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BEST long / short

Equity · Stocks · Started May 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.7%
Max Drawdown
7.3%
Trades
51
Win Trades
51.0%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
1.3%

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20205.5-0.90.00.00.00.00.00.04.5
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/4/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age79 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades51
# Profitable26
% Profitable51.0%
Avg trade duration1.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown7.3%
drawdown periodMay 14, 2020 - May 21, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)0.7%
Avg win$345
Avg loss$254

Ratios

W:L ratio1.41
Sharpe Ratio-0.44
Sortino Ratio-0.94
Calmar Ratio1.41

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life166.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-167.7%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.7%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.8%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity5.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated4.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$254
Avg Win$345
# Winners26
Sum Trade PL (losers)$6,350
Sum Trade PL (winners)$8,979
Num Months Winners1
# Losers25
% Winners51.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table78

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2251.18
Avg Position Time (hrs)37.52
Avg Trade Length1.60
Last Trade Ago2340

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.90
Daily leverage (max)2

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index-32.47

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.84
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.08
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.24
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.14
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.26

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.05
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.93
df11
t1
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.93
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms12
N negative terms0
N of observations12
Mean of predictor1.05
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.05
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error10
t(b)0.10
p(b)0.46
t(a)0.65
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.12
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.21
Treynor index (mean / b)11.07
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
Mean0.05
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.93
df11
t1
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.98
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.07
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.93
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms12
N negative terms0
N of observations12
Mean of predictor0.95
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance0.00
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.04
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error10
t(b)0.14
p(b)0.44
t(a)0.65
p(a)0.27
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.11
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.20
Treynor index (mean / b)7.81
Jensen alpha (a)0.04
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0.05
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.93
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.93
df268
t0.94
p0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.01
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.86
Sortino ratio2.10
Upside Potential Ratio4.50
Upside part of mean0.11
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms259
N negative terms10
N of observations269
Mean of predictor1.06
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.05
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error267
t(b)-0.12
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.95
p(a)0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-51.51
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
Mean0.05
SD0.05
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.91
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.91
df268
t0.92
p0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.85
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.84
Sortino ratio2.02
Upside Potential Ratio4.42
Upside part of mean0.11
Downside part of mean-0.06
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.02
N nonnegative terms259
N negative terms10
N of observations269
Mean of predictor0.98
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion0.05
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.05
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error267
t(b)-0.11
p(b)0.54
t(a)0.93
p(a)0.18
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-54.14
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.19
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.07
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations12
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations269
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low10
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high11
Percentage of outliers high0.04
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.95
VaR(95%) (moments method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1
Minimum0.04
Quartile 10.04
Median0.04
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.04
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-911130880
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)7
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.03
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.41
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.56
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
TGT long176May 29, 2020Jun 1, 2020($124)
XEL long333May 29, 2020Jun 1, 2020$176
RGNX short200May 29, 2020Jun 1, 2020$104
AXSM short78May 29, 2020May 29, 2020($301)
FLR long500May 26, 2020May 28, 2020($200)
JNJ short230May 27, 2020May 27, 2020($304)
PEP short200May 27, 2020May 27, 2020($304)
AXSM short78May 26, 2020May 27, 2020$101
CNC short200May 27, 2020May 27, 2020($306)
TGT short214May 27, 2020May 27, 2020($308)
DISH long300May 20, 2020May 26, 2020$843
HSIC long150May 19, 2020May 26, 2020$297
VTR long375May 22, 2020May 26, 2020$1,066
XLNX short230May 22, 2020May 26, 2020($520)
RGNX long125May 20, 2020May 22, 2020$283
DLTR long200May 19, 2020May 22, 2020$354
VTR long272May 21, 2020May 21, 2020($304)
VLO long130May 20, 2020May 21, 2020($302)
DELL long272May 19, 2020May 21, 2020($304)
KBH long166May 19, 2020May 20, 2020($222)
MMM long107May 19, 2020May 20, 2020($124)
XLNX long166May 19, 2020May 19, 2020($305)
STZ long55May 19, 2020May 19, 2020$63
TWOU long142May 15, 2020May 18, 2020$68
TER short111May 15, 2020May 18, 2020($302)
ETSY long150May 14, 2020May 14, 2020($305)
CHGG long200May 14, 2020May 14, 2020($304)
MDT short214May 13, 2020May 14, 2020$381
PFGC short250May 13, 2020May 14, 2020($305)
TXT short600May 13, 2020May 14, 2020$69

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.