Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

50 on 8

Futures · Started May 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
-0.3%
Max Drawdown
20.8%
Trades
67
Win Trades
79.1%
Profit Factor
1.10
Win Months
1.0%

About this strategy

50 on 8 details:

-trades futures only
-intraday trading only
-no overnight exposure
-stops used
-order flow style trading

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201813.5-14.30.00.00.00.00.00.0-2.7
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/14/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$25,000
Age102 months
What it tradesFutures
# Trades67
# Profitable53
% Profitable79.1%
Avg trade duration1.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown20.8%
drawdown periodJune 26, 2018 - June 26, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)-0.3%
Avg win$234
Avg loss$777

Ratios

W:L ratio1.14
Sharpe Ratio-0.22
Sortino Ratio-0.26
Calmar Ratio0.24

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.01
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life186.1%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-188.9%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)-0.3%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)-0.0%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)0.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity26.2%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures1.0%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss57.0%
Chance of 20% account loss15.0%
Chance of 30% account loss2.0%
Chance of 40% account loss0.0%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$777
Avg Win$234
# Winners53
Sum Trade PL (losers)$10,884
Sum Trade PL (winners)$12,418
Num Months Winners1
# Losers14
% Winners79.1%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table102

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)94.80
Avg Position Time (hrs)1.58
Avg Trade Length0.10
Last Trade Ago3030

Regression

Alpha0
Beta0
Treynor Index-1.54

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.02
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.23
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.04
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades24.81
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)2.05
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats37.68
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats55.46
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.32
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.13
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.04

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.05
SD0.26
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.19
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.17
df14
t0.21
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.57
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.94
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.58
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.93
Sortino ratio0.36
Upside Potential Ratio1.44
Upside part of mean0.19
Downside part of mean-0.14
Upside SD0.21
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms14
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.80
Mean of criterion0.05
SD of predictor0.44
SD of criterion0.26
Covariance-0.00
r-0.03
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.02
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.06
Mean Square Error0.07
DF error13
t(b)-0.11
p(b)0.52
t(a)0.23
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.37
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.33
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.52
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.65
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.74
Jensen alpha (a)0.06
Mean0.02
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.08
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.07
df14
t0.09
p0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.68
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.83
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.68
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.83
Sortino ratio0.13
Upside Potential Ratio1.20
Upside part of mean0.17
Downside part of mean-0.15
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms1
N negative terms14
N of observations15
Mean of predictor0.69
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.39
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance-0.00
r-0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)-0.01
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.02
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error13
t(b)-0.05
p(b)0.51
t(a)0.09
p(a)0.48
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.38
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.36
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.53
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.58
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.39
Jensen alpha (a)0.02
VaR(95%)0.11
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.13
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean0.03
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.18
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.18
df348
t0.21
p0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.51
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.88
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.51
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.88
Sortino ratio0.22
Upside Potential Ratio1.85
Upside part of mean0.25
Downside part of mean-0.22
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.13
N nonnegative terms23
N negative terms326
N of observations349
Mean of predictor0.87
Mean of criterion0.03
SD of predictor0.50
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.00
r0.00
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.03
Mean Square Error0.02
DF error347
t(b)0.08
p(b)0.47
t(a)0.20
p(a)0.42
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.24
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)21.14
Jensen alpha (a)0.03
Mean0.02
SD0.16
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.10
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.10
df348
t0.11
p0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-1.60
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.60
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.79
Sortino ratio0.11
Upside Potential Ratio1.71
Upside part of mean0.24
Downside part of mean-0.23
Upside SD0.08
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms23
N negative terms326
N of observations349
Mean of predictor0.75
Mean of criterion0.02
SD of predictor0.49
SD of criterion0.16
Covariance0.00
r0.01
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.00
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.01
Mean Square Error0.03
DF error347
t(b)0.11
p(b)0.46
t(a)0.10
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.27
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.30
Treynor index (mean / b)7.80
Jensen alpha (a)0.01
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.01
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.07
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.50
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor0.95
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.50
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6818774367862784
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-2.25292591692668e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations15
Minimum0.86
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.24
Mean of quarter 10.96
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.06
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low1
Percentage of outliers low0.07
Mean of outliers low0.86
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.24
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations349
Minimum0.86
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1.04
Mean of quarter 11.00
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41.00
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low9
Percentage of outliers low0.03
Mean of outliers low0.97
Number of outliers high23
Percentage of outliers high0.07
Mean of outliers high1.01
Extreme Value Index (moments method)1.04
VaR(95%) (moments method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)1.36
VaR(95%) (regression method)-0.00
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations1
Minimum0.14
Quartile 10.14
Median0.14
Quartile 30.14
Maximum0.14
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations5
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.00
Quartile 30.06
Maximum0.18
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.06
Mean of quarter 40.18
Inter Quartile Range0.06
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high1
Percentage of outliers high0.20
Mean of outliers high0.18
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-450713440
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)78
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.05
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.33
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0.36
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.05
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.04
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0.24
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0.24
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal2.17
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 256 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QCL Q8short4Jun 26, 2018Jun 26, 2018($6,361)
@ES U8short2Jun 25, 2018Jun 25, 2018$1,095
@ES U8short8Jun 22, 2018Jun 22, 2018$498
@NQ U8short3Jun 21, 2018Jun 21, 2018$619
@NQ U8short3Jun 21, 2018Jun 21, 2018$944
QCL Q8short1Jun 20, 2018Jun 20, 2018$205
@ES U8long2Jun 20, 2018Jun 20, 2018$34
@ES U8short1Jun 19, 2018Jun 19, 2018($8)
@ES U8short1Jun 19, 2018Jun 19, 2018$117
@ES U8short1Jun 19, 2018Jun 19, 2018($27)
@ES U8short5Jun 18, 2018Jun 18, 2018($2,196)
@NQ U8short2Jun 15, 2018Jun 15, 2018$807
@NQ U8short5Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018($1,223)
QNG N8short2Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018($300)
@NQ U8short2Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018$622
@ES U8short1Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018$7
@NQ U8short2Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018$115
QCL N8short2Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018$82
@ES U8short2Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018$76
@EU M8short1Jun 13, 2018Jun 13, 2018$102
QCL N8long1Jun 13, 2018Jun 13, 2018$21
@ES U8short2Jun 12, 2018Jun 12, 2018$173
@ES U8short4Jun 11, 2018Jun 11, 2018$101
@ES U8short2Jun 11, 2018Jun 11, 2018($5)
@ES U8short2Jun 8, 2018Jun 8, 2018$142
@ES M8short2Jun 7, 2018Jun 7, 2018$161
@ES M8short2Jun 6, 2018Jun 6, 2018$301
@ES M8short3Jun 5, 2018Jun 5, 2018$143
@ES M8short2Jun 4, 2018Jun 4, 2018$76
@ES M8short3Jun 1, 2018Jun 1, 2018$89

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.