Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Delta CME

Futures · Started Sep 2021

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-14.4%
Max Drawdown
57.6%
Trades
6
Win Trades
50.0%
Profit Factor
0.10
Win Months
1.6%

About this strategy

Hello,

This system "Delta CME" (Futures) is identical to the my system "Delta FX" (Forex) | https://collective2.com/details/137074309

1) Trading experience since 2006. Experience in managing a fund of 20 million USD. The plan and goal for the future is to open a hedge fund.
2) My public verified trading results | 2011 + 12.11% | 2012 + 105.51% | 2013 + 272.49% | 2014 + 182.49% | 2015 + 121.17% | 2016 + 65.57% | 2017 + 18.24% | 2018 + 88.6% | 2019 +16.5%.
3) Manual trading is based on the use of advanced mathematical algorithms that generate accurate entry and exit signals, as well as on the analysis of intraday currency futures of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group).
4) Trading is carried out both by trend and reversal, on CME currency futures: British Pound Futures, Euro FX Futures, Australian Dollar Futures, Japanese Yen Futures, Canadian Dollar Futures, Swiss Franc Futures.
5) Each trade is protected by stop loss. Prior to the opening of each trade, a risk calculation is made and only after that a trade is opened. Risk control takes first place in the system.
6) Maximum Position Sizes for Medallion CME | In order to comply with rules imposed by market regulators, including the CME and the CFTC, Collective2 restricts the size of trades that can be placed at exchanges.
7) Maximum drawdown per month 10%. The risk for you may be more than 10% if you connected not from the 1st of the month.
8) Not a martingale.
9) I recommend that subscribers in the settings set the parameters of the maximum entry and the risk per month no more than 10%. Be sure to do this.
10) Maximum open volume, trading account size from 120,000 USD to 140,000 USD:

British Pound Futures = 10 lots (10 * 62,500 USD)
Euro FX Futures = 5 lots (5 * 125,000 USD)
Australian Dollar Futures = 6 lots (6 * 100,000 USD)
Japanese Yen Futures = 5 lots (5 * 125,000 USD)
Canadian Dollar Futures = 6 lots (6 * 100,000 USD)
Swiss Franc Futures = 5 lots (5 * 125,000 USD)

September 14, 2021
Michael

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021-14.62.4-48.40.0-54.9
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began9/13/2021
Suggested Minimum Capital$125,000
Age62 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades6
# Profitable3
% Profitable50.0%
Avg trade duration13.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown57.6%
drawdown periodOct 13, 2021 - Nov 30, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)-14.4%
Avg win$1,948
Avg loss$24,046

Ratios

W:L ratio0.08
Sharpe Ratio-0.85
Sortino Ratio-0.95
Calmar Ratio-0.93

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.04
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life69.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-128.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-14.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-13.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity135.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)17.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$24,046
Avg Win$1,948
# Winners3
Sum Trade PL (losers)$72,138
Sum Trade PL (winners)$5,845
Num Months Winners1
# Losers3
% Winners50.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table62

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)18879.88
Avg Position Time (hrs)314.67
Avg Trade Length13.10
Last Trade Ago1800

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)12.44
Daily leverage (max)20.21

Regression

Alpha-0.05
Beta0.04
Treynor Index-1.28

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.27
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.85
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.44
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-1.77
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-2.96
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.17
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.62
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.56

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.60
SD0.47
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.27
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.18
df11
t-1.27
p0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.84
Sortino ratio-1.25
Upside Potential Ratio0.13
Upside part of mean0.06
Downside part of mean-0.67
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.48
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms2
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.57
Mean of criterion-0.60
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0.47
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.60
Mean Square Error0.25
DF error10
t(b)0.01
p(b)0.50
t(a)-1.13
p(a)0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)-267.22
Jensen alpha (a)-0.60
Mean-0.76
SD0.59
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.29
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.20
df11
t-1.29
p0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.77
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.82
Sortino ratio-1.27
Upside Potential Ratio0.10
Upside part of mean0.06
Downside part of mean-0.82
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.60
N nonnegative terms10
N negative terms2
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.48
Mean of criterion-0.76
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0.59
Covariance-0.00
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.75
Mean Square Error0.38
DF error10
t(b)-0.06
p(b)0.52
t(a)-1.14
p(a)0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.99
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.71
Treynor index (mean / b)26.32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.75
VaR(95%)0.29
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.34
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.14
Mean-0.67
SD0.35
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.88
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.88
df270
t-1.92
p0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.05
Sortino ratio-2.12
Upside Potential Ratio2.14
Upside part of mean0.67
Downside part of mean-1.34
Upside SD0.17
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms240
N negative terms31
N of observations271
Mean of predictor0.59
Mean of criterion-0.67
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.35
Covariance0.01
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.69
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error269
t(b)0.76
p(b)0.22
t(a)-1.98
p(a)0.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.00
Treynor index (mean / b)-14.70
Jensen alpha (a)-0.69
Mean-0.73
SD0.37
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.00
df270
t-2.04
p0.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.94
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.07
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.93
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.06
Sortino ratio-2.22
Upside Potential Ratio2.00
Upside part of mean0.66
Downside part of mean-1.39
Upside SD0.16
Downside SD0.33
N nonnegative terms240
N negative terms31
N of observations271
Mean of predictor0.53
Mean of criterion-0.73
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.37
Covariance0.01
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.76
Mean Square Error0.13
DF error269
t(b)0.75
p(b)0.23
t(a)-2.10
p(a)0.98
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.47
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.05
Treynor index (mean / b)-15.93
Jensen alpha (a)-0.76
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.21
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.10
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.60
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.78
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.67
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.89
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.56
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.59
Number of observations271
Minimum0.87
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.08
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low31
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high26
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.35
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.01
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.17
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.05
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.56
Quartile 10.56
Median0.56
Quartile 30.56
Maximum0.56
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations2
Minimum0.18
Quartile 10.27
Median0.37
Quartile 30.46
Maximum0.56
Mean of quarter 10.18
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.56
Inter Quartile Range0.19
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1195965952
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)48
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.53
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.53
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.95
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.58
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.51
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.52
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.93
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.93
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-10.78
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 62 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@BP Z1long44Oct 21, 2021Nov 30, 2021($63,683)
@EU Z1long1Nov 17, 2021Nov 17, 2021$330
@BP Z1short99Oct 7, 2021Oct 21, 2021($6,761)
@BP Z1long111Sep 14, 2021Oct 7, 2021($3,726)
@BP Z1short1Sep 14, 2021Sep 14, 2021$105
@BP Z1long23Sep 13, 2021Sep 14, 2021$5,210

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.