Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Anton

Equity · Stocks · Started Jun 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
4.4%
Max Drawdown
55.1%
Trades
127
Win Trades
50.4%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
33.3%

Non-hedged Equity

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019-0.8-0.7-4.50.2-1.1-4.729.014.6
2020-3.1-17.016.432.1-0.1-3.42.32.6-1.53.30.2-0.527.0
20211.5-0.03.10.74.4-1.91.90.7-3.8-0.1-1.01.56.9
2022-2.3-0.1-0.1-0.8-0.1-0.51.91.10.23.6-0.2-0.12.5
20230.1-3.10.7-0.4-1.26.50.7-1.8-0.6-1.4-0.10.0-0.9
20242.40.1-0.1-4.6-0.10.81.80.0-0.1-3.65.9-0.91.0
2025-0.1-1.1-2.9-6.3-9.95.04.6-2.90.00.00.00.0-13.6
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/18/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age90 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades127
# Profitable64
% Profitable50.4%
Avg trade duration12.1 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown55.1%
drawdown periodDec 23, 2019 - March 04, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)4.4%
Avg win$777
Avg loss$589

Ratios

W:L ratio1.37
Sharpe Ratio0.17
Sortino Ratio0.35
Calmar Ratio0.27

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life159.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-120.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)4.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)6.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity63.6%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.2%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss88.0%
Chance of 20% account loss67.0%
Chance of 30% account loss56.0%
Chance of 40% account loss36.5%
Chance of 50% account loss24.5%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)9.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)2.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)100.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$589
Avg Win$777
# Winners64
Sum Trade PL (losers)$37,102
Sum Trade PL (winners)$49,712
Num Months Winners32
# Losers63
% Winners50.4%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct1126

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table90

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)17421.77
Avg Position Time (hrs)290.36
Avg Trade Length12.10
Last Trade Ago466

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)1.11
Daily leverage (max)16.93

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index5.33

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.02
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades8.35
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)0.16
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.81
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.23
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.12

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.13
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.50
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.49
df53
t1.06
p0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.43
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.42
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.44
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.42
Sortino ratio1.08
Upside Potential Ratio2.50
Upside part of mean0.29
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.12
N nonnegative terms28
N negative terms26
N of observations54
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.13
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.00
r0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.11
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error52
t(b)0.33
p(b)0.37
t(a)0.90
p(a)0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.14
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.37
Treynor index (mean / b)2.38
Jensen alpha (a)0.11
Mean0.10
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.41
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.40
df53
t0.87
p0.19
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.33
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.52
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.33
Sortino ratio0.77
Upside Potential Ratio2.15
Upside part of mean0.27
Downside part of mean-0.17
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms28
N negative terms26
N of observations54
Mean of predictor0.22
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.21
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.00
r0.06
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.07
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error52
t(b)0.42
p(b)0.34
t(a)0.71
p(a)0.24
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.38
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.32
Treynor index (mean / b)1.49
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
VaR(95%)0.10
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.12
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
Mean0.14
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.46
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.46
df1187
t0.98
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.46
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.38
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.46
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.38
Sortino ratio0.93
Upside Potential Ratio5.35
Upside part of mean0.78
Downside part of mean-0.64
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms772
N negative terms416
N of observations1188
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.14
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance-0.00
r-0.02
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.14
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error1186
t(b)-0.57
p(b)0.51
t(a)1.01
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.09
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.13
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.62
Jensen alpha (a)0.14
Mean0.10
SD0.27
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.35
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.35
df1187
t0.75
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.27
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.57
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.27
Sortino ratio0.63
Upside Potential Ratio4.93
Upside part of mean0.75
Downside part of mean-0.66
Upside SD0.23
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms772
N negative terms416
N of observations1188
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.10
SD of predictor0.24
SD of criterion0.27
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.10
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error1186
t(b)-0.48
p(b)0.51
t(a)0.78
p(a)0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.08
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.35
Treynor index (mean / b)-6.07
Jensen alpha (a)0.10
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.14
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.46
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.46
df130
t-0.32
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.31
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.32
Sortino ratio-0.65
Upside Potential Ratio4.21
Upside part of mean0.87
Downside part of mean-1.01
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.21
N nonnegative terms90
N negative terms41
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.64
Mean of criterion-0.14
SD of predictor0.31
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance-0.01
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.08
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error129
t(b)-1.08
p(b)0.56
t(a)-0.19
p(a)0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.25
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.91
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.75
Treynor index (mean / b)1.51
Jensen alpha (a)-0.08
Mean-0.18
SD0.29
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.61
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.60
df130
t-0.43
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.17
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.37
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.17
Sortino ratio-0.82
Upside Potential Ratio3.93
Upside part of mean0.85
Downside part of mean-1.03
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.22
N nonnegative terms90
N negative terms41
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.59
Mean of criterion-0.18
SD of predictor0.30
SD of criterion0.29
Covariance-0.01
r-0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.09
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.12
Mean Square Error0.09
DF error129
t(b)-1.10
p(b)0.56
t(a)-0.29
p(a)0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.26
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.95
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.71
Treynor index (mean / b)1.90
Jensen alpha (a)-0.12
VaR(95%)0.03
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.04
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations54
Minimum0.82
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.02
Maximum1.33
Mean of quarter 10.95
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.01
Mean of quarter 41.09
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.04
Mean of outliers low0.85
Number of outliers high5
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.21
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.07
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.73
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.05
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.18
Number of observations1188
Minimum0.85
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.42
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low103
Percentage of outliers low0.09
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high97
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.60
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.37
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01
Number of observations131
Minimum0.88
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low17
Percentage of outliers low0.13
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high12
Percentage of outliers high0.09
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.03
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.30
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.03

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations11
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.04
Quartile 30.09
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.15
Inter Quartile Range0.08
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-388.61
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-4.30
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.31
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.31
Number of observations32
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.05
Maximum0.38
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.01
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.14
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.22
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.24
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.23
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.83
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.16
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.89
Number of observations4
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.20
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.01
Mean of quarter 40.20
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.25
Mean of outliers high0.20
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-433455616
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)72
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.12
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.10
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.56
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.68
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.82
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.12
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.10
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.27
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.70
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.00
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.17
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.16
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.82
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.82
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-4.36

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
SPY long100Jun 3, 2025Aug 1, 2025$2,610
SDS long1500Apr 16, 2025Jun 3, 2025($8,150)
SDS long1000Apr 14, 2025Apr 15, 2025$285
SDS long800Apr 4, 2025Apr 7, 2025$323
SQQQ long250Apr 3, 2025Apr 4, 2025$1,130
SPY long70Mar 6, 2025Mar 13, 2025($1,489)
SPY long60Mar 5, 2025Mar 5, 2025$406
SPY long65Jan 30, 2025Feb 25, 2025($493)
SPY long75Oct 28, 2024Jan 27, 2025$1,021
SMCI long200Oct 14, 2024Oct 23, 2024($446)
GLD long90Jun 21, 2024Jul 12, 2024$482
SPY long38Jun 3, 2024Jun 21, 2024$628
SPY long75Apr 4, 2024Apr 25, 2024($1,821)
USMV short120Mar 15, 2024Mar 15, 2024($4)
USMV long120Mar 5, 2024Mar 15, 2024$57
MTUM long50Mar 5, 2024Mar 15, 2024($60)
SPY long145Dec 14, 2023Jan 19, 2024$1,059
SPY long95Oct 9, 2023Oct 24, 2023($510)
SPY long90Jul 28, 2023Sep 11, 2023($744)
SPY long100May 26, 2023Jul 4, 2023$2,332
VLUE long220May 15, 2023May 25, 2023($143)
SPY long100Mar 31, 2023Apr 25, 2023($43)
SPY long100Mar 1, 2023Mar 23, 2023$88
QQQ long65Feb 2, 2023Feb 21, 2023($882)
SPY long65Feb 2, 2023Feb 21, 2023($685)
SPY long80Jan 24, 2023Feb 2, 2023$927
SH long1600Jan 16, 2023Jan 23, 2023($408)
SH long1200Nov 21, 2022Nov 22, 2022($233)
SH long1000Oct 27, 2022Nov 2, 2022$35
SPY long50Oct 12, 2022Oct 13, 2022$373

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.