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NQ HR

Futures · Futures · Started May 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-51.3%
Max Drawdown
60.3%
Trades
493
Win Trades
42.4%
Profit Factor
0.90
Win Months
7.8%

Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20201.60.23.110.521.57.6-55.20.0-32.1
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/3/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age78 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades493
# Profitable209
% Profitable42.4%
Avg trade duration1.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown60.3%
drawdown periodNov 11, 2020 - Nov 11, 2020
Cumul. Return-32.0%
Avg win$681
Avg loss$539

Ratios

W:L ratio0.93
Sharpe Ratio-0.16
Sortino Ratio-0.20
Calmar Ratio-0.35

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.02
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life172.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-57.3%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-51.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.3%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-3.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity152.3%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.9%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)772
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)958
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)856

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$539
Avg Win$681
# Winners209
Sum Trade PL (losers)$152,985
Sum Trade PL (winners)$142,428
Num Months Winners6
# Losers284
% Winners42.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table78

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)64.67
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.08
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago2156

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)7.30
Daily leverage (max)33.74

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta-0.02
Treynor Index0.56

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-4.74
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.61
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.01
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.07
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.21

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.96
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.79
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.18
df5
t2.68
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio7.27
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.22
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.59
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0.96
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms0
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.96
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance-0.03
r-0.47
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.57
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.16
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error4
t(b)-1.07
p(b)0.83
t(a)2.90
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.90
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.27
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.69
Jensen alpha (a)1.16
Mean0.90
SD0.23
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)3.94
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)3.31
df5
t2.79
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio7.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.14
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation6.76
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0.90
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms0
N of observations6
Mean of predictor0.34
Mean of criterion0.90
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.23
Covariance-0.02
r-0.48
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.52
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.08
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error4
t(b)-1.09
p(b)0.83
t(a)3.02
p(a)0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.86
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.07
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.71
Jensen alpha (a)1.08
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0.27
SD0.63
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.43
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.42
df136
t0.31
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.29
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.14
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.13
Sortino ratio0.52
Upside Potential Ratio4.61
Upside part of mean2.38
Downside part of mean-2.11
Upside SD0.35
Downside SD0.52
N nonnegative terms91
N negative terms46
N of observations137
Mean of predictor0.44
Mean of criterion0.27
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.63
Covariance-0.01
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.07
Mean Square Error0.39
DF error135
t(b)-1.02
p(b)0.56
t(a)0.44
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.11
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.01
Jensen alpha (a)0.38
Mean0.05
SD0.69
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.07
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.07
df136
t0.05
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.64
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.78
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.64
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.78
Sortino ratio0.08
Upside Potential Ratio3.88
Upside part of mean2.32
Downside part of mean-2.27
Upside SD0.33
Downside SD0.60
N nonnegative terms91
N negative terms46
N of observations137
Mean of predictor0.42
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.69
Covariance-0.01
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.26
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.16
Mean Square Error0.47
DF error135
t(b)-0.92
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.16
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.30
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.74
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.05
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.18
Jensen alpha (a)0.16
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean0.29
SD0.64
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.46
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.46
df130
t0.32
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.23
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.23
Sortino ratio0.56
Upside Potential Ratio4.70
Upside part of mean2.48
Downside part of mean-2.18
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0.53
N nonnegative terms89
N negative terms42
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.44
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.64
Covariance-0.01
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.42
Mean Square Error0.41
DF error129
t(b)-1.04
p(b)0.56
t(a)0.46
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.39
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.23
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.05
Jensen alpha (a)0.42
Mean0.06
SD0.70
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.09
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.09
df130
t0.07
p0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.86
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.68
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.86
Sortino ratio0.11
Upside Potential Ratio3.95
Upside part of mean2.42
Downside part of mean-2.35
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.61
N nonnegative terms89
N negative terms42
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.42
Mean of criterion0.06
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.70
Covariance-0.01
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.28
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.18
Mean Square Error0.49
DF error129
t(b)-0.94
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.18
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.86
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.31
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.80
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.24
Jensen alpha (a)0.18
VaR(95%)0.07
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.09
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations6
Minimum1.03
Quartile 11.03
Median1.04
Quartile 31.11
Maximum1.20
Mean of quarter 11.03
Mean of quarter 21.03
Mean of quarter 31.05
Mean of quarter 41.17
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations137
Minimum0.68
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.20
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low15
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high10
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.18
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.67
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09
Number of observations131
Minimum0.68
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.20
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.03
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low15
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.06
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.05
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.61
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.03
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.09

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations16
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.48
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.20
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.48
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.71
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.78
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.81
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.32
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations16
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.07
Maximum0.48
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.20
Inter Quartile Range0.07
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high0.48
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.71
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.78
Extreme Value Index (regression method)3.81
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.32
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-291121504
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)12
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.13
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.45
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal24.72
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.10
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.25
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.58
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.07
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.14
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.34
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.79

Trading record

Placed 9 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
@BP Z0long3Nov 11, 2020Nov 11, 2020($868)
QGC Z0long1Nov 10, 2020Nov 11, 2020($1,908)
@EU Z0short3Nov 10, 2020Nov 11, 2020($887)
@BP Z0long3Nov 10, 2020Nov 10, 2020$239
QCL Z0short2Nov 10, 2020Nov 10, 2020($2,256)
QCL Z0long2Nov 9, 2020Nov 9, 2020$1,064
@EU Z0long3Nov 9, 2020Nov 9, 2020$932
@ES Z0long2Nov 6, 2020Nov 6, 2020($954)
@NQ Z0long1Nov 6, 2020Nov 6, 2020($1,533)
@YM Z0long2Nov 6, 2020Nov 6, 2020($721)
@NQ Z0short1Nov 6, 2020Nov 6, 2020($338)
@NQ Z0short8Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020($15,655)
@NQ Z0long4Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020($5,562)
@NQ Z0short7Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020($4,656)
@NQ Z0long2Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020($3,816)
@NQ Z0long2Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020$1,184
@NQ Z0long2Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020$1,194
@NQ Z0long1Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020($13)
@NQ Z0long2Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020$1,094
@NQ Z0short1Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020($1,178)
@NQ Z0long1Nov 5, 2020Nov 5, 2020($648)
@NQ Z0short1Nov 4, 2020Nov 4, 2020($1,428)
@NQ Z0short2Nov 3, 2020Nov 3, 2020($3,031)
@NQ Z0short1Nov 3, 2020Nov 3, 2020($2,408)
@NQ Z0short2Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 2020$1,184
@NQ Z0short1Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 2020($1,508)
@NQ Z0long1Nov 2, 2020Nov 2, 2020$587
@NQ Z0short2Oct 30, 2020Oct 30, 2020$1,314
@NQ Z0short2Oct 29, 2020Oct 29, 2020$374
@NQ Z0long8Oct 29, 2020Oct 29, 2020$4,736

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.