Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

Follow me 2.2019

Equity · Stocks · Started Apr 2019

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-5.4%
Max Drawdown
57.7%
Trades
57
Win Trades
40.4%
Profit Factor
0.80
Win Months
51.1%

Trend-following Momentum

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2019-10.9-1.4-5.0-1.14.5-8.2-2.625.4-55.4-56.8
202016.410.7-8.812.9-2.4-0.92.06.41.9-1.51.114.161.4
2021-7.14.64.5-0.2-4.10.21.3-0.80.60.30.2-0.9-2.0
20220.6-2.20.12.00.32.0-1.61.21.8-1.2-0.80.93.0
2023-0.91.92.4-0.40.1-1.0-0.7-0.51.41.0-3.2-1.2-1.2
2024-0.61.5-0.61.2-3.00.1-0.6-0.5-1.10.3-2.82.2-4.0
20250.30.10.41.6-2.6-0.9-0.2-1.62.32.0-0.3-1.2-0.3
20262.81.50.61.3-4.0-1.5-0.7-2.20.34.4-4.1-1.9

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began4/3/2019
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age92 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades57
# Profitable23
% Profitable40.4%
Avg trade duration75.8 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown57.7%
drawdown periodApril 04, 2019 - Jan 14, 2020
Annual Return (Compounded)-5.4%
Avg win$330
Avg loss$232

Ratios

W:L ratio0.82
Sharpe Ratio-0.15
Sortino Ratio-0.20
Calmar Ratio-0.21

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.05
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life163.4%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-197.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-5.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-2.0%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity51.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks1.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss10.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$232
Avg Win$330
# Winners23
Sum Trade PL (losers)$7,897
Sum Trade PL (winners)$7,595
Num Months Winners48
# Losers34
% Winners40.3%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct-1116

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table92

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)109089.90
Avg Position Time (hrs)1818.17
Avg Trade Length75.80
Last Trade Ago2524

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta-0.07
Treynor Index0.16

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.04
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.03
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.05
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-33.42
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.10
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats3.56
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats9.62
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.08
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.03
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.01

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.06
SD0.53
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.12
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.12
df17
t0.15
p0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.72
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.49
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.72
Sortino ratio0.16
Upside Potential Ratio1.58
Upside part of mean0.62
Downside part of mean-0.55
Upside SD0.34
Downside SD0.39
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms7
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.73
Mean of criterion0.06
SD of predictor0.40
SD of criterion0.53
Covariance-0.02
r-0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.17
Mean Square Error0.29
DF error16
t(b)-0.45
p(b)0.56
t(a)0.34
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.84
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.55
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.90
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.24
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.43
Jensen alpha (a)0.17
Mean-0.09
SD0.60
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.14
df17
t-0.18
p0.53
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.75
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.45
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.75
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.46
Sortino ratio-0.18
Upside Potential Ratio1.14
Upside part of mean0.57
Downside part of mean-0.66
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.50
N nonnegative terms11
N negative terms7
N of observations18
Mean of predictor0.64
Mean of criterion-0.09
SD of predictor0.38
SD of criterion0.60
Covariance-0.02
r-0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.38
DF error16
t(b)-0.38
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.01
p(a)0.50
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.98
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.68
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.19
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.20
Treynor index (mean / b)0.61
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.25
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.30
VaR(95%)0.09
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.19
Mean-0.01
SD0.42
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.03
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.03
df398
t-0.03
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.61
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.56
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.61
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.56
Sortino ratio-0.03
Upside Potential Ratio5.47
Upside part of mean1.74
Downside part of mean-1.75
Upside SD0.27
Downside SD0.32
N nonnegative terms196
N negative terms203
N of observations399
Mean of predictor0.72
Mean of criterion-0.01
SD of predictor0.36
SD of criterion0.42
Covariance0.01
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
Mean Square Error0.18
DF error397
t(b)0.88
p(b)0.19
t(a)-0.14
p(a)0.56
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.72
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.62
Treynor index (mean / b)-0.22
Jensen alpha (a)-0.05
Mean-0.10
SD0.43
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.24
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.24
df398
t-0.29
p0.61
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.82
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.35
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.82
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.35
Sortino ratio-0.30
Upside Potential Ratio4.92
Upside part of mean1.71
Downside part of mean-1.81
Upside SD0.26
Downside SD0.35
N nonnegative terms196
N negative terms203
N of observations399
Mean of predictor0.65
Mean of criterion-0.10
SD of predictor0.37
SD of criterion0.43
Covariance0.01
r0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.05
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.13
Mean Square Error0.19
DF error397
t(b)0.76
p(b)0.22
t(a)-0.37
p(a)0.65
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.16
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.83
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.57
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.27
Jensen alpha (a)-0.13
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.05
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
Mean-0.06
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.47
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.47
df130
t-0.33
p0.51
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.31
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.24
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.31
Sortino ratio-0.62
Upside Potential Ratio7.02
Upside part of mean0.72
Downside part of mean-0.78
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms65
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.19
Mean of criterion-0.06
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance-0.02
r-0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.08
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)-4.62
p(b)0.73
t(a)0.43
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.17
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.28
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.44
Treynor index (mean / b)0.53
Jensen alpha (a)0.08
Mean-0.07
SD0.14
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-0.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-0.53
df130
t-0.38
p0.52
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-3.31
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.24
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-3.30
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.24
Sortino ratio-0.71
Upside Potential Ratio6.91
Upside part of mean0.71
Downside part of mean-0.78
Upside SD0.09
Downside SD0.10
N nonnegative terms66
N negative terms65
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.10
Mean of criterion-0.07
SD of predictor0.43
SD of criterion0.14
Covariance-0.02
r-0.38
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.12
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error129
t(b)-4.60
p(b)0.73
t(a)0.31
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.17
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.30
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.42
Treynor index (mean / b)0.61
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations18
Minimum0.56
Quartile 10.96
Median1.01
Quartile 31.07
Maximum1.29
Mean of quarter 10.84
Mean of quarter 20.99
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.17
Inter Quartile Range0.11
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.56
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.29
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.60
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.17
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.47
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.55
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.22
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations399
Minimum0.75
Quartile 10.99
Median1.00
Quartile 31.01
Maximum1.13
Mean of quarter 10.98
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low22
Percentage of outliers low0.06
Mean of outliers low0.94
Number of outliers high25
Percentage of outliers high0.06
Mean of outliers high1.05
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.56
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.06
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.56
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.02
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.04
Number of observations131
Minimum0.97
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.03
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low7
Percentage of outliers low0.05
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high4
Percentage of outliers high0.03
Mean of outliers high1.02
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.33
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.04
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.01

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations3
Minimum0.13
Quartile 10.14
Median0.16
Quartile 30.30
Maximum0.44
Mean of quarter 10.13
Mean of quarter 20.16
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40.44
Inter Quartile Range0.16
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations7
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.01
Median0.13
Quartile 30.21
Maximum0.47
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.07
Mean of quarter 30.19
Mean of quarter 40.35
Inter Quartile Range0.20
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.01
Quartile 10.02
Median0.02
Quartile 30.03
Maximum0.09
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.02
Mean of quarter 30.03
Mean of quarter 40.09
Inter Quartile Range0.01
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.09
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-1302619008
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)285
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.5%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.08
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.09
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.20
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.20
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-0.28
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.10
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.10
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.21
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.28
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-1.80
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)-0.07
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)-0.07
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)-0.81
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs-0.81
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal-4.02

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
USAT long300Jun 10, 2019Mar 18, 2021$1,314
TRGP short150Aug 27, 2019Mar 6, 2020$635
ATRC long100Nov 20, 2019Jan 2, 2020$360
XLNX short100Dec 2, 2019Dec 11, 2019($405)
CDNA short100Nov 20, 2019Dec 9, 2019($153)
MRO long150Jun 10, 2019Dec 5, 2019($237)
BOLD short150Nov 18, 2019Dec 4, 2019($5,031)
UNM long100Nov 25, 2019Dec 2, 2019$46
SYF short100Nov 20, 2019Nov 26, 2019($77)
LOMA long1000Oct 25, 2019Nov 20, 2019$315
ATRC long100Nov 20, 2019Nov 20, 2019($10)
AMZN short1Nov 13, 2019Nov 19, 2019$5
PE short100Jun 6, 2019Nov 18, 2019$125
TVTY long400Jun 4, 2019Nov 18, 2019$630
CF short150Aug 27, 2019Oct 31, 2019$215
DISH long300Aug 27, 2019Sep 10, 2019$1,008
VIAB short100May 28, 2019Aug 15, 2019$148
CBS short100May 29, 2019Aug 14, 2019$168
CIEN long150Jun 5, 2019Jun 6, 2019$977
NCLH short100May 29, 2019Jun 4, 2019$198
SNV short100May 29, 2019Jun 3, 2019$127
EXEL short180Apr 30, 2019May 2, 2019($67)
HFC short120May 2, 2019May 2, 2019($72)
PDCE short100Apr 29, 2019May 2, 2019$420
KNX short130Apr 29, 2019May 1, 2019$295
PBYI short140Apr 30, 2019Apr 30, 2019($64)
BK long180Apr 29, 2019Apr 30, 2019$46
BHF long190Apr 29, 2019Apr 29, 2019$89
EQT short132Apr 25, 2019Apr 26, 2019($73)
DISH short88Apr 24, 2019Apr 24, 2019($42)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.