Trend Trader IRA
- hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
- -5.6%
- Max Drawdown
- 46.2%
- Trades
- 143
- Win Trades
- 71.3%
- Profit Factor
- 0.40
- Win Months
- 4.9%
About this strategy
This is a trend following strategy based on technical analysis and indicators. We trade only very liquid ETFs and there should be very low slippage problems. System can be traded manually. Most signals will be generated within the last 1 hour before markets close (3 pm-4 pm EST)
Strategy is fully compatible with IRA. Long positions are entered via long ETFs or long Call options. Short positions are opened via inverse ETFs or long Put options. Strategy was designed to work during all types of markets bull/bear/sideways.
We personally trade this strategy in our own IRA accounts but cannot obtain TOS because we have a different brokerage. Disciplined position sizing and strict risk management (stop loss, profit targets) are always in place. To avoid risk and over-leverage, at least 50% of the portfolio will always be in cash.
This strategy can be replicated with an account size of as small as $20k. 2-3 Trades per week should be expected. However, please note that C2 puts second/third entries to the same position as 1 trade so trade number may seem vary. Check autotrade data for accurate trade history.
The objective of the strategy is to get 2%-3% average monthly portfolio growth with minimal risk and drawdown, but, as always, this is a hypothetical goal and nothing can be guaranteed.
Strategy is fully compatible with IRA. Long positions are entered via long ETFs or long Call options. Short positions are opened via inverse ETFs or long Put options. Strategy was designed to work during all types of markets bull/bear/sideways.
We personally trade this strategy in our own IRA accounts but cannot obtain TOS because we have a different brokerage. Disciplined position sizing and strict risk management (stop loss, profit targets) are always in place. To avoid risk and over-leverage, at least 50% of the portfolio will always be in cash.
This strategy can be replicated with an account size of as small as $20k. 2-3 Trades per week should be expected. However, please note that C2 puts second/third entries to the same position as 1 trade so trade number may seem vary. Check autotrade data for accurate trade history.
The objective of the strategy is to get 2%-3% average monthly portfolio growth with minimal risk and drawdown, but, as always, this is a hypothetical goal and nothing can be guaranteed.
Trend-following
Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)
| Year | Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec | YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 1.2 | 4.6 | -1.4 | -3.3 | 3.7 | 0.1 | 7.0 | -16.1 | -2.7 | -33.3 | -38.8 | ||
| 2019 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
| 2020 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2021 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2022 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2023 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2024 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2025 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| 2026 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Statistics
Overview
| Strategy began | 3/16/2018 |
|---|---|
| Suggested Minimum Capital | $100,000 |
| Age | 104 months |
| What it trades | Stocks, Options |
| # Trades | 143 |
| # Profitable | 102 |
| % Profitable | 71.3% |
| Avg trade duration | 8.2 days |
| Max peak-to-valley drawdown | 46.2% |
| drawdown period | Oct 01, 2018 - Dec 24, 2018 |
| Annual Return (Compounded) | -5.6% |
| Avg win | $221 |
| Avg loss | $1,441 |
Ratios
| W:L ratio | 0.38 |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.63 |
| Sortino Ratio | -0.78 |
| Calmar Ratio | -0.50 |
CORRELATION STATISTICS
| Correlation to SP500 | 0.16 |
|---|---|
| Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life | 183.6% |
| Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu) | -222.3% |
Return Statistics
| Ann Return (w trading costs) | -5.6% |
|---|---|
| Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant) | -0.1% |
| Return Pcnt Since TOS Status | 0.0% |
| Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees) | -5.1% |
Slump
| Current Slump as Pcnt Equity | 85.8% |
|---|---|
| Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life | 0.9% |
Instruments
| Percent Trades Forex | 0.0% |
|---|---|
| Percent Trades Futures | 0.0% |
| Percent Trades Options | 0.5% |
| Short Options - Percent Covered | 100.0% |
| Percent Trades Stocks | 0.5% |
Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)
| Chance of 10% account loss | 100.0% |
|---|---|
| Chance of 20% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 30% account loss | 100.0% |
| Chance of 40% account loss | 57.0% |
| Chance of 50% account loss | 3.0% |
| Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.5% |
| Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
| Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo) | 0.0% |
Automation
| Percentage Signals Automated | 0.0% |
|---|
Popularity
| Popularity (Today) | 0 |
|---|---|
| Popularity (Last 6 weeks) | 0 |
| Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale) | 0 |
Trading Style
| Any stock shorts? 0/1 | 0 |
|---|
Trades-Own-System Certification
| Trades Own System? | 0 |
|---|---|
| TOS percent | 0.0% |
Win / Loss
| Avg Loss | $1,441 |
|---|---|
| Avg Win | $221 |
| # Winners | 102 |
| Sum Trade PL (losers) | $59,076 |
| Sum Trade PL (winners) | $22,583 |
| Num Months Winners | 5 |
| # Losers | 41 |
| % Winners | 71.3% |
Dividends
| Dividends Received in Model Acct | 27 |
|---|
Age
| Num Months filled monthly returns table | 104 |
|---|
Frequency
| Avg Position Time (mins) | 11828.62 |
|---|---|
| Avg Position Time (hrs) | 197.14 |
| Avg Trade Length | 8.20 |
| Last Trade Ago | 2845 |
Regression
| Alpha | -0.02 |
|---|---|
| Beta | 0.09 |
| Treynor Index | -0.23 |
Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)
| MAE:Equity, average, all trades | 0.01 |
|---|---|
| MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | 0.01 |
| MAE:Equity, average, losing trades | 0.03 |
| MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| MAE:Equity, average, winning trades | 0 |
| MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades | -2.01 |
| MAE:PL (avg, all trades) | 0.13 |
| MAE:PL (avg, losing trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 54.59 |
| MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats | 37.66 |
| MAE:PL (avg, winning trades) | — |
| MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy | — |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades | 0.81 |
| Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades | -1.23 |
| Hold-and-Hope Ratio | -0.50 |
RATIO STATISTICS
| Mean | -0.26 |
|---|---|
| SD | 0.23 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.12 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.08 |
| df | 20 |
| t | -1.49 |
| p | 0.66 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.63 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.41 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -2.60 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.44 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.15 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.37 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.08 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.34 |
| Upside SD | 0.07 |
| Downside SD | 0.22 |
| N nonnegative terms | 3 |
| N negative terms | 18 |
| N of observations | 21 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.60 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.26 |
| SD of predictor | 0.53 |
| SD of criterion | 0.23 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.11 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.05 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.29 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.05 |
| DF error | 19 |
| t(b) | 0.48 |
| p(b) | 0.43 |
| t(a) | -1.54 |
| p(a) | 0.71 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.16 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.25 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.67 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.10 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -5.43 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.29 |
| Mean | -0.29 |
| SD | 0.25 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.16 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.12 |
| df | 20 |
| t | -1.54 |
| p | 0.66 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.67 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -2.64 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.40 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.17 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0.33 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.08 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.37 |
| Upside SD | 0.07 |
| Downside SD | 0.25 |
| N nonnegative terms | 3 |
| N negative terms | 18 |
| N of observations | 21 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.47 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.29 |
| SD of predictor | 0.50 |
| SD of criterion | 0.25 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.10 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.05 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.31 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.06 |
| DF error | 19 |
| t(b) | 0.45 |
| p(b) | 0.43 |
| t(a) | -1.57 |
| p(a) | 0.71 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | -0.19 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.29 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.72 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0.10 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -5.67 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.31 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.13 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.16 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.09 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.17 |
| Mean | -0.26 |
| SD | 0.21 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.23 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.23 |
| df | 467 |
| t | -1.65 |
| p | 0.95 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.70 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.24 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -2.70 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.24 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.52 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 3.39 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.58 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.84 |
| Upside SD | 0.12 |
| Downside SD | 0.17 |
| N nonnegative terms | 103 |
| N negative terms | 365 |
| N of observations | 468 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.62 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.26 |
| SD of predictor | 0.38 |
| SD of criterion | 0.21 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.17 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.09 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.32 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.04 |
| DF error | 466 |
| t(b) | 3.69 |
| p(b) | 0.00 |
| t(a) | -2.03 |
| p(a) | 0.98 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.04 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.14 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.62 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.01 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -2.81 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.32 |
| Mean | -0.28 |
| SD | 0.21 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -1.33 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -1.32 |
| df | 467 |
| t | -1.77 |
| p | 0.96 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | -2.79 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -2.79 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0.14 |
| Sortino ratio | -1.61 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 3.26 |
| Upside part of mean | 0.57 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.85 |
| Upside SD | 0.12 |
| Downside SD | 0.18 |
| N nonnegative terms | 103 |
| N negative terms | 365 |
| N of observations | 468 |
| Mean of predictor | 0.55 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.28 |
| SD of predictor | 0.38 |
| SD of criterion | 0.21 |
| Covariance | 0.01 |
| r | 0.17 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0.09 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.33 |
| Mean Square Error | 0.04 |
| DF error | 466 |
| t(b) | 3.73 |
| p(b) | 0.00 |
| t(a) | -2.12 |
| p(a) | 0.98 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.04 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0.14 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.64 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.02 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | -2.98 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.33 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.02 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.03 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.02 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | 0 |
| df | 0 |
| t | 0 |
| p | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | 0 |
| Sortino ratio | -16.19 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.03 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0.00 |
| N nonnegative terms | 0 |
| N negative terms | 131 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.17 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.48 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | 0 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 0 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0 |
| t(a) | 0 |
| p(a) | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | 0 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 0 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | 0 |
| Mean | -0.03 |
| SD | 0 |
| Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate) | -9.74841826823373e+15 |
| Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE) | -9.69206937105203e+15 |
| df | 130 |
| t | -6893172865105920 |
| p | 1 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -1.08701574255084e+16 |
| Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation | -8513981316595712 |
| Sortino ratio | -16.19 |
| Upside Potential Ratio | 0 |
| Upside part of mean | 0 |
| Downside part of mean | -0.03 |
| Upside SD | 0 |
| Downside SD | 0.00 |
| N nonnegative terms | 0 |
| N negative terms | 131 |
| N of observations | 131 |
| Mean of predictor | 1.06 |
| Mean of criterion | -0.03 |
| SD of predictor | 0.47 |
| SD of criterion | 0 |
| Covariance | 0 |
| r | 0 |
| b (slope, estimate of beta) | 0 |
| a (intercept, estimate of alpha) | -0.03 |
| Mean Square Error | 0 |
| DF error | 129 |
| t(b) | 0 |
| p(b) | 0.50 |
| t(a) | -6801491419463680 |
| p(a) | 1 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl) | 0.02 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta | 0 |
| Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.03 |
| Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha | -0.03 |
| Treynor index (mean / b) | 6.0340263350648e+31 |
| Jensen alpha (a) | -0.03 |
| VaR(95%) | 0.00 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0.00 |
| VaR(95%) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall on VaR | 0 |
ORDER STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 21 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.81 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.99 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.07 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.91 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.03 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 3 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.14 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.83 |
| Number of outliers high | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.10 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.07 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0.89 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.08 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0.85 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | -0.59 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.05 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.05 |
| Number of observations | 468 |
| Minimum | 0.92 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1.06 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.99 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1.01 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 98 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0.21 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0.99 |
| Number of outliers high | 104 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.22 |
| Mean of outliers high | 1.01 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 1.01 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0.25 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.01 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0.02 |
| Number of observations | 131 |
| Minimum | 1 |
| Quartile 1 | 1 |
| Median | 1 |
| Quartile 3 | 1 |
| Maximum | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 1 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 1 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
DRAW DOWN STATISTICS
| Number of observations | 2 |
|---|---|
| Minimum | 0.04 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.14 |
| Median | 0.23 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.33 |
| Maximum | 0.43 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.04 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.43 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.19 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 15 |
| Minimum | 0.00 |
| Quartile 1 | 0.00 |
| Median | 0.00 |
| Quartile 3 | 0.01 |
| Maximum | 0.45 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0.00 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0.01 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0.14 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0.01 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 2 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0.13 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0.26 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 1.48 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0.13 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 4.60 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0.41 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Number of observations | 0 |
| Minimum | 0 |
| Quartile 1 | 0 |
| Median | 0 |
| Quartile 3 | 0 |
| Maximum | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 1 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 2 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 3 | 0 |
| Mean of quarter 4 | 0 |
| Inter Quartile Range | 0 |
| Number outliers low | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers low | 0 |
| Mean of outliers low | 0 |
| Number of outliers high | 0 |
| Percentage of outliers high | 0 |
| Mean of outliers high | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (moments method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (moments method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (moments method) | 0 |
| Extreme Value Index (regression method) | 0 |
| VaR(95%) (regression method) | 0 |
| Expected Shortfall (regression method) | 0 |
| Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life? | -467576672 |
| Max Equity Drawdown (num days) | 84 |
| Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative | 0.0% |
COMBINED STATISTICS
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.21 |
|---|---|
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.23 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.53 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -0.53 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -1.46 |
| j156mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j157mfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | -0.20 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | -0.22 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | -0.50 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | -1.61 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | -8.08 |
| j313dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| j314dfCOMBRisPar | 0 |
| Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation) | 0 |
| Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down) | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs | 0 |
| Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal | 0 |
Trading record
Placed 276 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.
| Symbol | Side | Qty | Opened | Closed | P/L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TQQQ | long | 2300 | Sep 10, 2018 | Dec 24, 2018 | ($44,325) |
| ERX | long | 55 | Jul 18, 2018 | Sep 10, 2018 | ($183) |
| WB | long | 50 | Jun 20, 2018 | Sep 10, 2018 | ($1,636) |
| EWJ | short | 1100 | Aug 18, 2018 | Sep 10, 2018 | $2,349 |
| UCO | long | 165 | Jul 12, 2018 | Aug 30, 2018 | $377 |
| USO | long | 1100 | Aug 18, 2018 | Aug 30, 2018 | $1,909 |
| EWJ1817T59 | long | 11 | Jul 16, 2018 | Aug 18, 2018 | ($1,414) |
| USO1817H13 | long | 11 | Jul 12, 2018 | Aug 18, 2018 | ($1,347) |
| UDOW | long | 109 | Jun 14, 2018 | Jul 16, 2018 | $116 |
| EWZ1817T34 | long | 3 | Jul 12, 2018 | Jul 16, 2018 | ($88) |
| CAT | long | 34 | Jun 18, 2018 | Jul 13, 2018 | ($291) |
| EWZ1817H34 | long | 3 | Jul 12, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | ($4) |
| TEVA1817H23 | long | 2 | Jun 20, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | ($129) |
| INTC1817H52.5 | long | 2 | Jun 19, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | ($181) |
| BAC1817H27 | long | 2 | Jun 20, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | ($144) |
| FAS | long | 70 | Jun 13, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | ($58) |
| ADBE | long | 20 | Jun 15, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | $55 |
| AAPL1820G195 | long | 5 | Jun 19, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | ($268) |
| OSK | long | 70 | Jun 15, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | ($47) |
| SPXL | long | 43 | Jun 19, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | $65 |
| DIA1820G250 | long | 35 | Jun 18, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | ($489) |
| PYPL | long | 58 | Jun 14, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | $187 |
| CELG | long | 64 | Jun 14, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | $432 |
| APRN | long | 1500 | Jun 20, 2018 | Jul 12, 2018 | $884 |
| SMH1820G107 | long | 2 | Jun 19, 2018 | Jun 20, 2018 | $109 |
| IBB1820G111 | long | 2 | Jun 19, 2018 | Jun 20, 2018 | $228 |
| APA | long | 115 | Jun 13, 2018 | Jun 20, 2018 | $205 |
| AEP | long | 77 | Jun 18, 2018 | Jun 19, 2018 | $97 |
| BOX | long | 187 | Jun 14, 2018 | Jun 18, 2018 | $250 |
| OIH1820G26 | long | 4 | Jun 12, 2018 | Jun 15, 2018 | ($282) |
Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.
These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.