Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

These are hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Learn more


Created by: John-Duarte John-Duarte
Started: 01/2019
Last trade: Yesterday
Trading style: Equity Trend-following

Subscriptions not available

No subscriptions are currently available for this strategy because the strategy manager has capped the maximum number of subscribers.

Subscription terms. Subscriptions to this system cost $69.00 per month.

Trading Category: Equity
Category: Equity


Tries to take advantage of long, medium or short-term moves that seem to play out in various markets. Typically, trend-following analysis is backward looking; that is, it attempts to recognize and profit from already-established trends.
Cumul. Return

Rate of Return Calculations


To comply with NFA regulations, we display Cumulative Rate of Return for strategies with a track record of less than one year. For strategies with longer track records, we display Annualized (Compounded) Rate of Return.

How Cumulative Rate of Return is calculated

= (Ending_equity - Starting_equity) / Starting_equity

Remember that, following NFA requirements, strategy subscription costs and estimated commissions are included in marked-to-market equity calculations.

All results are hypothetical.

Max Drawdown
Num Trades
Win Trades
126.3 : 1
Profit Factor
Win Months
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes system fee and Typical Broker commissions and fees)
2019+16.0%+4.2%+2.6%                                                      +24.0%

Model Account Details

A trading strategy on Collective2. Follow it in your broker account, or use a free simulated trading account.

Advanced users may want to use this information to adjust their AutoTrade scaling, or merely to understand the magnitudes of the nearby chart.

Trading Record

This strategy has placed 32 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

Download CSV
Opened Date/TimeSymbolDescriptionSideQtyAvg PriceClosed Date/TimeAvg PriceDrawdownP/L
3/12/19 9:35 NUGT DIREXION DAILY GOLD MINERS BUL LONG 100 19.99 3/18 9:30 19.89 0.55%
Trade id #122876928
Max drawdown($67)
Time3/15/19 14:38
Quant open100
Worst price19.31
Drawdown as % of equity-0.55%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.00
3/8/19 15:26 URTY PROSHARES ULTRAPRO RUSSELL2000 LONG 30 69.32 3/18 9:30 74.86 0.02%
Trade id #122841112
Max drawdown($2)
Time3/8/19 15:31
Quant open30
Worst price69.22
Drawdown as % of equity-0.02%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.60
1/30/19 9:30 HMY HARMONY GOLD MINING CO. LONG 250 1.96 2/25 12:39 2.07 0.17%
Trade id #122265227
Max drawdown($20)
Time2/15/19 10:53
Quant open250
Worst price1.88
Drawdown as % of equity-0.17%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $5.00
1/15/19 9:44 NUGT DIREXION DAILY GOLD MINERS BUL LONG 325 17.11 2/25 12:39 20.49 4.77%
Trade id #121978303
Max drawdown($478)
Time1/22/19 10:26
Quant open300
Worst price15.24
Drawdown as % of equity-4.77%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $6.50
1/30/19 12:13 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 60 46.45 2/25 12:38 51.64 0%
Trade id #122271804
Max drawdown($0)
Time1/30/19 14:01
Quant open15
Worst price43.74
Drawdown as % of equity-0.00%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.20
1/30/19 12:12 URTY PROSHARES ULTRAPRO RUSSELL2000 LONG 40 67.06 2/25 12:38 81.02 0.04%
Trade id #122271762
Max drawdown($4)
Time1/30/19 13:24
Quant open10
Worst price64.40
Drawdown as % of equity-0.04%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.80
1/29/19 11:42 WTIU UBS ETRACS PROSHARES DAILY 3X LONG CRUDE ETN LONG 130 13.86 2/25 12:38 13.82 2.79%
Trade id #122246043
Max drawdown($312)
Time2/11/19 11:21
Quant open130
Worst price11.45
Drawdown as % of equity-2.79%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $2.60
1/24/19 10:28 TQQQ PROSHARES ULTRAPRO QQQ LONG 20 43.30 1/28 9:30 43.01 0.19%
Trade id #122157186
Max drawdown($19)
Time1/24/19 11:21
Quant open20
Worst price42.34
Drawdown as % of equity-0.19%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $0.40
1/15/19 9:42 URTY PROSHARES ULTRAPRO RUSSELL2000 LONG 80 60.09 1/28 9:30 63.37 0.58%
Trade id #121978188
Max drawdown($58)
Time1/15/19 10:23
Quant open60
Worst price58.80
Drawdown as % of equity-0.58%
Includes Typical Broker Commissions trade costs of $1.60


  • Strategy began
  • Suggested Minimum Cap
  • Strategy Age (days)
  • Age
    73 days ago
  • What it trades
  • # Trades
  • # Profitable
  • % Profitable
  • Avg trade duration
    18.1 days
  • Max peak-to-valley drawdown
  • drawdown period
    Jan 31, 2019 - Feb 08, 2019
  • Cumul. Return
  • Avg win
  • Avg loss
  • Model Account Values (Raw)
  • Cash
  • Margin Used
  • Buying Power
  • Ratios
  • W:L ratio
  • Sharpe Ratio
  • Sortino Ratio
  • Calmar Ratio
  • Correlation to SP500
  • Return Statistics
  • Ann Return (w trading costs)
  • Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)
  • Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
  • Chance of 10% account loss
  • Chance of 20% account loss
  • Chance of 30% account loss
  • Chance of 40% account loss
  • Chance of 50% account loss
  • Popularity
  • Popularity (Today)
  • Popularity (Last 6 weeks)
  • C2 Score
  • Trades-Own-System Certification
  • Trades Own System?
  • TOS percent
  • Subscription Price
  • Billing Period (days)
  • Trial Days
  • Win / Loss
  • Avg Win
  • Avg Loss
  • # Winners
  • # Losers
  • % Winners
  • Frequency
  • Avg Position Time (mins)
  • Avg Position Time (hrs)
  • Avg Trade Length
    18.0 days
  • Last Trade Ago
  • Analysis based on DAILY values, full history
  • Ratio statistics of excess return rates
  • Statistics related to linear regression on benchmark
  • a (intercept, estimate of alpha)

Strategy Description

Welcome to my strategy, investor or trader.
My goal is to try to answer this question "What is the market doing?”, and act appropriately. I am talking about a trend-following methodology.
This approach is not perfect, but it is rational because it respond to what prices are doing, not what we think they ought to be doing, and can be used in both the bear and the bull market. Generally, I use inverse/short ETFs in a bear market.
To do this, I analyze and evaluate different things before making the decision, for example market trend indicators, economic indicators, sentiment surveys and seasonal patterns.
About time duration I look at different time frames, small, medium and large, because each one depends on the other.
In 75% of the time, I remain calm and follow the bigger trend off the larger time frame.
About markets I invest in stock market and commodity market.
There is also a second goal, which is getting the maximum return on investment with the lowest possible maximum drawdown.
To do this, I don't use margin and try to avoid taking large positions most of the time, and sometimes I use stop loss orders.
Of course these are goals only. No performance can be guaranteed.
Generally, these are intermediate-term investments (weeks to months), but I also can do short-term trades, depending on market conditions.
Good luck and good trading!

I show you the result of my previous strategy: https://collective2.com/details/100120309
I try now the same good result but with the maximum drawdown lower.

Summary Statistics

Strategy began
Suggested Minimum Capital
# Trades
# Profitable
% Profitable
Correlation S&P500
Sharpe Ratio

Latest Activity

subscribed on started simulation #SUBSCRIBEDDATE#

Most values on this page (including the Strategy Equity Chart, above) have been adjusted by estimated trading commissions and subscription costs.

Some advanced users find it useful to see "raw" Model Account values. These numbers do not include any commissions, fees, subscription costs, or dividend actions.

Strategy developers can "archive" strategies at any time. This means the strategy Model Account is reset to its initial level and the trade list cleared. However, all archived track records are permanently preserved for evaluation by potential subscribers.

About the results you see on this Web site

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

In addition, hypothetical trading does not involve financial risk, and no hypothetical trading record can completely account for the impact of financial risk in actual trading. For example, the ability to withstand losses or to adhere to a particular trading program in spite of trading losses are material points which can also adversely affect actual trading results. There are numerous other factors related to the markets in general or to the implementation of any specific trading program, which cannot be fully accounted for in the preparation of hypothetical performance results and all of which can adversely affect actual trading results.

Material assumptions and methods used when calculating results

The following are material assumptions used when calculating any hypothetical monthly results that appear on our web site.

  • Profits are reinvested. We assume profits (when there are profits) are reinvested in the trading strategy.
  • Starting investment size. For any trading strategy on our site, hypothetical results are based on the assumption that you invested the starting amount shown on the strategy's performance chart. In some cases, nominal dollar amounts on the equity chart have been re-scaled downward to make current go-forward trading sizes more manageable. In these cases, it may not have been possible to trade the strategy historically at the equity levels shown on the chart, and a higher minimum capital was required in the past.
  • All fees are included. When calculating cumulative returns, we try to estimate and include all the fees a typical trader incurs when AutoTrading using AutoTrade technology. This includes the subscription cost of the strategy, plus any per-trade AutoTrade fees, plus estimated broker commissions if any.
  • "Max Drawdown" Calculation Method. We calculate the Max Drawdown statistic as follows. Our computer software looks at the equity chart of the system in question and finds the largest percentage amount that the equity chart ever declines from a local "peak" to a subsequent point in time (thus this is formally called "Maximum Peak to Valley Drawdown.") While this is useful information when evaluating trading systems, you should keep in mind that past performance does not guarantee future results. Therefore, future drawdowns may be larger than the historical maximum drawdowns you see here.

Trading is risky

There is a substantial risk of loss in futures and forex trading. Online trading of stocks and options is extremely risky. Assume you will lose money. Don't trade with money you cannot afford to lose.

Okay, gotcha.

Not available

This feature isn't available under your current Trade Leader Plan.

Want to see available plans and features?

Please hold...

Strategy is now visible

This strategy is now visible to the public. New subscribers will be able to follow it.

If you designate your strategy as Private, it will no longer be visible to the public.

No subscribers and simulations will be allowed. If you have subscribers, the strategy will still be visible to them.
If you have simulations, they will be stopped.

Continue to designate your strategy as Private?

Strategy is no longer visible

This strategy is no longer visible to anyone except current subscribers.

(Current subscribers will remain subscribed. You can see who is subscribed, and control their subscriptions, on your Subscriber Management screen.)

Finally, please note that you can restore public visibility at any time.

This strategy is no longer visible to the public. No subscribers will be allowed.

You can restore public visibility at any time.

Suggested Minimum Capital

This is our estimate of the minimum amount of capital to follow a strategy, assuming you use the smallest reasonable AutoTrade Scaling % for the strategy.