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Slow and Easy

Futures · Forex · Started May 2018

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
84.4%
Max Drawdown
75.6%
Trades
63
Win Trades
74.6%
Profit Factor
1
Win Months
2.0%

About this strategy

Candle Pattern Trader. Patterns I look for are, Hammer, Inverted Hammer, Doji, Spinning Top, Engulfing, Piercing Line, Three Crows.

Macro / Fundamental

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
201852.3-52.351.80.00.00.00.00.010.3
20190.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/8/2018
Suggested Minimum Capital$15,000
Age103 months
What it tradesForex
# Trades63
# Profitable47
% Profitable74.6%
Avg trade duration18.6 hours
Max peak-to-valley drawdown75.6%
drawdown periodJune 14, 2018 - July 02, 2018
Cumul. Return10.9%
Avg win$1,139
Avg loss$3,201

Ratios

W:L ratio1.05
Sharpe Ratio0.11
Sortino Ratio0.17
Calmar Ratio0.17

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP500-0.00
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life185.3%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)8.5%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)84.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)1.7%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity142.8%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life1.0%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.8%
Percent Trades Futures0.1%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.0%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss92.5%
Chance of 20% account loss86.0%
Chance of 30% account loss70.5%
Chance of 40% account loss55.0%
Chance of 50% account loss42.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)26.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)9.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)1.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated0.0%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)402
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)977
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)716

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/10

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$3,201
Avg Win$1,139
# Winners47
Sum Trade PL (losers)$51,221
Sum Trade PL (winners)$53,554
Num Months Winners2
# Losers16
% Winners74.6%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct0

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table102

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)1118.18
Avg Position Time (hrs)18.64
Avg Trade Length0.80
Last Trade Ago3028

Regression

Alpha0.01
Beta-0.01
Treynor Index-1.65

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.10
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0.14
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.22
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.06
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades-41.81
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)4.21
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)—
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats12.40
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats85.45
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)—
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy—
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades1.20
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.13
Hold-and-Hope Ratio-0.02

RATIO STATISTICS

a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.45
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.08

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Max Equity Drawdown (num days)18
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

Trading record

Placed 5 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
QCL U8short8Jul 5, 2018Jul 6, 2018$3,416
QCL U8long6Jul 5, 2018Jul 5, 2018($2,968)
QCL U8short4Jul 4, 2018Jul 5, 2018($2,392)
QCL U8long4Jul 4, 2018Jul 4, 2018($32)
QCL U8short4Jul 4, 2018Jul 4, 2018$2,088
GBP/USD short450Jul 3, 2018Jul 4, 2018($1,863)
QCL U8long5Jul 3, 2018Jul 3, 2018$350
QCL U8long4Jul 3, 2018Jul 3, 2018$168
QCL U8short4Jul 3, 2018Jul 3, 2018($1,112)
QCL U8short4Jul 3, 2018Jul 3, 2018$6,008
QCL U8long4Jul 2, 2018Jul 3, 2018$2,608
QCL U8short4Jul 2, 2018Jul 2, 2018($432)
GBP/USD short200Jul 2, 2018Jul 2, 2018$36
QCL U8short4Jul 2, 2018Jul 2, 2018($232)
QCL V8short10Jun 27, 2018Jun 28, 2018($23,330)
GBP/JPY short840Jun 25, 2018Jun 27, 2018$20
GBP/USD short720Jun 25, 2018Jun 25, 2018$324
GBP/USD long720Jun 24, 2018Jun 25, 2018$756
GBP/USD short800Jun 21, 2018Jun 22, 2018($4,140)
GBP/USD long600Jun 20, 2018Jun 21, 2018($1,537)
USD/CAD short800Jun 19, 2018Jun 20, 2018($2,664)
QCL Q8short13Jun 19, 2018Jun 19, 2018$1,526
GBP/USD short930Jun 19, 2018Jun 19, 2018$3,117
GBP/USD short730Jun 18, 2018Jun 19, 2018$4,271
GBP/USD long500Jun 18, 2018Jun 18, 2018$890
GBP/USD short500Jun 18, 2018Jun 18, 2018$285
GBP/USD long500Jun 17, 2018Jun 18, 2018($1,020)
GBP/USD short750Jun 14, 2018Jun 15, 2018($2,790)
GBP/USD long850Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018($1,265)
GBP/USD short940Jun 14, 2018Jun 14, 2018($1,645)

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.