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Hooke

Equity · Stocks · Started Oct 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-3.4%
Max Drawdown
35.2%
Trades
464
Win Trades
57.8%
Profit Factor
0.70
Win Months
3.5%

About this strategy

Trading long-only stocks, on short duration (1 day to several days) swings. Limited to liquid small, med, and large cap stocks with small position sizes. Completely algorithmic, non-discretionary system.

Short-term Reversal

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
20191.50.62.54.8
2020-3.9-11.7-12.30.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-25.5
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began10/14/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$100,000
Age86 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades464
# Profitable268
% Profitable57.8%
Avg trade duration4.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown35.2%
drawdown periodFeb 06, 2020 - March 12, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)-3.4%
Avg win$162
Avg loss$330

Ratios

W:L ratio0.68
Sharpe Ratio-0.49
Sortino Ratio-0.54
Calmar Ratio-0.48

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.28
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life156.0%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-176.4%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-3.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-3.2%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity39.5%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.9%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated87.7%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$330
Avg Win$162
# Winners268
Sum Trade PL (losers)$64,669
Sum Trade PL (winners)$43,541
Num Months Winners4
# Losers196
% Winners57.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct622

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table86

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)5841.47
Avg Position Time (hrs)97.36
Avg Trade Length4.10
Last Trade Ago2433

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)0.97
Daily leverage (max)6.74

Regression

Alpha-0.02
Beta0.13
Treynor Index-0.11

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-4.65
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)1.07
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.88
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.47
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.21

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean-0.14
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.55
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.52
df15
t-0.64
p0.60
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.16
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.18
Sortino ratio-0.58
Upside Potential Ratio0.29
Upside part of mean0.07
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.06
Downside SD0.24
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms1
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.75
Mean of criterion-0.14
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.07
r0.61
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.34
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.39
Mean Square Error0.04
DF error14
t(b)2.89
p(b)0.19
t(a)-1.99
p(a)0.74
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.59
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.81
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.40
Jensen alpha (a)-0.39
Mean-0.17
SD0.28
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.60
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.57
df15
t-0.70
p0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.12
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.28
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.14
Sortino ratio-0.63
Upside Potential Ratio0.24
Upside part of mean0.07
Downside part of mean-0.24
Upside SD0.05
Downside SD0.27
N nonnegative terms15
N negative terms1
N of observations16
Mean of predictor0.64
Mean of criterion-0.17
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0.28
Covariance0.09
r0.67
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.42
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.44
Mean Square Error0.05
DF error14
t(b)3.34
p(b)0.17
t(a)-2.12
p(a)0.75
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.88
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.01
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.41
Jensen alpha (a)-0.44
VaR(95%)0.14
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.17
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.14
SD0.18
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.78
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.78
df369
t-0.93
p0.82
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.87
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.43
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.87
Sortino ratio-0.88
Upside Potential Ratio1.76
Upside part of mean0.29
Downside part of mean-0.43
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms324
N negative terms46
N of observations370
Mean of predictor0.75
Mean of criterion-0.14
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0.18
Covariance0.02
r0.25
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.11
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.23
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error368
t(b)4.90
p(b)0
t(a)-1.50
p(a)0.93
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.31
Jensen alpha (a)-0.23
Mean-0.16
SD0.19
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.85
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.85
df369
t-1.01
p0.84
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-2.50
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.80
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-2.50
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.80
Sortino ratio-0.94
Upside Potential Ratio1.66
Upside part of mean0.29
Downside part of mean-0.45
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.17
N nonnegative terms324
N negative terms46
N of observations370
Mean of predictor0.66
Mean of criterion-0.16
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0.19
Covariance0.02
r0.26
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.24
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error368
t(b)5.06
p(b)0
t(a)-1.54
p(a)0.94
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.55
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.07
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.38
Jensen alpha (a)-0.24
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.29
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.42
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean0
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio0
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean0
Upside SD0
Downside SD0
N nonnegative terms131
N negative terms0
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.20
Mean of criterion0
SD of predictor0.41
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations16
Minimum0.73
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.06
Mean of quarter 10.93
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.73
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.19
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations370
Minimum0.87
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.07
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low46
Percentage of outliers low0.12
Mean of outliers low0.99
Number of outliers high65
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.45
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.02
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.27
Quartile 10.27
Median0.27
Quartile 30.27
Maximum0.27
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations11
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.01
Maximum0.31
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high2
Percentage of outliers high0.18
Mean of outliers high0.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-1.63
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.27
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.34
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1187668480
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)35
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.15
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.16
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.58
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.94
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.15
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.15
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.48
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-1.15
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-6.08
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 243 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
AAPL long18Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$92
MDT long108Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$53
INTU long19Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$81
CBSH long93Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$386
COP long306Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$3
MELI long18Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$561
GATX long246Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$1,068
IAC long26Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020($158)
AMGN long25Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$205
ROK long31Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$423
CASY long62Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020($203)
WDAY long70Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$68
MO long246Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$52
VRTX long22Mar 12, 2020Mar 13, 2020$60
OTTR long220Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$361
AFG long120Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$8
AIG long308Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020($31)
BKNG long6Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$180
MASI long27Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$277
MYGN long356Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020($14)
COO long15Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$42
IBN long834Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020($203)
CONE long89Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020($55)
MMS long82Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020($134)
AVGO long40Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020($44)
MRK long63Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$99
ECL long52Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$143
FISV long48Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$173
MKC long34Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$78
TXN long92Mar 12, 2020Mar 12, 2020$113

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.