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Stock Operator

Futures · Futures · Started Nov 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
1.4%
Max Drawdown
9.3%
Trades
71
Win Trades
45.1%
Profit Factor
1.80
Win Months
3.5%

About this strategy

- 10+ years trading experience
- Futures trading with own money (TOS)
- Risk no more than 1% for each position
- Stop loss is placed when a position is opened, subscribers should receive notification

Deep Value (top 1%): https://collective2.com/details/125319676
Daily Scalp (C2Star certified): https://collective2.com/details/126079605

Macro / Fundamental Short Term

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019-1.38.16.7
20204.2-2.01.50.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.03.6
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began11/14/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$30,000
Age85 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades71
# Profitable32
% Profitable45.1%
Avg trade duration1.6 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown9.3%
drawdown periodMarch 09, 2020 - March 12, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)1.4%
Avg win$291
Avg loss$131

Ratios

W:L ratio1.82
Sharpe Ratio-0.10
Sortino Ratio-0.14
Calmar Ratio0.80

Verified

C2Star0

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.03
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life145.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-133.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)1.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.9%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity9.4%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$131
Avg Win$291
# Winners32
Sum Trade PL (losers)$5,117
Sum Trade PL (winners)$9,313
Num Months Winners3
# Losers39
% Winners45.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table85

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)2308.32
Avg Position Time (hrs)38.47
Avg Trade Length1.60
Last Trade Ago2433

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.43
Daily leverage (max)8.38

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0.01
Treynor Index-0.22

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades3.15
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-1.16
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats75.95
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats33.82
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.34
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.97
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.32

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.05
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.94
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.92
df29
t1.49
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.20
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.34
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.18
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms30
N negative terms0
N of observations30
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance-0.00
r-0.15
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.07
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error28
t(b)-0.82
p(b)0.79
t(a)1.68
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.15
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.82
Jensen alpha (a)0.07
Mean0.05
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.93
df29
t1.50
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.32
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.21
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.34
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.19
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0.05
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms30
N negative terms0
N of observations30
Mean of predictor0.36
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance-0.00
r-0.17
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.03
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error28
t(b)-0.89
p(b)0.81
t(a)1.70
p(a)0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.10
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.14
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.77
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0.05
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.95
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.95
df659
t1.51
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.19
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.29
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.19
Sortino ratio1.42
Upside Potential Ratio3.54
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.08
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms633
N negative terms27
N of observations660
Mean of predictor0.41
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.32
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.05
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error658
t(b)0.06
p(b)0.47
t(a)1.50
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Treynor index (mean / b)124.18
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
Mean0.05
SD0.06
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.92
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.92
df659
t1.46
p0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.16
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.32
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.16
Sortino ratio1.36
Upside Potential Ratio3.47
Upside part of mean0.13
Downside part of mean-0.08
Upside SD0.04
Downside SD0.04
N nonnegative terms633
N negative terms27
N of observations660
Mean of predictor0.35
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.33
SD of criterion0.06
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.05
Mean Square Error0.00
DF error658
t(b)0.24
p(b)0.40
t(a)1.44
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.01
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.12
Treynor index (mean / b)31.86
Jensen alpha (a)0.05
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.33
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.23
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations30
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.09
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.13
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations660
Minimum0.96
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low27
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high48
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.06
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.00
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations8
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.02
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.07
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.05
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1267642752
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)3
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.92
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.06
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.80
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.00
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal7.66
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 221 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QMGC J0long4Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020($67)
@MES M0short5Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$29
@MYM H0long5Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020($135)
@MNQ H0short3Mar 11, 2020Mar 11, 2020($185)
@QM J0short2Mar 11, 2020Mar 11, 2020($116)
@MNQ H0short5Mar 10, 2020Mar 10, 2020$108
@MNQ H0short7Mar 10, 2020Mar 10, 2020($25)
@MES H0long3Mar 9, 2020Mar 9, 2020$56
@MNQ H0short5Mar 6, 2020Mar 6, 2020($58)
@MNQ H0short3Mar 6, 2020Mar 6, 2020$11
@MNQ H0short3Mar 6, 2020Mar 6, 2020$106
@MNQ H0short5Mar 6, 2020Mar 6, 2020($242)
@MNQ H0short7Mar 5, 2020Mar 5, 2020$570
@M6E H0short10Mar 3, 2020Mar 5, 2020$280
@MYM H0short6Mar 5, 2020Mar 5, 2020$27
@MNQ H0long5Mar 4, 2020Mar 4, 2020($192)
@MYM H0short1Mar 3, 2020Mar 3, 2020$30
@MNQ H0short5Mar 3, 2020Mar 3, 2020$246
@MYM H0long15Mar 2, 2020Mar 2, 2020$485
@MNQ H0long5Mar 2, 2020Mar 2, 2020($105)
@MES H0long5Feb 27, 2020Feb 27, 2020($199)
@MYM H0short10Feb 27, 2020Feb 27, 2020$574
@MNQ H0long10Feb 27, 2020Feb 27, 2020$107
@MYM H0short10Feb 26, 2020Feb 26, 2020($216)
@MYM H0short5Feb 26, 2020Feb 26, 2020($125)
@MNQ H0long2Feb 26, 2020Feb 26, 2020($164)
@MNQ H0short5Feb 26, 2020Feb 26, 2020$67
@MYM H0short2Feb 25, 2020Feb 25, 2020$142
@MES H0short5Feb 25, 2020Feb 25, 2020$108
@MNQ H0short4Feb 24, 2020Feb 24, 2020$226

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.