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Portfolio Trader DASH

Equity · Stocks · Started Jan 2022

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
3.1%
Max Drawdown
20.8%
Trades
1574
Win Trades
65.1%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
22.4%

About this strategy

Portfolio Trader DASH is a risk-seeking professional-grade algorithm consisting of 4 high-performing equity trading systems. Trading is scaled across a mix of both market & limit-based systems relying solely on price dynamics. This long-only portfolio offers 3 layers of risk management through decorrelation - which is achieved by trading ETF pertaining to various asset classes -, through enforcing both hard & adaptive stop-losses, and through the implementation of proprietary kill switch techniques. Each trading system is autonomous and is rebalanced on a daily or a monthly basis. Trade signals are issued in the morning preceding the next session and are to be placed or executed within the first hour of the regular day session's opening at the trader's discretion. An aggressive yet contained leverage of 1.50:1 is set by default.

No matter the heavy focus on enhancing returns and containing maximum drawdown, please understand that all risk-management claims rely on long-term historical volatility assumptions. Therefore, no risk-free or low-risk trading can be guaranteed at any time and unforeseen events can cause you to lose all your money.

For more information, please visit www.fxphysics.com.

Trend-following Short-term Reversal

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2022-9.45.02.4-4.00.5-7.94.6-1.8-6.99.75.3-5.1-9.2
20234.8-1.5-0.52.7-3.65.45.7-1.8-3.2-5.27.27.017.0
20240.00.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.1
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/1/2022
Suggested Minimum Capital$250,000
Age58 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades1574
# Profitable1024
% Profitable65.1%
Avg trade duration9.5 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown20.8%
drawdown periodAug 01, 2023 - Oct 04, 2023
Annual Return (Compounded)3.1%
Avg win$293
Avg loss$513

Ratios

W:L ratio1.08
Sharpe Ratio-0.01
Sortino Ratio-0.01
Calmar Ratio0.24

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.44
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life62.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)6.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)3.1%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.6%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss84.0%
Chance of 20% account loss61.0%
Chance of 30% account loss19.5%
Chance of 40% account loss6.0%
Chance of 50% account loss1.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.4%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)317
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$513
Avg Win$293
# Winners1024
Sum Trade PL (losers)$282,237
Sum Trade PL (winners)$299,891
Num Months Winners14
# Losers550
% Winners65.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct6231

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table58

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)13680.73
Avg Position Time (hrs)228.01
Avg Trade Length9.50
Last Trade Ago1014

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.01
Daily leverage (max)1.68

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.28
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-870.57
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.05
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.76
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.76
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.00

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.01
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.06
df22
t-0.09
p0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.35
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.48
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.35
Sortino ratio-0.09
Upside Potential Ratio1.88
Upside part of mean0.20
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms12
N negative terms11
N of observations23
Mean of predictor-0.04
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.02
r0.67
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.59
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error21
t(b)4.18
p(b)0.11
t(a)0.20
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.18
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.02
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
Mean-0.02
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.13
df22
t-0.19
p0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.28
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.55
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.29
Sortino ratio-0.18
Upside Potential Ratio1.78
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.21
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.11
N nonnegative terms12
N negative terms11
N of observations23
Mean of predictor-0.06
Mean of criterion-0.02
SD of predictor0.16
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance0.02
r0.68
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.60
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error21
t(b)4.20
p(b)0.11
t(a)0.17
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.18
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.03
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
Mean0.03
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.20
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.20
df517
t0.28
p0.39
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.59
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.19
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.59
Sortino ratio0.27
Upside Potential Ratio8.12
Upside part of mean1.01
Downside part of mean-0.98
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms283
N negative terms235
N of observations518
Mean of predictor-0.01
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.02
r0.56
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.04
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error516
t(b)15.54
p(b)0
t(a)0.40
p(a)0.35
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)0.07
Jensen alpha (a)0.04
Mean0.02
SD0.17
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.11
df517
t0.16
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.51
Sortino ratio0.15
Upside Potential Ratio7.97
Upside part of mean1.00
Downside part of mean-0.98
Upside SD0.11
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms283
N negative terms235
N of observations518
Mean of predictor-0.03
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.20
SD of criterion0.17
Covariance0.02
r0.56
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.49
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error516
t(b)15.52
p(b)0
t(a)0.35
p(a)0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.23
Treynor index (mean / b)0.04
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean0.19
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.52
df130
t1.08
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.31
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.25
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.30
Sortino ratio2.29
Upside Potential Ratio10.31
Upside part of mean0.87
Downside part of mean-0.68
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.08
N nonnegative terms77
N negative terms54
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.15
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.01
r0.63
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)9.13
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.66
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)0.29
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
Mean0.19
SD0.13
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.46
df130
t1.04
p0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio4.25
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation4.24
Sortino ratio2.18
Upside Potential Ratio10.18
Upside part of mean0.87
Downside part of mean-0.68
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.09
N nonnegative terms77
N negative terms54
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.14
Mean of criterion0.19
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion0.13
Covariance0.01
r0.63
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.67
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.09
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error129
t(b)9.14
p(b)0.13
t(a)0.63
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.53
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)0.28
Jensen alpha (a)0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations23
Minimum0.92
Quartile 10.97
Median1.00
Quartile 31.03
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.05
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.07
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.23
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.07
Number of observations518
Minimum0.95
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low19
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.02
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.08
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.14
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations2
Minimum0.05
Quartile 10.07
Median0.10
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10.05
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.04
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.12
Maximum0.17
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.11
Mean of quarter 40.16
Inter Quartile Range0.12
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations6
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.11
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.06
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high0.11
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-395279936
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)64
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.01
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.01
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.06
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.06
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.10
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.28
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.31
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.28
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.23
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.25
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs3.93
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal15.61

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
LULU long10Dec 29, 2023Jan 1, 2024$28
ATGE long176Dec 29, 2023Jan 1, 2024($41)
NFLX long22Dec 29, 2023Jan 1, 2024($37)
GEN long455Dec 29, 2023Jan 1, 2024($52)
FBIN long68Dec 28, 2023Jan 1, 2024($40)
VNQ long180Dec 28, 2023Jan 1, 2024($99)
VEA long670Dec 28, 2023Jan 1, 2024($76)
LQD long216Dec 28, 2023Jan 1, 2024($49)
MAS long77Dec 27, 2023Jan 1, 2024($13)
AVGO long15Dec 27, 2023Jan 1, 2024($74)
EXPE long102Dec 27, 2023Jan 1, 2024($58)
JBL long41Dec 27, 2023Jan 1, 2024($25)
SPG long72Dec 27, 2023Jan 1, 2024$4
DAL long128Dec 27, 2023Jan 1, 2024($54)
NCLH long772Dec 27, 2023Jan 1, 2024($154)
CCL long847Dec 27, 2023Jan 1, 2024$89
SLG long226Dec 20, 2023Jan 1, 2024$162
VNO long1066Dec 20, 2023Jan 1, 2024($367)
SPY long76Dec 27, 2023Dec 29, 2023$85
SH long2786Dec 28, 2023Dec 29, 2023$23
MAC long664Dec 20, 2023Dec 28, 2023$113
KEY long361Dec 20, 2023Dec 27, 2023$72
KSS long187Dec 22, 2023Dec 27, 2023$389
MPWR long8Dec 22, 2023Dec 27, 2023$188
AMD long38Dec 20, 2023Dec 27, 2023$285
LEN long70Dec 20, 2023Dec 27, 2023$73
SH long2733Dec 26, 2023Dec 27, 2023($114)
TDG long5Dec 20, 2023Dec 26, 2023$52
IDXX long10Dec 20, 2023Dec 22, 2023$118
DHI long35Dec 20, 2023Dec 22, 2023$70

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.