Collective2 Collective2
Featured Strategy Income Trades +18.0% Cumul. Return since Feb 16, 2024 Hypothetical

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These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more
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Medallion CME
(134947287)

Created by: Medallion Medallion
Started: 03/2021
Futures
Last trade: 1,169 days ago
Trading style: Futures Currencies
Subscriptions not currently available.

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $250.00 per month.

C2Star

C2Star is a certification program for trading strategies. In order to become "C2Star Certified," a strategy must apply tight risk controls, and must exhibit excellent performance characteristics, including low drawdowns.

You can read more about C2Star certification requirements here.

Note that: all trading strategies are risky, and C2Star Certification does not imply that a strategy is low risk.

Trading Category: Futures
Currencies
Category: Equity

Currencies

Focuses on currency futures.
31.7%
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations

Overview

To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

(29.6%)
Max Drawdown
83
Num Trades
81.9%
Win Trades
1.8 : 1
Profit Factor
11.1%
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
 JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021              +0.2%+6.8%(5.2%)+3.2%+15.4%(12.4%)+8.2%  -    -    -  +14.5%
2022  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2023  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -  0.0
2024  -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -    -        0.0

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 796 trades in real-life brokerage accounts. To see live brokerage data, select Show AutoTrade Data, and click on a Live AutoTrade Indicator symbol.

Show AutoTrade data Hide AutoTrade data
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Long
Short
Both
Win
Loss
Both
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQuantAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
8/4/21 1:24 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 138 1.3891 9/9 11:54 1.3884 40.46%
Trade id #136814934
Max drawdown($45,168)
Time8/20/21 0:00
Quant open25
Worst price1.3602
Drawdown as % of equity-40.46%
 ($7,035)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1,104.00
7/5/21 12:30 @ADU1 AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR LONG 192 0.7434 8/20 6:58 0.7435 22.49%
Trade id #136330466
Max drawdown($28,089)
Time7/21/21 0:00
Quant open15
Worst price0.7291
Drawdown as % of equity-22.49%
 ($26)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1,536.00
8/10/21 5:25 @EUU1 EUROFX LONG 4 1.17302 8/11 8:35 1.17440 0.59%
Trade id #136895009
Max drawdown($862)
Time8/11/21 3:17
Quant open4
Worst price1.17130
Drawdown as % of equity-0.59%
 $656
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
8/2/21 20:23 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND SHORT 15 1.3908 8/4 1:24 1.3916 0.93%
Trade id #136794507
Max drawdown($1,429)
Time8/4/21 1:24
Quant open10
Worst price1.3931
Drawdown as % of equity-0.93%
 ($889)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $120.00
8/2/21 9:21 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND SHORT 7 1.3908 8/2 12:12 1.3892 0.21%
Trade id #136781765
Max drawdown($312)
Time8/2/21 10:00
Quant open4
Worst price1.3920
Drawdown as % of equity-0.21%
 $657
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $56.00
8/2/21 3:05 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND SHORT 4 1.3921 8/2 8:59 1.3891 0.06%
Trade id #136777620
Max drawdown($93)
Time8/2/21 4:25
Quant open3
Worst price1.3933
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
 $712
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $32.00
8/1/21 23:35 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 7 1.3899 8/2 2:56 1.3915 0.35%
Trade id #136776816
Max drawdown($525)
Time8/2/21 0:00
Quant open7
Worst price1.3887
Drawdown as % of equity-0.35%
 $644
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $56.00
7/29/21 6:58 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND SHORT 5 1.3965 8/1 23:34 1.3900 0.22%
Trade id #136727131
Max drawdown($325)
Time7/30/21 0:00
Quant open2
Worst price1.3985
Drawdown as % of equity-0.22%
 $1,979
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
7/28/21 14:35 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 3 1.3873 7/28 14:41 1.3899 n/a $464
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
7/28/21 14:00 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 7 1.3865 7/28 14:28 1.3886 0.13%
Trade id #136719055
Max drawdown($187)
Time7/28/21 14:07
Quant open6
Worst price1.3858
Drawdown as % of equity-0.13%
 $857
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $56.00
7/28/21 5:58 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 8 1.3861 7/28 12:26 1.3876 0.39%
Trade id #136708580
Max drawdown($562)
Time7/28/21 9:57
Quant open7
Worst price1.3847
Drawdown as % of equity-0.39%
 $655
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
7/28/21 4:01 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 1 1.3870 7/28 4:58 1.3895 0.03%
Trade id #136707803
Max drawdown($43)
Time7/28/21 4:14
Quant open1
Worst price1.3863
Drawdown as % of equity-0.03%
 $148
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
7/28/21 1:20 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 1 1.3868 7/28 3:07 1.3885 0.01%
Trade id #136706948
Max drawdown($18)
Time7/28/21 2:56
Quant open1
Worst price1.3865
Drawdown as % of equity-0.01%
 $98
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $8.00
7/23/21 0:42 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 20 1.3755 7/26 6:17 1.3790 2.39%
Trade id #136642964
Max drawdown($3,218)
Time7/23/21 7:26
Quant open15
Worst price1.3721
Drawdown as % of equity-2.39%
 $4,146
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $160.00
7/15/21 6:49 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 14 1.3847 7/19 3:05 1.3795 3.88%
Trade id #136500362
Max drawdown($5,265)
Time7/19/21 3:05
Quant open7
Worst price1.3727
Drawdown as % of equity-3.88%
 ($4,737)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $112.00
7/14/21 20:17 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 9 1.3833 7/15 6:14 1.3869 0.56%
Trade id #136496472
Max drawdown($797)
Time7/15/21 3:57
Quant open7
Worst price1.3815
Drawdown as % of equity-0.56%
 $1,966
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $72.00
7/12/21 3:40 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 25 1.3860 7/14 6:59 1.3879 2.99%
Trade id #136419163
Max drawdown($4,053)
Time7/14/21 0:29
Quant open15
Worst price1.3817
Drawdown as % of equity-2.99%
 $2,725
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $200.00
7/9/21 11:22 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 10 1.3841 7/9 13:48 1.3866 0.5%
Trade id #136402429
Max drawdown($625)
Time7/9/21 11:30
Quant open10
Worst price1.3831
Drawdown as % of equity-0.50%
 $1,501
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $80.00
7/6/21 0:41 AUD/USD AUD/USD LONG 10 0.75495 7/6 0:42 0.75503 n/a $8
6/27/21 22:33 @EUU1 EUROFX LONG 37 1.18832 7/5 12:24 1.18901 4.27%
Trade id #136225116
Max drawdown($5,546)
Time7/2/21 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price1.18235
Drawdown as % of equity-4.27%
 $2,910
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $296.00
7/2/21 8:58 @SFU1 SWISS FRANC LONG 3 1.0854 7/2 8:59 1.0852 0.06%
Trade id #136303300
Max drawdown($75)
Time7/2/21 8:59
Quant open3
Worst price1.0852
Drawdown as % of equity-0.06%
 ($99)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $24.00
6/28/21 3:09 @SFU1 SWISS FRANC LONG 8 1.0881 7/2 8:58 1.0848 6.11%
Trade id #136225986
Max drawdown($8,037)
Time7/2/21 3:48
Quant open8
Worst price1.0801
Drawdown as % of equity-6.11%
 ($3,389)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
7/2/21 8:32 @ADU1 AUSTRALIAN DOLLAR LONG 6 0.7476 7/2 8:57 0.7484 n/a $402
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $48.00
6/22/21 21:51 @EUU1 EUROFX LONG 15 1.19451 6/25 9:22 1.19623 0.48%
Trade id #136168092
Max drawdown($651)
Time6/24/21 0:00
Quant open7
Worst price1.19360
Drawdown as % of equity-0.48%
 $3,099
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $120.00
6/22/21 4:15 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND LONG 13 1.3882 6/22 11:15 1.3900 0.17%
Trade id #136154434
Max drawdown($225)
Time6/22/21 5:53
Quant open4
Worst price1.3864
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
 $1,396
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $104.00
6/22/21 5:51 GBP/USD GBP/USD LONG 3 1.38701 6/22 5:51 1.38700 n/a $0
6/20/21 22:59 @EUU1 EUROFX LONG 5 1.18788 6/21 4:10 1.19095 0.53%
Trade id #136133524
Max drawdown($706)
Time6/21/21 0:00
Quant open5
Worst price1.18675
Drawdown as % of equity-0.53%
 $1,879
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
6/17/21 2:53 @CDU1 CANADIAN DOLLAR LONG 7 0.8116 6/18 11:31 0.8015 5.42%
Trade id #136088441
Max drawdown($7,260)
Time6/18/21 11:30
Quant open7
Worst price0.8013
Drawdown as % of equity-5.42%
 ($7,141)
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $56.00
6/16/21 14:22 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND SHORT 5 1.4030 6/17 3:04 1.4006 0.12%
Trade id #136082526
Max drawdown($162)
Time6/16/21 14:26
Quant open4
Worst price1.4039
Drawdown as % of equity-0.12%
 $701
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $40.00
6/15/21 8:23 @BPU1 BRITISH POUND SHORT 8 1.4060 6/16 14:19 1.4044 2.13%
Trade id #136059887
Max drawdown($2,840)
Time6/16/21 8:19
Quant open6
Worst price1.4135
Drawdown as % of equity-2.13%
 $739
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $64.00
Next

Statistics

  • Strategy began
    3/31/2021
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
    $125,000
  • Strategy Age (days)
    1319.26
  • Age
    44 months ago
  • What it trades
    Futures
  • # Trades
    83
  • # Profitable
    68
  • % Profitable
    81.90%
  • Avg trade duration
    2.3 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
    29.62%
  • drawdown period
    Aug 05, 2021 - Aug 20, 2021
  • Cumul. Return
    14.5%
  • Avg win
    $902.94
  • Avg loss
    $2,304
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
    $151,823
  • Margin Used
    $0
  • Buying Power
    $151,823
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
    1.78:1
  • Sharpe Ratio
    0.17
  • Sortino Ratio
    0.22
  • Calmar Ratio
    0.905
  • CORRELATION STATISTICS
  • Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)
    2.54%
  • Correlation to SP500
    0.03700
  • Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life
    48.94%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
    31.7%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump as Pcnt Equity
    9.00%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Futures
    0.99%
  • Slump
  • Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life
    0.90%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt Since TOS Status
    n/a
  • Instruments
  • Short Options - Percent Covered
    100.00%
  • Return Statistics
  • Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)
    0.145%
  • Instruments
  • Percent Trades Options
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Stocks
    n/a
  • Percent Trades Forex
    0.01%
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
    5.5%
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
    56.50%
  • Chance of 20% account loss
    14.50%
  • Chance of 30% account loss
    2.00%
  • Chance of 40% account loss
    n/a
  • Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)
    n/a
  • Automation
  • Percentage Signals Automated
    n/a
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 50% account loss
    n/a
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
    491
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
    900
  • Trading Style
  • Any stock shorts? 0/1
    0
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)
    677
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
    -
  • TOS percent
    n/a
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Loss
    $2,305
  • Avg Win
    $903
  • Sum Trade PL (losers)
    $34,570.000
  • Age
  • Num Months filled monthly returns table
    45
  • Win / Loss
  • Sum Trade PL (winners)
    $61,400.000
  • # Winners
    68
  • Num Months Winners
    5
  • Dividends
  • Dividends Received in Model Acct
    0
  • Win / Loss
  • # Losers
    15
  • % Winners
    81.9%
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
    3294.90
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
    54.91
  • Avg Trade Length
    2.3 days
  • Last Trade Ago
    1157
  • Leverage
  • Daily leverage (average)
    6.63
  • Daily leverage (max)
    17.38
  • Regression
  • Alpha
    0.01
  • Beta
    0.03
  • Treynor Index
    0.23
  • Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
  • MAE:Equity, average, all trades
    0.02
  • MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
    -
  • MAE:PL (avg, all trades)
    1.13
  • MAE:Equity, average, winning trades
    0.01
  • MAE:Equity, average, losing trades
    0.06
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades
    6.661
  • MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    -
  • MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
    0.01
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades
    1.365
  • Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades
    -2.562
  • Hold-and-Hope Ratio
    0.150
  • Analysis based on MONTHLY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.30883
  • SD
    0.35360
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.87337
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.69685
  • df
    4.00000
  • t
    0.56376
  • p
    0.30151
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.26903
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.91504
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.37767
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.77136
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.78962
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    3.81134
  • Upside part of mean
    0.65770
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.34888
  • Upside SD
    0.27964
  • Downside SD
    0.17256
  • N nonnegative terms
    3.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    5.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.28862
  • Mean of criterion
    0.30883
  • SD of predictor
    0.06063
  • SD of criterion
    0.35360
  • Covariance
    0.00375
  • r
    0.17495
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.02031
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.01434
  • Mean Square Error
    0.16161
  • DF error
    3.00000
  • t(b)
    0.30778
  • p(b)
    0.38919
  • t(a)
    0.01256
  • p(a)
    0.49538
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -9.52980
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    11.57040
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -3.61887
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    3.64756
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.30268
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.01434
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.25660
  • SD
    0.34564
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.74240
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.59235
  • df
    4.00000
  • t
    0.47922
  • p
    0.32840
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -2.37755
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.77589
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -2.47163
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.65633
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.41887
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    3.43100
  • Upside part of mean
    0.62049
  • Downside part of mean
    -0.36389
  • Upside SD
    0.26144
  • Downside SD
    0.18085
  • N nonnegative terms
    3.00000
  • N negative terms
    2.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    5.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.28316
  • Mean of criterion
    0.25660
  • SD of predictor
    0.05892
  • SD of criterion
    0.34564
  • Covariance
    0.00373
  • r
    0.18310
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    1.07412
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    -0.04755
  • Mean Square Error
    0.15394
  • DF error
    3.00000
  • t(b)
    0.32259
  • p(b)
    0.38409
  • t(a)
    -0.04239
  • p(a)
    0.51557
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -9.52243
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    11.67070
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -3.61757
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    3.52247
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.23889
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    -0.04755
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.13301
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.16786
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.05956
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.10762
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    5.00000
  • Minimum
    0.89930
  • Quartile 1
    0.96000
  • Median
    1.04159
  • Quartile 3
    1.07801
  • Maximum
    1.16143
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.92965
  • Mean of quarter 2
    1.04159
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.07801
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.16143
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.11801
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    2.00000
  • Minimum
    0.04000
  • Quartile 1
    0.05518
  • Median
    0.07035
  • Quartile 3
    0.08553
  • Maximum
    0.10070
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.04000
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.00000
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.10070
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.03035
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.00000
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.00000
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.00000
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.00000
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.00000
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.30206
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.32911
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    3.26807
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    3.26807
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    1.96064
  • 0.00000
  • 0.00000
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.44077
  • SD
    0.39021
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    1.12957
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    1.12284
  • df
    126.00000
  • t
    0.78644
  • p
    0.46505
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.69112
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.94597
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.69569
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.94137
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.56328
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    8.17268
  • Upside part of mean
    2.30428
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.86352
  • Upside SD
    0.26890
  • Downside SD
    0.28195
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    57.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    127.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.21147
  • Mean of criterion
    0.44077
  • SD of predictor
    0.10798
  • SD of criterion
    0.39021
  • Covariance
    0.00708
  • r
    0.16813
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.60755
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.21000
  • Mean Square Error
    0.14914
  • DF error
    125.00000
  • t(b)
    1.90691
  • p(b)
    0.39347
  • t(a)
    0.55889
  • p(a)
    0.46823
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.02301
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.23810
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.79357
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.41814
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.72548
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.31228
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to Sharpe ratio
  • Mean
    0.36432
  • SD
    0.39259
  • Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)
    0.92798
  • Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)
    0.92245
  • df
    126.00000
  • t
    0.64609
  • p
    0.47127
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    -1.89121
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio
    3.74369
  • Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    -1.89497
  • Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation
    3.73987
  • Statistics related to Sortino ratio
  • Sortino ratio
    1.25184
  • Upside Potential Ratio
    7.79689
  • Upside part of mean
    2.26909
  • Downside part of mean
    -1.90478
  • Upside SD
    0.26215
  • Downside SD
    0.29102
  • N nonnegative terms
    70.00000
  • N negative terms
    57.00000
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • N of observations
    127.00000
  • Mean of predictor
    0.20558
  • Mean of criterion
    0.36432
  • SD of predictor
    0.10800
  • SD of criterion
    0.39259
  • Covariance
    0.00716
  • r
    0.16895
  • b (slope, estimate of beta)
    0.61412
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)
    0.23806
  • Mean Square Error
    0.15093
  • DF error
    125.00000
  • t(b)
    1.91643
  • p(b)
    0.39296
  • t(a)
    0.42370
  • p(a)
    0.47590
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    -0.02009
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta
    1.24833
  • Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    -0.87395
  • Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha
    1.35008
  • Treynor index (mean / b)
    0.59323
  • Jensen alpha (a)
    0.23806
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (parametric)
  • assuming log normal returns and losses (using central moments from Sharpe statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.03777
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.04744
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • VaR(95%)
    0.01500
  • Expected Shortfall on VaR
    0.03211
  • ORDER STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of return rates
  • Number of observations
    127.00000
  • Minimum
    0.91090
  • Quartile 1
    0.99342
  • Median
    1.00336
  • Quartile 3
    1.01177
  • Maximum
    1.10049
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.97331
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.99911
  • Mean of quarter 3
    1.00795
  • Mean of quarter 4
    1.02699
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.01835
  • Number outliers low
    7.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.05512
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.93759
  • Number of outliers high
    4.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.03150
  • Mean of outliers high
    1.06222
  • Risk estimates for a one-period unit investment (based on Ex
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    0.29335
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.02214
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.03941
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    -0.00193
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.02888
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.04263
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Quartiles of draw downs
  • Number of observations
    13.00000
  • Minimum
    0.00030
  • Quartile 1
    0.00691
  • Median
    0.01496
  • Quartile 3
    0.06425
  • Maximum
    0.26221
  • Mean of quarter 1
    0.00252
  • Mean of quarter 2
    0.01285
  • Mean of quarter 3
    0.04894
  • Mean of quarter 4
    0.15570
  • Inter Quartile Range
    0.05734
  • Number outliers low
    0.00000
  • Percentage of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Mean of outliers low
    0.00000
  • Number of outliers high
    1.00000
  • Percentage of outliers high
    0.07692
  • Mean of outliers high
    0.26221
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • Extreme Value Index (moments method)
    -0.25564
  • VaR(95%) (moments method)
    0.14383
  • Expected Shortfall (moments method)
    0.17769
  • Extreme Value Index (regression method)
    0.68677
  • VaR(95%) (regression method)
    0.19099
  • Expected Shortfall (regression method)
    0.58917
  • COMBINED STATISTICS
  • Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)
    0.43199
  • Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)
    0.48027
  • Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)
    1.83164
  • Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs
    3.08456
  • Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal
    10.12440
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, last 6 months only
  • RATIO STATISTICS
  • Ratio statistics of excess log return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)
    0.02800
  • DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
  • Risk estimates based on draw downs (based on Extreme Value T
  • assuming Pareto losses only (using partial moments from Sortino statistics)
  • Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative
    n/a
  • Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?
    -307903000
  • Max Equity Drawdown (num days)
    15

Strategy Description

Hello,

This system Medallion CME (Futures) is identical to the my system Medallion X (Forex) | https://collective2.com/details/132634862

1) Trading experience since 2006. Experience in managing a fund of 20 million USD. The plan and goal for the future is to open a hedge fund.
2) My public verified trading results | 2011 + 12.11% | 2012 + 105.51% | 2013 + 272.49% | 2014 + 182.49% | 2015 + 121.17% | 2016 + 65.57% | 2017 + 18.24% | 2018 + 88.6% | 2019 +16.5%.
3) Manual trading is based on the use of advanced mathematical algorithms that generate accurate entry and exit signals, as well as on the analysis of intraday currency futures of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME Group).
4) Trading is carried out both by trend and reversal, on CME currency futures: British Pound Futures, Euro FX Futures, Australian Dollar Futures, Japanese Yen Futures, Canadian Dollar Futures, Swiss Franc Futures.
5) Each trade is protected by stop loss. Prior to the opening of each trade, a risk calculation is made and only after that a trade is opened. Risk control takes first place in the system.
6) Maximum Position Sizes for Medallion CME | In order to comply with rules imposed by market regulators, including the CME and the CFTC, Collective2 restricts the size of trades that can be placed at exchanges.
7) Maximum drawdown per month 10%. The risk for you may be more than 10% if you connected not from the 1st of the month.
8) Not a martingale.

July 27, 2021
Michael

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
2021-03-31
Suggested Minimum Capital
$140,000
# Trades
83
# Profitable
68
% Profitable
81.9%
Correlation S&P500
0.037
Sharpe Ratio
0.17
Sortino Ratio
0.22
Beta
0.03
Alpha
0.01
Leverage
6.63 Average
17.38 Maximum
Summary
Higher leverage = greater risk.

More information about leverage

Collective2 calculates the maximum leverage used by a strategy in each day. We then display the average of these measurements (i.e. the average daily maximum leverage) and the greatest of these measurements (maximum daily leverage).

Leverage is the ratio of total notional value controlled by a strategy divided by its Model Account equity. Generally higher leverage implies greater risk.

Example of calculation:
The Strategy buys 100 shares of stock at $12 per share.
The Model Account equity during that day is $5,000.
The leverage is: $1200 / $5,000 = 0.24

This is a useful measurement, but it should be considered in context. This measurement doesn't take into account important factors, such as when multiple positions are held that are inversely correlated. Nor does the measurement take into account the volatility of the instruments being held.

In addition, certain asset classes are inherently more leveraged than others. For example, futures contracts are highly leveraged. Forex positions are often even more leveraged than futures.

Latest Activity

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subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

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