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Night Shift EA

Equity · Forex · Started Jan 2020

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
0.2%
Max Drawdown
14.3%
Trades
997
Win Trades
49.4%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
9.8%

About this strategy

A Breakout and swing strategy which is 100 % automatic. Currently the portfolio is composed of some currency pairs which are almost all of the time in tune with the direction of the market trend. For this reason the strategies have a good probability to perform well, especially during periods of high market volatility. The portfolio is very flexible and dynamic, at any moment changements can be done, with insertion of new currencies pairs. The strategy does not participate at present in martingale, grid or hedging, and all positions make use of a stop loss. In addition, all positions are closed on Fridays, thus avoiding unfavourable gaps in the fund.

If you want to follow it in real time and if you need help to put it in progress, you can contact Trey Lazzara from "trade pro futures & forex" broker (https://tradeprofutures.com/). He'll easly help you in the process.

Here you have his contacts:

- phone: (512) 366-3299
- email: [email protected]

Also feel free to ask us any details about our strategies.

Trend-following Short-term Reversal

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20202.0-0.74.63.02.30.71.8-1.51.9-1.5-1.0-3.97.5
20211.3-0.9-1.6-2.7-2.20.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-6.1
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began1/15/2020
Suggested Minimum Capital$44,867
Age82 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades997
# Profitable493
% Profitable49.4%
Avg trade duration14.2 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown14.3%
drawdown periodJune 11, 2020 - May 26, 2021
Annual Return (Compounded)0.2%
Avg win$123
Avg loss$114

Ratios

W:L ratio1.05
Sharpe Ratio-0.36
Sortino Ratio-0.50
Calmar Ratio0.36

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.11
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life134.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-136.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)0.2%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity16.7%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss7.5%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated99.6%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$114
Avg Win$123
# Winners493
Sum Trade PL (losers)$57,517
Sum Trade PL (winners)$60,567
Num Months Winners8
# Losers504
% Winners49.5%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table82

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)852.88
Avg Position Time (hrs)14.22
Avg Trade Length0.60
Last Trade Ago1968

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)3.77
Daily leverage (max)13.68

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0.02
Treynor Index-0.21

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-20.75
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.17
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.56
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.15
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.05

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.01
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.11
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.11
df22
t0.16
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.53
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.53
Sortino ratio0.23
Upside Potential Ratio2.05
Upside part of mean0.12
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms17
N of observations23
Mean of predictor0.48
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.01
r0.28
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error21
t(b)1.35
p(b)0.32
t(a)-0.35
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.25
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.22
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.16
Treynor index (mean / b)0.14
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
Mean0.01
SD0.12
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.06
df22
t0.08
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.48
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.36
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.47
Sortino ratio0.12
Upside Potential Ratio1.93
Upside part of mean0.12
Downside part of mean-0.11
Upside SD0.10
Downside SD0.06
N nonnegative terms6
N negative terms17
N of observations23
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.12
Covariance0.01
r0.29
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0.01
DF error21
t(b)1.40
p(b)0.32
t(a)-0.36
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.23
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.21
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)0.08
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.07
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
Mean0.01
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.14
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.14
df503
t0.19
p0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.55
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.55
Sortino ratio0.19
Upside Potential Ratio6.71
Upside part of mean0.32
Downside part of mean-0.31
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms170
N negative terms334
N of observations504
Mean of predictor0.48
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance0.00
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error502
t(b)3.50
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.11
p(a)0.54
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
Mean0.01
SD0.07
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.10
df503
t0.14
p0.44
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.52
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.31
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.52
Sortino ratio0.14
Upside Potential Ratio6.65
Upside part of mean0.32
Downside part of mean-0.32
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.05
N nonnegative terms170
N negative terms334
N of observations504
Mean of predictor0.42
Mean of criterion0.01
SD of predictor0.35
SD of criterion0.07
Covariance0.00
r0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.01
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error502
t(b)3.51
p(b)0.00
t(a)-0.11
p(a)0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.09
Treynor index (mean / b)0.23
Jensen alpha (a)-0.01
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.10
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.99
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6806284066095104
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-3.72726608096409e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations23
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.97
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.04
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low4
Percentage of outliers low0.17
Mean of outliers low0.96
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-2.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-1.68
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations504
Minimum0.98
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.02
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low49
Percentage of outliers low0.10
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high47
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.08
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.03
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.03
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.10
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations14
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.02
Maximum0.10
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.14
Mean of outliers high0.07
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.21
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.08
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.12
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.08
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-394480576
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)349
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.37
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.37
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.54
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.04
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.36
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.77
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal4.14
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 880 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
GBP/USD long440May 21, 2021May 21, 2021($13)
GBP/USD short440May 19, 2021May 19, 2021($1,034)
GBP/USD long440May 17, 2021May 17, 2021$211
GBP/USD long440May 17, 2021May 17, 2021($31)
GBP/USD long440May 14, 2021May 14, 2021($9)
GBP/USD short440May 13, 2021May 13, 2021$136
GBP/USD short440May 12, 2021May 12, 2021($18)
GBP/USD long440May 11, 2021May 11, 2021($1,025)
GBP/USD long440May 7, 2021May 7, 2021$97
GBP/USD long440May 6, 2021May 6, 2021($4)
GBP/USD long440May 5, 2021May 5, 2021$273
GBP/USD long440May 5, 2021May 5, 2021($62)
GBP/USD long440May 4, 2021May 5, 2021($57)
GBP/USD long440May 4, 2021May 4, 2021$22
GBP/USD long440May 4, 2021May 4, 2021$26
GBP/USD short440Apr 30, 2021Apr 30, 2021$84
GBP/USD long440Apr 28, 2021Apr 29, 2021$224
GBP/USD long440Apr 28, 2021Apr 28, 2021($1,030)
GBP/USD short440Apr 27, 2021Apr 27, 2021$40
GBP/USD long440Apr 26, 2021Apr 26, 2021$260
GBP/USD long440Apr 26, 2021Apr 26, 2021($26)
GBP/USD long440Apr 26, 2021Apr 26, 2021$13
GBP/USD short440Apr 22, 2021Apr 22, 2021$603
GBP/USD short440Apr 22, 2021Apr 22, 2021($31)
GBP/USD short440Apr 22, 2021Apr 22, 2021$48
GBP/USD long440Apr 21, 2021Apr 22, 2021($1,065)
GBP/USD short440Apr 21, 2021Apr 21, 2021($9)
GBP/USD short440Apr 21, 2021Apr 21, 2021($26)
GBP/USD short440Apr 21, 2021Apr 21, 2021$0
GBP/USD short440Apr 20, 2021Apr 21, 2021$4

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.