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Sky Tower Capital

Futures · Forex · Started Jan 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
30.5%
Max Drawdown
33.0%
Trades
334
Win Trades
97.0%
Profit Factor
71.40
Win Months
51.7%

About this strategy

The system behind the trading strategy uses a proprietary grid algorithm based on common inherent properties of Forex Currency pairs. The main focus while developing the system was maximal generalization to avoid a typical grid systems problem of overfitting to market data.


The system exploits volatility using market momentum to its advantage. It uses pure Price Action data, not relying on lagging technical indicators. It is designed to thrive during most challenging market conditions associated with high levels of uncertainty. It's more relevant now than ever, with important recent changes on the global markets.

It's pure Price Action mean reversal system that exploits peakedness of market distribution

Trading baskets are limited to a max of 4 simultaneous currency pairs (e.g , EUR/USD, GBP/JPY, USDCAD GBP/NZD) the system trade all currency pairs when all conditions are met. The system proprietary algorithm are based on common inherent properties of currency pairs. , Investors should use low spread ECN brokers, , Draw downs limits are between 13% to 27% ,

Momentum Currencies

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20221.63.31.81.00.81.43.12.31.83.75.23.533.5
202310.1-0.00.8-20.236.232.16.4-4.1-19.3-1.836.16.286.0
20240.70.5-1.2-5.59.4-3.22.613.0-1.11.7-6.4-7.21.4
2025-0.31.124.09.02.0-3.35.2-0.10.00.00.00.041.4
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/3/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age58 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades334
# Profitable324
% Profitable97.0%
Avg trade duration2.2 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown33.0%
drawdown periodAug 30, 2023 - Oct 04, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)30.5%
Avg win$434
Avg loss$197

Ratios

W:L ratio71.37
Sharpe Ratio0.90
Sortino Ratio1.66
Calmar Ratio1.55

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.08
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life61.9%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)193.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)30.5%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)32.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity1.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.2%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss53.5%
Chance of 20% account loss17.5%
Chance of 30% account loss6.5%
Chance of 40% account loss1.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated91.3%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$197
Avg Win$434
# Winners324
Sum Trade PL (losers)$1,969
Sum Trade PL (winners)$140,528
Num Months Winners30
# Losers10
% Winners97.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table58

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3184.68
Avg Position Time (hrs)53.08
Avg Trade Length2.20
Last Trade Ago412

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)5.53
Daily leverage (max)41.37

Regression

Alpha0.07
Beta0.13
Treynor Index0.60

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades2.15
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.61
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.01
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-7.25
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.47

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.40
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.42
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.39
df40
t2.63
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.50
Sortino ratio3.99
Upside Potential Ratio5.33
Upside part of mean0.54
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.29
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms31
N negative terms10
N of observations41
Mean of predictor0.09
Mean of criterion0.40
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.40
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error39
t(b)-0.04
p(b)0.52
t(a)2.57
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.72
Treynor index (mean / b)-38.99
Jensen alpha (a)0.40
Mean0.36
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.38
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.35
df40
t2.55
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.47
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.45
Sortino ratio3.42
Upside Potential Ratio4.75
Upside part of mean0.50
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms31
N negative terms10
N of observations41
Mean of predictor0.08
Mean of criterion0.36
SD of predictor0.17
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.36
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error39
t(b)-0.08
p(b)0.53
t(a)2.50
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)-18.68
Jensen alpha (a)0.36
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
Mean0.39
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.35
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.35
df913
t2.52
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.40
Sortino ratio2.38
Upside Potential Ratio7.74
Upside part of mean1.28
Downside part of mean-0.89
Upside SD0.24
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms464
N negative terms450
N of observations914
Mean of predictor0.13
Mean of criterion0.39
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.00
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.38
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error912
t(b)2.15
p(b)0.02
t(a)2.44
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.69
Treynor index (mean / b)3.96
Jensen alpha (a)0.38
Mean0.35
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.23
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.23
df913
t2.30
p0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.28
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.18
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.28
Sortino ratio2.07
Upside Potential Ratio7.36
Upside part of mean1.25
Downside part of mean-0.90
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms464
N negative terms450
N of observations914
Mean of predictor0.11
Mean of criterion0.35
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance0.00
r0.07
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.34
Mean Square Error0.08
DF error912
t(b)2.12
p(b)0.02
t(a)2.23
p(a)0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.64
Treynor index (mean / b)3.63
Jensen alpha (a)0.34
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.22
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.62
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.61
df130
t1.14
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.39
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.17
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.39
Sortino ratio4.55
Upside Potential Ratio10.97
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.13
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms41
N negative terms90
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.65
Mean of criterion0.22
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.01
r-0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.28
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)-2.87
p(b)0.65
t(a)1.53
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.08
Jensen alpha (a)0.28
Mean0.21
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.59
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.59
df130
t1.13
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.37
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.36
Sortino ratio4.35
Upside Potential Ratio10.75
Upside part of mean0.52
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.12
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms41
N negative terms90
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.60
Mean of criterion0.21
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance-0.01
r-0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.27
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)-2.99
p(b)0.66
t(a)1.51
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.63
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.93
Jensen alpha (a)0.27
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations41
Minimum0.89
Quartile 11.00
Median1.02
Quartile 31.05
Maximum1.32
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21.01
Mean of quarter 31.04
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low3
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.91
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.21
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-29.54
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations914
Minimum0.87
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.21
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low103
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high100
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.74
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.04
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.24
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low16
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high19
Percentage of outliers high0.15
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.06
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations5
Minimum0.03
Quartile 10.03
Median0.08
Quartile 30.10
Maximum0.19
Mean of quarter 10.03
Mean of quarter 20.08
Mean of quarter 30.10
Mean of quarter 40.19
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations48
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.30
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.12
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high6
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.39
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.10
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.12
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.18
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.15
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.21
Number of observations8
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.03
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.03
Inter Quartile Range0.02
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-519774752
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)35
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.81
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.47
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.44
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.44
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.03
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.79
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.46
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.55
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.85
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal13.42
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.27
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)7.67
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs7.88
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal16.94

Trading record

Placed 392 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EUR/USD long200Aug 15, 2025Aug 21, 2025($1,398)
EUR/USD long200Aug 3, 2025Aug 6, 2025$1,474
EUR/USD short400Jun 18, 2025Jul 29, 2025$3,100
EUR/USD short100Jun 13, 2025Jun 17, 2025$496
EUR/USD short100May 26, 2025May 27, 2025$484
EUR/USD long300Apr 28, 2025May 21, 2025$2,012
EUR/USD short200Apr 21, 2025Apr 21, 2025$89
EUR/USD short100Apr 11, 2025Apr 11, 2025$261
EUR/USD long700Oct 2, 2024Apr 3, 2025$28,941
EUR/USD short300Sep 11, 2024Oct 2, 2024$1,410
EUR/USD short400Aug 19, 2024Sep 3, 2024$2,096
EUR/USD short200Aug 13, 2024Aug 15, 2024$664
EUR/USD long800Jan 12, 2024Aug 13, 2024$14,200
EUR/USD long100Jan 8, 2024Jan 11, 2024$225
EUR/USD long100Jan 4, 2024Jan 5, 2024$294
EUR/USD long100Jan 3, 2024Jan 3, 2024$237
EUR/USD short400Dec 20, 2023Jan 3, 2024$3,023
EUR/USD long900Aug 10, 2023Dec 14, 2023$11,699
EUR/USD short100Aug 10, 2023Aug 10, 2023$200
EUR/USD short100Aug 10, 2023Aug 10, 2023($11)
EUR/USD long200Aug 7, 2023Aug 10, 2023$1,253
EUR/USD short400Jul 9, 2023Jul 28, 2023$5,876
EUR/USD long200Jul 5, 2023Jul 7, 2023$892
EUR/USD short110Jul 2, 2023Jul 4, 2023$279
EUR/USD long60Jun 29, 2023Jun 30, 2023$208
EUR/USD long10Jun 28, 2023Jun 29, 2023$13
EUR/USD long200Jun 22, 2023Jun 27, 2023$711
EUR/USD short200Jun 21, 2023Jun 22, 2023$159
EUR/USD short50Jun 21, 2023Jun 21, 2023($9)
EUR/USD short50Jun 21, 2023Jun 21, 2023($6)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.