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Kun Fayakun

Forex · Started Jun 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
22.4%
Max Drawdown
2.5%
Trades
132
Win Trades
82.6%
Profit Factor
86.90
Win Months
1.0%

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2018437.40.00.00.00.00.00.0437.4
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began6/24/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age101 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades132
# Profitable109
% Profitable82.6%
Avg trade duration1.1 minutes
Max peak-to-valley drawdown2.5%
drawdown periodJune 24, 2018 - June 24, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)22.4%
Avg win$410
Avg loss$22

Ratios

W:L ratio86.92
Sharpe Ratio0.49
Sortino Ratio128.81
Calmar Ratio—

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life183.6%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)254.2%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)22.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.2%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)22.6%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity0.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex1.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss0.0%
Chance of 20% account loss0.0%
Chance of 30% account loss0.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated100.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$22
Avg Win$410
# Winners109
Sum Trade PL (losers)$514
Sum Trade PL (winners)$44,675
Num Months Winners1
# Losers23
% Winners82.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table101

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1.10
Avg Position Time (hrs)0.02
Avg Trade Length0
Last Trade Ago3025

Regression

Alpha0.04
Beta0
Treynor Index-9.03

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades—
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-1
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-1
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats2.78
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-1

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean1.41
SD1.50
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.94
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.88
df12
t0.98
p0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.00
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.84
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.80
Sortino ratio182.28
Upside Potential Ratio185.61
Upside part of mean1.44
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD1.50
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms12
N of observations13
Mean of predictor1.07
Mean of criterion1.41
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion1.50
Covariance-0.04
r-0.05
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.18
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.60
Mean Square Error2.45
DF error11
t(b)-0.18
p(b)0.57
t(a)0.87
p(a)0.20
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-2.36
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta2.00
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-2.44
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha5.64
Treynor index (mean / b)-8.01
Jensen alpha (a)1.60
Mean0.84
SD0.90
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.93
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.87
df12
t0.97
p0.37
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.01
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio2.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation2.79
Sortino ratio108.52
Upside Potential Ratio111.85
Upside part of mean0.87
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.90
Downside SD0.01
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms12
N of observations13
Mean of predictor0.94
Mean of criterion0.84
SD of predictor0.42
SD of criterion0.90
Covariance-0.01
r-0.04
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.08
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.91
Mean Square Error0.89
DF error11
t(b)-0.12
p(b)0.55
t(a)0.84
p(a)0.21
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-1.49
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta1.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-1.48
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha3.31
Treynor index (mean / b)-10.80
Jensen alpha (a)0.91
VaR(95%)0.30
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.37
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean1.00
SD0.65
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.52
df286
t1.60
p0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.35
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.40
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.40
Sortino ratio581.46
Upside Potential Ratio597.56
Upside part of mean1.02
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.65
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms284
N of observations287
Mean of predictor1.03
Mean of criterion1.00
SD of predictor0.44
SD of criterion0.65
Covariance-0.00
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)1.00
Mean Square Error0.43
DF error285
t(b)-0.05
p(b)0.52
t(a)1.59
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.18
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.17
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha2.25
Treynor index (mean / b)-210.49
Jensen alpha (a)1.00
Mean0.83
SD0.54
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.53
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.53
df286
t1.61
p0.05
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.34
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio3.41
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.35
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation3.41
Sortino ratio484.18
Upside Potential Ratio500.28
Upside part of mean0.86
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0.54
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms3
N negative terms284
N of observations287
Mean of predictor0.93
Mean of criterion0.83
SD of predictor0.44
SD of criterion0.54
Covariance-0.00
r-0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.83
Mean Square Error0.29
DF error285
t(b)-0.03
p(b)0.51
t(a)1.59
p(a)0.06
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.14
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.20
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha1.86
Treynor index (mean / b)-353.51
Jensen alpha (a)0.83
VaR(95%)0.05
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.06
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.08
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.98
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.45
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6805895908425728
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)4.60218097744156e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations13
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum2.56
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.52
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.08
Mean of outliers high2.56
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations287
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.48
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.02
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high3
Percentage of outliers high0.01
Mean of outliers high1.37
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-538447168
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.44
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.38
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal3.73
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)1.42
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)1.36
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal21.37
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
AUD/CAD long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$93
AUD/NZD long200Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$494
AUD/CHF long200Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$470
AUD/CAD long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$148
AUD/CHF long400Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$11,130
AUD/CAD long300Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$1,229
CHF/JPY long200Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$72
CAD/JPY long600Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$372
CAD/JPY long200Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$81
EUR/JPY long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$39
EUR/GBP long700Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$3,814
EUR/CHF long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$324
EUR/CAD long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$202
EUR/AUD long500Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$1,417
CAD/JPY long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$66
CAD/CHF long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$1,192
AUD/USD long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$1,996
AUD/NZD long400Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$644
AUD/NZD long200Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$89
AUD/CHF long200Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$702
AUD/CAD long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$213
CAD/JPY long500Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018($9)
CAD/CHF long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$1,171
AUD/NZD long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$214
AUD/CHF long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$229
EUR/AUD long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$332
CAD/JPY long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018($2)
AUD/USD long600Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$1,756
AUD/USD long600Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$1,686
AUD/JPY long100Jun 28, 2018Jun 28, 2018$15

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.

Unachievable Scalping. This strategy exhibits a scalping trading pattern that is unlikely to be achievable as more AutoTraders begin to follow the strategy.