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AmCan-One

Equity · Stocks, Options · Started Mar 2021

Trades Own Strategy BrokerTransmit

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-4.0%
Max Drawdown
63.6%
Trades
63
Win Trades
47.6%
Profit Factor
0.70
Win Months
2.9%

About this strategy

I decided to make this strategy very aggressive, hence, the raised fee to follow along. I will be trading the same names but mainly with options. The result is the explosive gains that will come along with this.
The problem you must be aware of is drawdowns. Big drawdown can and will happen here. I recommend using a small amount, say 10-15%, of your trading capital if you decide to trade like this.
Finally, I will convert my other funds AmCan-Two and AmCan-Three to more conservative money management.

Hedged Equity Trend-following

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20217.3-4.1-54.670.20.00.00.00.00.00.0-20.5
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/30/2021
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age68 months
What it tradesStocks, Options
# Trades63
# Profitable30
% Profitable47.6%
Avg trade duration13.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown63.6%
drawdown periodApril 13, 2021 - May 19, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)-4.0%
Avg win$751
Avg loss$953

Ratios

W:L ratio0.72
Sharpe Ratio-0.06
Sortino Ratio-0.08
Calmar Ratio-0.39

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life92.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-113.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-4.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-3.5%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity45.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.6%
Short Options - Percent Covered0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.4%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss100.0%
Chance of 20% account loss100.0%
Chance of 30% account loss100.0%
Chance of 40% account loss100.0%
Chance of 50% account loss100.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)42.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?185639
TOS percent100.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$953
Avg Win$751
# Winners30
Sum Trade PL (losers)$31,449
Sum Trade PL (winners)$22,523
Num Months Winners2
# Losers33
% Winners47.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table68

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)19144.47
Avg Position Time (hrs)319.07
Avg Trade Length13.30
Last Trade Ago1944

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.94
Daily leverage (max)8.19

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.04
Treynor Index-0.13

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.03
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.09
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-3.07
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.64
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.86
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.09
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.32

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.29
SD0.20
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.45
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.31
df8
t-1.26
p0.88
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.96
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.66
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.04
Sortino ratio-1.41
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.29
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.21
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms9
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.84
Mean of criterion-0.29
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.20
Covariance0.01
r0.13
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.35
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error7
t(b)0.34
p(b)0.37
t(a)-1.16
p(a)0.86
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.57
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.12
Jensen alpha (a)-0.35
Mean-0.32
SD0.22
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-1.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.29
df8
t-1.23
p0.87
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.06
Sortino ratio-1.39
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.32
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.23
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms9
N of observations9
Mean of predictor0.76
Mean of criterion-0.32
SD of predictor0.34
SD of criterion0.22
Covariance0.01
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.37
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error7
t(b)0.29
p(b)0.39
t(a)-1.12
p(a)0.85
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.66
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)-4.40
Jensen alpha (a)-0.37
VaR(95%)0.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.15
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17
Mean-0.01
SD0.78
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.01
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.01
df203
t-0.01
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.21
Sortino ratio-0.02
Upside Potential Ratio3.36
Upside part of mean1.76
Downside part of mean-1.77
Upside SD0.58
Downside SD0.52
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms180
N of observations204
Mean of predictor0.92
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.78
Covariance0.01
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.61
DF error202
t(b)0.33
p(b)0.37
t(a)-0.06
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.32
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.72
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.21
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
Mean-0.31
SD0.77
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.40
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.40
df203
t-0.35
p0.64
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.62
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.82
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.62
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.83
Sortino ratio-0.53
Upside Potential Ratio2.80
Upside part of mean1.62
Downside part of mean-1.92
Upside SD0.51
Downside SD0.58
N nonnegative terms24
N negative terms180
N of observations204
Mean of predictor0.84
Mean of criterion-0.31
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion0.77
Covariance0.01
r0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.04
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.34
Mean Square Error0.60
DF error202
t(b)0.32
p(b)0.38
t(a)-0.39
p(a)0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.40
Treynor index (mean / b)-7.09
Jensen alpha (a)-0.34
VaR(95%)0.08
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.17
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.06
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6795667443810304
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)3.17841511285597e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.82
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.22
Mean of outliers low0.90
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.77
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.28
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations204
Minimum0.79
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.39
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low18
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.92
Number of outliers high24
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.68
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.47
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.06
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.20
Quartile 10.20
Median0.20
Quartile 30.20
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.31
Maximum0.62
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.62
Inter Quartile Range0.31
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1040045120
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)36
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.26
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.25
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.29
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.71
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.25
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.24
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.39
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.39
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-2.57
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 122 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
EGLE long2May 4, 2021Jun 29, 2021$6
SPOT2117I220 long1May 3, 2021Jun 29, 2021$1,348
SPOT long100Jun 19, 2021Jun 29, 2021$4,149
TDOC2116G145 long6May 3, 2021Jun 29, 2021$5,451
COIN2118F330 long2Apr 29, 2021Jun 19, 2021($2,027)
COIN2118F290 long4Apr 27, 2021Jun 19, 2021($8,580)
TSLA2118F800 long5Apr 28, 2021Jun 19, 2021($7,331)
SPOT2118F230 long1May 5, 2021Jun 19, 2021($1,916)
SPOT2111F225 long1May 4, 2021Jun 10, 2021$148
SPOT2104F230 long2May 4, 2021Jun 4, 2021($2,103)
SPOT2118R210 long6May 5, 2021May 5, 2021($90)
SPOT2118F270 short4May 5, 2021May 5, 2021$336
VALE2118F17 long4Apr 28, 2021May 4, 2021($93)
DSKE long125May 4, 2021May 4, 2021($9)
ZIM2116G25 long1Apr 30, 2021May 4, 2021$143
MATX2118F60 long2Apr 29, 2021May 4, 2021($163)
PINS2118F65 long3Apr 28, 2021May 4, 2021($1,205)
GOGL2118F7.5 long14Apr 29, 2021May 4, 2021$558
LAC2118F15 long15Apr 27, 2021May 4, 2021($1,511)
GGB2118F6 long30Apr 27, 2021May 4, 2021($299)
BX2117I77.5 long2Apr 30, 2021May 4, 2021($57)
MEOH2118F37.5 long9Apr 28, 2021May 4, 2021($576)
GNK2118F12.5 long8Apr 28, 2021May 4, 2021$857
SB2116G2.5 long10Apr 30, 2021May 4, 2021$436
TDOC long30May 3, 2021May 3, 2021$1
SPOT long20May 3, 2021May 3, 2021($35)
NIO2104F39 long5Apr 27, 2021May 3, 2021($726)
PLBY2118F45 long2Apr 28, 2021May 3, 2021$162
UDR2118F45 long8Apr 27, 2021Apr 30, 2021($761)
UVXY2118F5 long27Apr 28, 2021Apr 29, 2021($38)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.