669

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.75
Daily leverage (max)2.61

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.05
Treynor Index-0.10

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.04
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.04
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.05
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.03
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades23.26
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-3.02
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats94.23
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats66.67
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.51
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.65
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.02
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.12
df9
t0.12
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.27
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.27
Sortino ratio0.25
Upside Potential Ratio1.70
Upside part of mean0.12
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms2
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.33
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.02
r0.35
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.13
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error8
t(b)1.06
p(b)0.16
t(a)-0.16
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.41
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.33
Treynor index (mean / b)0.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean0.01
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.07
df9
t0.07
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.22
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.08
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.21
Sortino ratio0.13
Upside Potential Ratio1.58
Upside part of mean0.11
Downside part of mean-0.10
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms8
N negative terms2
N of observations10
Mean of predictor0.27
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.02
r0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.14
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error8
t(b)1.15
p(b)0.14
t(a)-0.20
p(a)0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.31
Treynor index (mean / b)0.07
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.06
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.01
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.13
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.13
df238
t0.13
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.92
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.19
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.92
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.19
Sortino ratio0.21
Upside Potential Ratio4.46
Upside part of mean0.31
Downside part of mean-0.30
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms215
N negative terms24
N of observations239
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.06
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error237
t(b)3.13
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.07
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)0.22
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.01
SD0.11
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.08
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.08
df238
t0.08
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.97
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.97
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.13
Sortino ratio0.12
Upside Potential Ratio4.37
Upside part of mean0.31
Downside part of mean-0.30
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.07
N nonnegative terms215
N negative terms24
N of observations239
Mean of predictor0.28
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.11
Covariance0.01
r0.20
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error237
t(b)3.15
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.09
p(a)0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)0.13
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.02
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.95
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations10
Minimum0.94
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.10
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.20
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.10
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.74
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.07
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.08
Number of observations239
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low24
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high27
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.11
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.08
Quartile 10.08
Median0.08
Quartile 30.08
Maximum0.08
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.05
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-359519648
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)57
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.12
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.13
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.09
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.09
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.64
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QQQ2229P290 short0.08Mar 11, 2022Mar 18, 2022$25
QQQ2214P302 short0.08Feb 28, 2022Mar 18, 2022$22
QQQ2231O309 short0.08Feb 14, 2022Mar 11, 2022($2)
QQQ2218O308 short0.08Jan 21, 2022Feb 24, 2022$16
QQQ2218N346 short0.08Jan 6, 2022Jan 21, 2022($53)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.