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LX Capital

Equity · Stocks · Started Mar 2021

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
17.6%
Max Drawdown
59.1%
Trades
29
Win Trades
93.1%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
2.9%

About this strategy

Technical analysis is used to trade stocks. The company's fundamentals are also studied in detail. Learn stocks and investment ideas every day. High income with a comprehensive approach.

Trend-following Short-term Reversal

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2021120.156.8-28.10.00.00.00.00.00.00.0148.2
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began3/3/2021
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age68 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades29
# Profitable27
% Profitable93.1%
Avg trade duration14.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown59.1%
drawdown periodMay 14, 2021 - May 21, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)17.6%
Avg win$9,057
Avg loss$84,880

Ratios

W:L ratio1.44
Sharpe Ratio0.48
Sortino Ratio0.86
Calmar Ratio2.28

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life102.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)46.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)17.6%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)17.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity127.1%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss72.5%
Chance of 20% account loss51.0%
Chance of 30% account loss41.0%
Chance of 40% account loss28.5%
Chance of 50% account loss10.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)7.5%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.5%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$84,880
Avg Win$9,057
# Winners27
Sum Trade PL (losers)$169,759
Sum Trade PL (winners)$244,552
Num Months Winners2
# Losers2
% Winners93.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table68

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)848.83
Avg Position Time (hrs)14.15
Avg Trade Length0.60
Last Trade Ago1957

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.23
Daily leverage (max)2.39

Regression

Alpha0.05
Beta0.01
Treynor Index5.14

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.22
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat1.49
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.76
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.17
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades21.05
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.14
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades2.44
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.11
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.05

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.49
SD1.40
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.99
df11
t1.07
p0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.96
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.05
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.00
Sortino ratio4.36
Upside Potential Ratio5.43
Upside part of mean1.85
Downside part of mean-0.36
Upside SD1.36
Downside SD0.34
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms10
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.62
Mean of criterion1.49
SD of predictor0.29
SD of criterion1.40
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.47
Mean Square Error2.14
DF error10
t(b)0.02
p(b)0.49
t(a)0.84
p(a)0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-3.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.43
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.42
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.36
Treynor index (mean / b)58.18
Jensen alpha (a)1.47
Mean0.85
SD1.04
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.82
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.77
df11
t0.82
p0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.75
Sortino ratio2.05
Upside Potential Ratio3.10
Upside part of mean1.29
Downside part of mean-0.44
Upside SD0.93
Downside SD0.42
N nonnegative terms2
N negative terms10
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.57
Mean of criterion0.85
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion1.04
Covariance0.01
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.17
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.76
Mean Square Error1.18
DF error10
t(b)0.14
p(b)0.45
t(a)0.59
p(a)0.28
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.62
Treynor index (mean / b)5.08
Jensen alpha (a)0.76
VaR(95%)0.34
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.42
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.20
Mean1.08
SD0.76
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.43
df275
t1.47
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.34
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.34
Sortino ratio2.52
Upside Potential Ratio5.43
Upside part of mean2.33
Downside part of mean-1.25
Upside SD0.62
Downside SD0.43
N nonnegative terms31
N negative terms245
N of observations276
Mean of predictor0.70
Mean of criterion1.08
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.76
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.09
Mean Square Error0.57
DF error274
t(b)-0.11
p(b)0.54
t(a)1.47
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.55
Treynor index (mean / b)-79.91
Jensen alpha (a)1.09
Mean0.81
SD0.73
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.10
df275
t1.13
p0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.02
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.81
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.01
Sortino ratio1.72
Upside Potential Ratio4.58
Upside part of mean2.16
Downside part of mean-1.35
Upside SD0.56
Downside SD0.47
N nonnegative terms31
N negative terms245
N of observations276
Mean of predictor0.63
Mean of criterion0.81
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.73
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.82
Mean Square Error0.54
DF error274
t(b)-0.11
p(b)0.55
t(a)1.14
p(a)0.13
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.22
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-59.25
Jensen alpha (a)0.82
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.31
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.50
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.19
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.51
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6795402229579776
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)1.49913281474607e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum0.66
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum2.19
Mean of quarter 10.89
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.62
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.08
Mean of outliers low0.66
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.17
Mean of outliers high1.93
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations276
Minimum0.76
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.34
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low11
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.88
Number of outliers high31
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.08
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.42
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.34
Quartile 10.34
Median0.34
Quartile 30.34
Maximum0.34
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations4
Minimum0.16
Quartile 10.16
Median0.17
Quartile 30.27
Maximum0.57
Mean of quarter 10.16
Mean of quarter 20.17
Mean of quarter 30.17
Mean of quarter 40.57
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.57
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-427474848
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)7
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.41
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.41
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)4.17
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.39
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.34
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.31
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)2.28
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.28
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal15.18
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 11 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
HYRE short30000May 14, 2021May 25, 2021($168,394)
ARPO short60000May 17, 2021May 17, 2021$10,730
RMED short90000May 12, 2021May 12, 2021$40,217
LHDX short20000May 12, 2021May 12, 2021($1,408)
MITO short105000May 6, 2021May 6, 2021$12,943
CHMA short35000May 5, 2021May 5, 2021$5,245
COCP short100000May 4, 2021May 4, 2021$34,993
AMS short45000May 3, 2021May 4, 2021$9,445
ISNS short10000May 3, 2021May 4, 2021$7,895
VXRT short10000Apr 29, 2021Apr 29, 2021$2,195
GRTX short20000Apr 29, 2021Apr 29, 2021$6,395
RIBT short140000Apr 28, 2021Apr 28, 2021$13,995
RVPH short30000Apr 26, 2021Apr 27, 2021$5,961
MTSL short45000Apr 16, 2021Apr 16, 2021$16,645
XELB short35000Apr 5, 2021Apr 5, 2021$14,345
SNOA short6000Apr 1, 2021Apr 1, 2021$3,175
FEDU short15000Mar 26, 2021Mar 26, 2021$4,345
FEDU short25000Mar 26, 2021Mar 26, 2021$995
CSCW short25000Mar 24, 2021Mar 24, 2021$1,495
APTO short10000Mar 24, 2021Mar 24, 2021$10,543
SPCB short25000Mar 19, 2021Mar 19, 2021$4,745
ACER short10000Mar 15, 2021Mar 15, 2021$11,895
PHUN short10000Mar 11, 2021Mar 11, 2021$1,795
NVFY short10000Mar 11, 2021Mar 11, 2021$3,895
XELA short22000Mar 9, 2021Mar 11, 2021$6,573
OPGN short12000Mar 8, 2021Mar 8, 2021$1,915
XTLB short12000Mar 5, 2021Mar 5, 2021$8,875
OVID short5000Mar 3, 2021Mar 3, 2021$1,445
KMPH short1000Mar 3, 2021Mar 3, 2021$1,705

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.