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CURATUS COMMODITIES

Futures · Futures · Started Apr 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.0%
Max Drawdown
100.0%
Trades
4
Win Trades
50.0%
Profit Factor
0.10
Win Months
0.0%

Trend-following Commodities

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2020-111.7-10.7-9.7-8.80.00.00.00.00.0-115.5
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/10/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$50,000
Age79 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades4
# Profitable2
% Profitable50.0%
Avg trade duration3.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown100.0%
drawdown periodApril 21, 2020 - April 21, 2020
Cumul. Return-115.2%
Avg win$2,785
Avg loss$30,365

Ratios

W:L ratio0.09
Sharpe Ratio-6.90
Sortino Ratio-6.33
Calmar Ratio-1

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life173.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-132.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.0%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-1.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity—
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)349
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$30,365
Avg Win$2,785
# Winners2
Sum Trade PL (losers)$60,730
Sum Trade PL (winners)$5,570
Num Months Winners0
# Losers2
% Winners50.0%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table1

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)5458.75
Avg Position Time (hrs)90.98
Avg Trade Length3.80
Last Trade Ago2370

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)7.83
Daily leverage (max)9.74

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.31
Treynor Index0

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades1.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.39
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades1.49
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.04
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-1.10
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.54
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.49
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.00
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.91

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-4.03
SD2.00
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.01
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.14
df2
t-1.01
p0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-6.16
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.49
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.21
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.94
Sortino ratio-2.01
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-4.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD2.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms3
N of observations3
Mean of predictor0.58
Mean of criterion-4.03
SD of predictor0.12
SD of criterion2.00
Covariance0.13
r0.56
b (slope, estimate of beta)9.25
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-9.44
Mean Square Error5.53
DF error1
t(b)0.67
p(b)0.31
t(a)-1.01
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-166.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta185.11
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-128.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha109.46
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.44
Jensen alpha (a)-9.44
Mean-43.31
SD21.64
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.00
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-1.13
df2
t-1.00
p0.79
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-6.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.50
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-5.20
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.94
Sortino ratio-2.00
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-43.31
Upside SD0
Downside SD21.64
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms3
N of observations3
Mean of predictor0.57
Mean of criterion-43.31
SD of predictor0.11
SD of criterion21.64
Covariance1.37
r0.56
b (slope, estimate of beta)106.46
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-103.47
Mean Square Error645.69
DF error1
t(b)0.67
p(b)0.31
t(a)-1.00
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1909.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2121.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1412.76
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1205.83
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.41
Jensen alpha (a)-103.47
VaR(95%)1
Expected Shortfall on VaR1
VaR(95%)1.12
Expected Shortfall on VaR1.82
Mean-9.95
SD2.67
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-3.72
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-3.68
df69
t-1.92
p0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-7.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.13
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-7.52
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.16
Sortino ratio-3.65
Upside Potential Ratio0.06
Upside part of mean0.17
Downside part of mean-10.12
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD2.72
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms69
N of observations70
Mean of predictor0.54
Mean of criterion-9.95
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion2.67
Covariance0.05
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.64
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-2.72
Mean Square Error7.23
DF error68
t(b)0.53
p(b)0.30
t(a)-1.97
p(a)0.97
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.79
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta3.08
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-20.77
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)-15.45
Jensen alpha (a)-10.30
Mean-40.52
SD15.60
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-2.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-2.57
df69
t-1.34
p0.91
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-6.40
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.23
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-6.38
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.25
Sortino ratio-2.58
Upside Potential Ratio0.01
Upside part of mean0.16
Downside part of mean-40.69
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD15.69
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms69
N of observations70
Mean of predictor0.51
Mean of criterion-40.52
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion15.60
Covariance-0.33
r-0.08
b (slope, estimate of beta)-4.65
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-38.17
Mean Square Error245.50
DF error68
t(b)-0.66
p(b)0.74
t(a)-1.25
p(a)0.89
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-18.78
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta9.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-99.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha22.74
Treynor index (mean / b)8.72
Jensen alpha (a)-38.17
VaR(95%)0.82
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.88
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.29
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.57

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.50
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0.50
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations70
Minimum0.00
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.05
Mean of quarter 10.85
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.61
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.28
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.19
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.56

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations1
Minimum1.00
Quartile 11.00
Median1.00
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.00
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-252499120
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)7
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.2%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-4.00
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-3.74
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-1
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-1.00
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.14

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QCL M0long3Apr 13, 2020Apr 22, 2020($48,244)
QGC M0long2Apr 14, 2020Apr 20, 2020($12,526)
QGC M0long1Apr 14, 2020Apr 14, 2020$1,572
QGC M0long2Apr 13, 2020Apr 13, 2020$3,974

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.