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BSPcrude-oil

Futures · Started Jul 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-24.8%
Max Drawdown
7.4%
Trades
13
Win Trades
30.8%
Profit Factor
0.70
Win Months
0.0%

About this strategy

Mainly trading Crude Oil futures, mostly day trade but occasionally held over-night but not the weekend.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2018-1.1-1.1-0.8-3.40.00.0-6.3
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began7/18/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age101 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades13
# Profitable4
% Profitable30.8%
Avg trade duration5.1 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown7.4%
drawdown periodSept 24, 2018 - Oct 01, 2018
Cumul. Return-5.9%
Avg win$458
Avg loss$273

Ratios

W:L ratio0.74
Sharpe Ratio-1.38
Sortino Ratio-1.68
Calmar Ratio-0.41

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life169.2%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-10.0%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-24.8%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)-0.3%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity8.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)727
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)460

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$273
Avg Win$458
# Winners4
Sum Trade PL (losers)$2,460
Sum Trade PL (winners)$1,830
Num Months Winners0
# Losers9
% Winners30.8%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table100

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)303
Avg Position Time (hrs)5.05
Avg Trade Length0.20
Last Trade Ago2950

Regression

Alpha-0.01
Beta0
Treynor Index-35.62

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.01
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.01
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-8.06
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.86
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats15
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats9.99
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.48
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.27
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.12

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.05
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.00

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-7
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)7
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 26 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QCL X8short1Oct 1, 2018Oct 1, 2018($568)
QCL X8long1Oct 1, 2018Oct 1, 2018($248)
QCL X8short1Sep 27, 2018Sep 27, 2018$492
QCL X8long1Sep 27, 2018Sep 27, 2018($218)
QCL X8long1Sep 26, 2018Sep 26, 2018($438)
QCL X8short1Sep 25, 2018Sep 26, 2018($198)
QCL X8long1Sep 24, 2018Sep 25, 2018($148)
QCL X8short1Sep 24, 2018Sep 24, 2018($488)
QCL X8long1Sep 24, 2018Sep 24, 2018$292
QCL X8long1Sep 21, 2018Sep 21, 2018$502
QCL X8short1Sep 21, 2018Sep 21, 2018($208)
QCL X8short1Sep 20, 2018Sep 20, 2018$512
QCL X8long1Sep 20, 2018Sep 20, 2018($18)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.